Tennis predictions and best bets for Tuesday, June 11th
With the French Open having just ended, the tennis action will be all over the place until Wimbledon. There are grass-court events in all different parts of the world, and there are still some Challenger-level events being played on clay. I’ll be taking a bit of a scattered approach over the next few weeks, taking advantage of the insane amount of tennis to find value wherever I can. I’ll then dial things in a bit more once we get to the Cinch Championships at the Queen’s Club in London next week. With that in mind, keep reading for a few of my tennis best bets for the week.
I’m going to quickly hit on some of my favorite picks below, but I usually have a lot more on the Pro Picks page. I also occasionally add some picks throughout the day, as schedules can get wonky with the international nature of the sport. I also like to see how odds are moving. That said, keep checking the page throughout the day.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts are betting!
2024 Record: 369-372 (+32.80 units)
Milos Raonic vs. Jordan Thompson – Hertogenbosch
We haven’t seen Raonic since Indian Wells, where he was forced to withdraw before a second-round matchup with Holger Rune. Raonic strained his calf and needed time off, as that’s an injury he has dealt with before. But I do think that his absence is allowing us to get a good price on him against Thompson. The Australian lost in the first round of each of his final three clay-court tournaments, and he has now lost eight of his last 11 matches. That makes it a little hard to believe that he’ll go out and take advantage of Raonic’s court rust. And that’s really the only concerning thing about backing the Canadian here. Raonic just has a very effective grass-court game, as he has a booming first serve, a big forehand and a rock-solid net game. That should be enough for him to beat Thompson on grass. I know Thompson beat him at this very tournament in 2023, but that was the first tournament Raonic had played since 2021. And he was looking quite sharp before this latest setback.
Bet: Raonic ML (+122)
Marc-Andrea Huesler vs. Roberto Bautista Agut – Hertogenbosch
While Bautista Agut is the 85th-ranked player in the world and Huesler is just 201st in the ATP rankings, I think the Swiss player should be favored here. Bautista Agut has undoubtedly accomplished a lot in his career, but he’s a shell of the player he once was, as he is just 26-33 at the ATP level over the last two seasons. Bautista Agut is also playing his first grass-court tournament of the season here, while Huesler has already played five matches on the surface. Huesler played three matches in Surbiton last week, where he lost to eventual champion Lloyd Harris in a very tight three-set match. All in all, that was a good showing for Huesler, who then won two matches in qualifying here. Overall, I just think that Huesler will be a little more prepared for this match, and I also don’t think that this version of Bautista Agut is well suited for the grass. He has been very good on this surface in his career, but he’s no longer moving very well. And his serve and forehand aren’t as dangerous as they used to be.
Bet: Huesler ML (-105 – 1.5 units)
Andy Murray vs. Marcos Giron – Stuttgart
This one is pretty straightforward. I’m a big fan of Giron’s game and I really enjoyed watching him play at a high level in some of the slow hard-court tournaments this year. But Giron comes into this match after having lost three in a row, and he’s not much of a grass-court player. In his ATP career, Giron is just 7-12 on grass. He’s also just 1-5 on grass over the last 52 weeks. Well, that’s not what you want heading into a meeting with one of the best grass-court players in the history of the sport. And while I know Murray is nowhere near his prime anymore, he still had a pretty good grass-court season last year — if you factor in his play in Challenger-level events. All in all, I just think he has too good of a feel for how to get things done in these conditions, and he’ll also have the crowd urging him on. That should be enough to get by this reasonable opponent.
Bet: Murray ML (-170)
Added Plays
I have A LOT MORE on the Pro Picks page. These plays count towards my record and have been a big part of my success this season. Make sure you check them out. I’ll probably add a few more over there, so refresh that page throughout the day if you’re looking for action.
Catch-Up (Pro Picks Page Plays from Friday to Monday)
Cachin ML (-145) vs. Albot
PARLAY: Altmaier ML vs. Kasnikowski + Evans ML vs. Svajda (-117 – 1.5 units)
Hong ML (-163) vs. Escobedo
Kym ML (+128) vs. Cachin
PARLAY: Van Uytvanck ML vs. Appleton + Tomljanovic ML vs. Gadecki (-108)
Tseng ML (-139) vs. Kym
Virtanen ML (-112 – 1.5 units) vs. Svajda
Ritschard ML (-167) vs. Choinski
Draxl ML (+120 – 1.5 units) vs. Holt
Ritschard ML (+110) vs. Nagal
Harris ML (-132) vs. Riedi
Marmousez ML (-189 – 1.5 units) vs. Ferrari
Udvardy ML (+120 – 1.5 units) vs. Todoni
Reyes ML (-128 – 2 units) vs. Hilderbrand
Zhang ML (+120) vs. Koepfer
Basilashvili ML (+120) vs. Taberner
PARLAY: Boulter ML vs. Dart + Jorda Sanchiz ML vs. Poullain (-116 – 1.5 units)
Parry ML (-130) vs. Bucsa
Hanfmann ML (-149 – 1.5 units) vs. Squire
Golubic ML (+100 – 1.5 units) vs. Rebecca Marino
Bautista Torres ML (-175) vs. Olivo
Vedder +5.5 Games (-120) vs. Andreescu
Birrell ML (-200) vs. Appleton
Brouwer ML (-115 – 1.5 units) vs. Mensik
Mandelik ML (+102 – 1.5 units) vs. Naef
Zeppieri ML (-109) vs. Musetti
PARLAY: Boulter ML vs. Dart + Medjedovic +1.5 Sets vs. Marozsan (-139 – 1.5 units)
