Now that the weekend is here, it’s time to simplify the grind. Instead of splitting sides/totals and player props into separate pieces, my weekend columns will bring everything under one roof — a streamlined look at my favorite bets for the day’s slate. Fewer words, hopefully the same results. Keep reading for my NBA picks and predictions for Sunday, November 15.
RELATED: Check out the Pro Picks page for more selections from our talented VSiN hosts and analysts!
NBA Best Bets Today
Raptors +5.5 (-127 – 1.5 units) & Raptors ML (+162 – 0.5 units) vs. Knicks
Knicks at Raptors – 6:00 pm ET
The Knicks are 1-4 against the spread in road games this year, while the Raptors are 3-2 ATS at Scotiabank Arena. New York is also just 12-14 straight-up and 9-17 ATS under Mike Brown against teams that average 9.0 or more steals per game. Toronto is second in the NBA with 10.6 steals per game, and it remains one of the league’s best defensive teams.
It isn’t hard to imagine Toronto’s physicality frustrating New York in a tough road spot. We just have to hope Scottie Barnes is in the lineup, as the Raptors star is questionable with a groin strain.
Dunks & Threes has New York winning by two points, and our analytics guru, Steve Makinen, has the Knicks winning by 3.8. I’ll take 5.5 at a reasonable price, but I’m also sprinkling the moneyline.
NBA Player Props Today
Ace Bailey Over 13.5 Points (-115) vs. Spurs
Spurs at Jazz – 5:00 pm ET
Bailey has scored at least 19 points in four of the five games he has played without Lauri Markkanen this season. One of those came against San Antonio, when the talented forward finished with 19 points on 9-for-18 shooting.
Bailey is a good pull-up shooter, and the Spurs don’t defend pull-ups well (28th in the NBA). Between that and his ability to use his length and athleticism as a cutter and transition player, it’s easy to imagine him getting to 14 tonight.
Morez Johnson Jr. Over 13.5 Points + Rebounds (-105) vs. Celtics
Mavericks at Celtics – 6:00 pm ET
Johnson is questionable for tonight’s game, so there’s no guarantee he’ll play. However, Daniel Gafford is doubtful for Dallas, and if Johnson can go, he has a real shot at heavy minutes. In the one game he played 20 minutes this year, he had 13 points and 17 rebounds. I wouldn’t expect anything like that tonight, but 14 combined points and rebounds is a reasonable ask.
Myles Turner Over 1.5 Made Threes (+100) & Alt Threes 3+ (+278 – 0.5 units) vs. Hawks
Hawks at Bucks – 8:00 pm ET
This hasn’t been Turner’s season so far, and he looks like a shell of the player he was with the Pacers. However, he’s coming off a game against the Magic in which he knocked down four triples. Tonight, the big man faces a Hawks team that struggles to defend pick-and-roll and pick-and-pop actions. I can easily see him taking advantage by banging home some threes. This has the potential to be a high-scoring game, and Turner should contribute to that.
Additional Plays (Late Adds, Teasers, Parlays, Futures)
Pacers +7.5 (-106) vs. 76ers
PARLAY: Hornets Alt +8.5 vs. Clippers & Suns Alt +10.5 vs. Lakers (-139)
2026-27 NBA Record: 99-118 (+1.01 units)
