Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Sunday July 16

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Today the weekend wraps up with a loaded slate of 15 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and betting percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits.

 

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In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Sunday’s MLB slate…

 

1:35 p.m. ET: Chicago White Sox at Atlanta Braves (-175, 9.5)

This is the rubber match of a three-game Interleague series. The Braves (61-30) won the opener 9-0 as -275 home favorites. Then the White Sox (39-55) bounced back with a 6-5 win on Saturday, cashing as +245 road dogs. In this early afternoon series finale, the White Sox hand the ball to righty Dylan Cease (3-3, 4.30 ERA) and the Braves counter with lefty Kolby Allard (0-0, 4.22 ERA). This line opened with Atlanta listed as a -165 home favorite and Chicago a +150 road dog. Pros are banking on Atlanta to get back on track after yesterday’s loss, steaming the Braves up from -165 to -175. The Braves are receiving 88% of bets and 92% of money, signaling a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support. The Braves are 39-12 (77%) with an 18% ROI against teams who missed the postseason last year. Atlanta has a notable edge at the plate, hitting .271 vs .237 for Chicago. The Braves are 31-16 at home. The White Sox are 18-30 on the road. Pros are also leaning under, as the total is 9.5 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible dip down to 9. When the total is 9 or more in Interleague play the under is 85-64 (57%) this season with an 8% ROI. 

 

7:10 p.m. ET: Houston Astros (-145, 9.5) at Los Angeles Angels 

This is also the rubber match of a three-game series. The Astros (51-42) won the opener 7-5, cashing as +125 road dogs. Then the Angels (46-47) earned a late 13-12 comeback win yesterday, cashing as +130 home dogs. In tonight’s series finale, Houston goes with righty Cristian Javier (7-1, 4.34 ERA) and Los Angeles taps lefty Tyler Anderson (4-2, 5.25 ERA). This line opened with the Astros listed as a -135 road favorite and the Angels a +120 home dog. Pros have laid the chalk with Houston, driving the Astros up from -135 to -145. Houston is receiving 81% of bets and 85% of money, indicating a heavy combination of public and sharp support. Sweet sport short road favorites -120 to -150 are 139-77 (64%) this season with a 12% ROI. Sharps have also hit the over, raising the total from 9.5 to 10 across the market. The forecast calls for mid 80s with 7-10 MPH winds blowing out to center. The over is receiving 58% of bets and 65% of money, signaling modest public support but also heavy sharp action.