College football hot and not bowl team trends for 2023-24


I continue my series of top trends by looking at the betting angles that have formed on the bowl teams as they closed their regular seasons. Despite the fact that only teams .500 or better are typically invited to bowl games, not all teams go into their bowl games playing well. Others are peaking.


In a soon-to-come lengthy bowl game article that I call my Seven Motivational Factors Checklist, I dedicate one factor, #7 this year to be specific, as Summary of Season, and in it, I describe how teams that had a better or worse than expected body of work this season fare in bowl games.

I even share some very successful betting systems pertaining to this logic. The lists below are a little different in that they take a more “what have you done for me lately” approach. I don’t have any stellar systems to back them up, but I can tell you this. The 14 teams I listed on the HOT list a year ago went 11-3 SU and 9-4-1 ATS in their respective bowl games. The teams I listed under NOT were 8-12 SU but 11-9 ATS. Concerning totals, the 12 teams I shared on significant Over runs went 9-3 Over the total, while those 10 on Under runs were 8-2 Under for the bowl season. Perhaps there is something to this logic. We’ll follow along again this season.

Take a look at the following lists of trends, detailing the hot & not teams, as well as those that are currently on definitive totals runs.

HOT teams heading into their bowl games

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As one of the original founders of StatFox, Steve Makinen has been in the business of sports betting and data analysis for almost 25 years now. In his time in the industry, Steve has worked in a variety of capacities on both sides of the betting counter, from his early days of developing the StatFox business, to almost a decade of oddsmaking consulting for one of the world's leading sportsbooks, to his last seven years as Point Spread Weekly and Analytics Director with VSiN. Steve has always believed that number crunching and handicapping through foundational trends and systems is the secret to success and he shares this data with VSiN readers on a daily basis for all of the major sports.