Monday MLB Sharp Report

66
 

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Monday’s betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.

 

You can also track the VSiN Betting Splits for every game. 

In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Monday’s MLB action…

 

8:05 p.m. ET: Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers (-170, 9)

The Royals (3-7) just took two of three on the road at the Giants but lost on Sunday 3-1 as +135 road dogs. On the flip side, the Rangers (5-4) just dropped two of three on the road at the Cubs but won 8-2 yesterday as a -110 road pick’em. In tonight’s series opener, Kansas City hands the ball to righty Zack Greinke (0-2, 2.38 ERA) and Texas counters with lefty Andrew Heaney (0-1, 23.63 ERA). This line opened with the Rangers listed as a -155 home favorite and the Royals a +140 road dog. Pros have laid the chalk with Texas, steaming the Rangers up from -155 to -170. Texas is 4-2 at home and 3-2 as a favorite. The Rangers hold a distinct advantage at the plate, hitting .242 compared to .184 for the Royals. Sharps have also leaned over, as the total opened at 8.5 and is juiced up to -120. Some shops are even jumping up from 8.5 to 9. Overs are 79-58 (58%) this season, producing +14 units won with a 10% ROI, due in large part to the pro-offense rules changes. 

 

9:38 p.m. ET: Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Angels (-140, 9.5)

The Nationals (3-7) just split a four-game series at the Rockies, losing Sunday’s finale 7-6 as +120 road dogs. Meanwhile, the Angels (5-4) just dropped two of three at home to the Jays, losing 12-11 yesterday as -130 home favorites. In tonight’s series opener, the Nats start lefty Patrick Corbin (0-2, 8.00 ERA) and the Angels turn to fellow southpaw Jose Suarez (0-1, 12.46 ERA). This line opened with Los Angeles listed as a hefty -200 home favorite and Washington +180 road dog. Wiseguys aren’t scared off by the expensive price and have steamed the Angels up from -200 to -240. The Angels have value as an Interleague favorite with a line move in their favor, as the lack of familiarity benefits the "better" team. Fading Corbin is 2-0 this season and 53-21 (72%) since 2020. The Nats are just 36-76 (32%) against lefties since 2021. Sharps are also leaning over, as the total is 9.5 with the over juiced to -120, signaling a possible rise up to 10. The forecast calls for low 70s with 5-10 MPH winds blowing out to center. When the total stays the same or rises the over is 56-38 (60%) this season. The Nats are 6-3-1 to the over and the Angels are 5-3-1 to the over.