Top college football team performance trends in recent bowl games

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In my continuing series offering the most extensive bowl game betting materials anywhere, I next look at the trends that have formed on teams in their recent bowl game action. For some teams, playing in a bowl game is an annual occurrence, for others, not so much. With data from the last 30 bowl seasons, I am able to derive a variety of significant performance trends that have developed in teams in these games. The angles I am sharing include best and worst bowl teams of recent years, most definitive totals patterns that have emerged and which teams’ recent bowl games have been dominated lately by favorites or underdogs. Use these tidbits to fit to the various matchups available for the 2022-23 bowl season.

BEST performing teams in recent bowl games

 

* AIR FORCE is on a 7-2 ATS bowl run

* CLEMSON is 11-3 ATS in bowl games since ’12

* DUKE is on bowl winning streaks of three games SU and five games ATS

* GEORGIA is 8-2 SU and ATS in its last 10 bowl games

* KANSAS has won five of its last six bowl games SU and ATS

* MIAMI OHIO has won four straight bowl games ATS

* MINNESOTA has won and covered in five straight bowl games

* OKLAHOMA STATE is on a 5-1 SU and ATS bowl game surge

* SYRACUSE is on a 6-1 SU and ATS bowl run

* TEXAS has won its last four bowl games SU and ATS by 21 PPG

* WYOMING has won six of its last seven bowl games ATS

WORST performing teams in recent bowl games

* BOWLING GREEN is just 1-5 SU and ATS in its last six bowl games

* BYU is on a 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS bowl game skid

* Though 2-0 SU in its last two, FRESNO STATE is on brutal 1-8 ATS bowl skid

* MEMPHIS is just 2-7 SU and ATS in its last nine bowl games

* MICHIGAN is on five-game SU and ATS bowl losing streak

* NORTH CAROLINA is 3-9 SU and 5-7 ATS in bowl games since ’04

* NORTH TEXAS has lost four straight bowl games SU and ATS, allowing 50+ points three times

* PITTSBURGH is just 4-10 SU and ATS in bowl games since ’03

* TOLEDO has lost four bowl games in a row SU and ATS

* USC has lost its last five bowl games ATS

* WASHINGTON STATE is on 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS bowl skid

Teams on significant OVER the total runs in bowl games

* All of BOWLING GREEN’s last five bowl games went OVER the total

* DUKE is 7-0 OVER the total in all bowl games since ’95

* The last four LSU bowl games surpassed the total

* OVER the total has converted in five of the last six MARYLAND bowl games

* All of MIDDLE TENNESSEE’s last five bowl games went OVER the total

* NC STATE had a seven-game bowl OVER streak snapped last year

* PURDUE has gone OVER in its last six bowl games, allowing 46.8 PPG

* TENNESSEE is on a 6-1 OVER the total bowl run

* All of TROY’s last seven bowl games went OVER the total

Teams on significant UNDER the total runs in bowl games

* ARKANSAS is on an amazing 11-1 UNDER run in bowl games

* CINCINNATI has gone UNDER in six of its last seven bowl games

* GEORGIA’s last five bowl games went UNDER the total

* OLE MISS has gone UNDER the total in eight of its last 10 bowl games

* UTAH STATE is on 8-1 UNDER surge in bowl games

In analyzing closing lines, FAVORITES:

* are 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS in AIR FORCE’s last 11 bowl games

* have won the last five ALABAMA bowl games SU and ATS

* have won the last six ARKANSAS bowl games SU and ATS

* have won all of ILLINOIS’ last six bowl games SU and ATS

* are on 10-1 SU and ATS run in KANSAS STATE bowl games

* have gone 13-3 SU and 12-4 ATS in last 16 LOUISVILLE bowl games

* are on 6-1 SU and ATS surge in LSU bowl games

* are 7-1 SU and ATS in MARSHALL’s last eight bowl games

* are 11-2 SU and 9-3-1 ATS in last 13 NC STATE bowl games

* have won six straight SOUTHERN MISS bowl games while going 5-0-1 ATS

* have swept the last five WASHINGTON bowl games SU and ATS

In analyzing closing lines, UNDERDOGS:

* are on huge 7-1 SU and ATS run in BAYLOR bowl games

* have gone 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in last six MISSISSIPPI STATE bowl games

* are 9-3 ATS in MISSOURI’s last 12 bowl games

* are a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS in SMU bowl games since ’09

* are on 7-3 SU and 9-1 ATS surge in SOUTH CAROLINA bowl games

* are 14-5 ATS in TCU bowl games dating back to ’98

* are 13-5 ATS in TEXAS TECH’s last 18 bowl games

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As one of the original founders of StatFox, Steve Makinen has been in the business of sports betting and data analysis for almost 25 years now. In his time in the industry, Steve has worked in a variety of capacities on both sides of the betting counter, from his early days of developing the StatFox business, to almost a decade of oddsmaking consulting for one of the world's leading sportsbooks, to his last seven years as Point Spread Weekly and Analytics Director with VSiN. Steve has always believed that number crunching and handicapping through foundational trends and systems is the secret to success and he shares this data with VSiN readers on a daily basis for all of the major sports.