College Basketball Projections and Best Bets for 12/18 from the T Shoe Index


T Shoe Index CBB projections for December 18

After a blistering 77-44 record in men’s hoops betting a year ago, I’m off to a little slower start this season at just 23-21. Still solid but hoping to get the train steaming in the right direction again. Women’s hoops have been my bread and butter; so much so that the entire women’s market has been noticeably moving multiple points after I’ve given out my plays for the day, so make sure to follow me on X @TShoeIndex and turn on notifications so you can get the bets in as soon as I put them out. I’ve got full projections for today’s slate of men’s and women’s basketball for you to have at your disposal as you peruse the odds board today.


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These “Projections and Best Bets” pieces will be occurring 2-3x per week on once we get through bowl season, so buckle up and get ready to take advantage of having the T Shoe Index at your disposal from now on. 

As a refresher, the T Shoe Index (TSI) is my proprietary rating system that I use for college football, NFL, men’s and women’s college basketball, and WNBA. It is a tempo and opponent-adjusted rating that allows us to answer the question, “How many points would team A be expected to score and allow vs Team B”, based on a myriad of statistical factors. 

Here are the TSI projections for today, December 18th:

How to read this sheet: the “TSI Projected Spread” is the projected point margin based on TSI ratings. If the number is positive, that indicates Team 1 is projected to win by that margin, if the number is negative, that indicates Team 2 is projected to win by that margin. i.e. today, Samford is projected to beat Alabama A&M by 23.8 points, with a projected total of 154. 


TeamTeamTSI LineTSI O/U
Cal PolyEastern Washington-2.2155.6
CampbellMorgan State0.3132.2
Central FloridaMaine17.6132.7
Chicago StateTexas-Rio Grande Valley4.5143.5
Coastal CarolinaCollege of Charleston-14.3163.3
Delaware StateWake Forest-18.4148.2
Detroit MercyLoyola Marymount-18.7136.9
Fresno StatePortland State-0.9139.1
Holy CrossQuinnipiac-11.3151.1
Jacksonville StateTarleton State-11.2119.7
LamarSouthern Mississippi8.3155.6
Little RockMurray State2.7159.8
MaristMaryland-Eastern Shore15.3131.6
Michigan StateOakland11.2136.3
Sacramento StateUC San Diego-4.8138.6
South Carolina StateUNC Asheville-9.5157.4


Cal Poly/Eastern Washington Over 145.5

Lamar +4.5


Abilene ChristianWestern Kentucky-3.9144.1
Alabama A&MChicago State21.1128.0
BellarmineDetroit Mercy-12.4130.7
Cal State FullertonSouthern California-31.7131.3
Cal State NorthridgeSan Jose State-8.1124.5
California BaptistLouisiana Tech9.9135.3
Central Connecticut StateColgate-11.8119.0
Central FloridaFlorida Atlantic25.4114.0
Charleston SouthernCharlotte-19.6122.8
DavidsonUNC Wilmington42.4119.1
Detroit MercyBellarmine12.4130.7
East CarolinaGeorge Mason2.0129.6
Eastern IllinoisNorthern Illinois-4.7138.0
Florida InternationalTexas State-1.0126.8
High PointNorfolk State-6.6116.2
Kansas StateOral Roberts17.0153.5
Loyola (IL)Southern Illinois-Edwardsville12.3140.7
MississippiSouth Alabama13.5124.4
Mississippi Valley StateTexas A&M-41.9125.6
Mount St. Mary’sSiena-7.4120.7
Murray StateWestern Carolina21.3173.8
New OrleansTarleton State-6.8122.2
NiagaraSaint Peter’s11.8130.8
North Carolina CentralUNC Asheville-19.3123.6
Northern ArizonaPepperdine3.5137.0
Northern KentuckyTennessee Tech2.5135.2
Ohio StateUCLA5.7162.2
OmahaTexas Southern5.8155.8
Sam HoustonSouthern Methodist-22.2147.2
South Carolina UpstateUNC Greensboro-11.6118.0
West VirginiaWright State36.1139.3

To learn more about who I am or what my T Shoe Index is, be sure to read my introduction on and follow me on X, @TShoeIndex for all of my personal bets on men’s and women’s college basketball, college football, NFL, and WNBA.