2024 MLB National League MVP Odds and Analysis

Zachary Cohen takes a look at the National League MVP odds and gives you an idea of how you should bet this market.

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Oct 11, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Atlanta Braves right fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. (13) scores a run on a hit by second baseman Ozzie Albies (not pictured) during the third inning against the Philadelphia Phillies in game three of the NLDS for the 2023 MLB playoffs at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

The 2024 MLB season is right around the corner, which is why Adam Burke already put out a free MLB Betting Primer. That guide will tell you everything you need to know about how you should be betting on baseball. More specifically, Adam goes into the strategy of betting on baseball, and he also tells you how to utilize sabermetrics. Soon, Adam will go in more depth to provide you with team-by-team analysis to really have you feeling ready to go. However, we also know that there’s a real hunger to bet on futures markets. And that’s especially true about player awards. That said, keep reading for a look at the National League MVP odds. 

National League MVP Odds 

All odds from DraftKings Sportsbook and accurate as of Thursday, February 29th

 

Top MLB Resources:

  • Ronald Acuna Jr. (+550)
  • Mookie Betts (+650)
  • Shohei Ohtani (+650)
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (10-1)
  • Bryce Harper (10-1)
  • Freddie Freeman (12-1)
  • Matt Olson (14-1)
  • Corbin Carroll (18-1)
  • Manny Machado (22-1)
  • Trea Turner (22-1)

(You can find the rest of the NL MVP odds by clicking here)

National League MVP Favorite

Ronald Acuna Jr. (+550): Acuna is only 26 years old and he’s already a four-time All-Star and took home NL MVP honors last season. The Braves superstar also has three Silver Slugger Awards and has led the National League in stolen bases twice. He’s just an absolute stud and is likely only going to get better. Last year, Acuna hit .337 with 41 homers, 106 RBIs and 73 stolen bases. He also had a WAR of 8.1, placing him second amongst all position players. There just aren’t many players that offer Acuna’s versatility and consistency. That said, I wouldn’t blame anybody for taking him to win this award, even at odds that aren’t all that favorable. Betts, the only position player that had a higher WAR than Acuna, is trending downward a bit. So, Acuna is definitely the top dog in the NL until Ohtani is ready to pitch again — which won’t be until 2025. However, it is hard to win back-to-back MVPs and I think there’s decent value elsewhere.

National League MVP Pick To Win

Matt Olson (14-1): Acuna is undoubtedly the best player on the Braves, but I like Olson’s chances of sneaking away one MVP before the time he retires. He just has tremendous power and also plays remarkable defense. This is a guy that batted .283 with 54 homers and 139 RBIs last year, all three of which were career-highs. He also posted the highest WAR of his career, finishing with 7.4 on the season. Olson was also a Gold Glove recipient in both 2018 and 2019, and he’s a two-time All-Star. It’s just wild what Olson has been able to accomplish in his career, and the move from Oakland to Atlanta did wonders for him. Well, Olson is once again going to be one of the most crucial hitters in one of the league’s best offenses. That said, another huge season can be expected out of the 29-year-old. At 14-1, I think it’s worth backing him to win this.

National League MVP Long Shot

Trea Turner (22-1): Turner isn’t really your standard “long shot.” However, it gets a little dicey when you look at the odds for players a bit lower on the list. And the reality is that Turner is a guy that has been a top-10 player in MLB for most of his career. So, this is a very favorable price considering what he has done. I just don’t see a scenario in which Turner doesn’t improve upon last year’s .266 average, .320 OBP and 3.6 WAR. In 2022, Turner hit .298 with 21 homers, 100 RBIs and a 4.9 WAR with the Los Angeles Dodgers. And before that, Turner was a .300 hitter in his previous two seasons. His average has just come crashing down and I don’t see that lasting very long. He’s too good of a hitter and will only get more comfortable with his surroundings in Philadelphia. I also think it’s possible that Turner was just a little fatigued early last season because of his heroics in the World Baseball Classic. Perhaps he’ll be fresh and ready to go to start 2024, when he’ll look to prove he’s still one of the best players in the league.