Circa Million contest Week 1 odds
The fifth-annual Circa Million features the biggest prize guarantee yet with $6 million on the line and sign-ups will continue into Saturday afternoon at 2 p.m. PT. The odds for each week in the contest come out around 10 a.m. PT and it is an interesting exercise to compare what the Circa team has come up with and what the betting market has.
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Because the Circa Million operates with “stale lines” (lines that come out on Thursday and do not move), you can find some discrepancies between their numbers and what the markets are showing because there is a little bit of fortune telling involved. The Circa team has to make some educated guesses about injury situations and also foreshadow where the lines may move so that they remain as competitive as possible at the time when the picks must be submitted (Saturday 4 p.m. PT).
Here’s a side-by-side of the Circa lines and the betting market odds as of Thursday morning:
