Tuley: Tuesday Best Bets in NBA, MLB 5/23

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Monday Best Bet Results

Monday was a little bittersweet as a “dog-or-pass” bettor.
I passed on the Nuggets and Panthers only to watch them win again. The Nuggets were 3-point road dogs at the Lakers while the Panthers opened as short favorites and closed at pick-’em before beating the Hurricanes 1-0. The silver lining is that I continued to pass on teams in zig-zag roles – as the Lakers and Hurricanes had lost the prior games in their respective series – so that was satisfying, especially as I know a lot of people think I always play the zig-zag because I write about it so much and keep track of the NBA and NHL playoff records in my daily ATS Reports at VSiN.com. But, as I like to remind people, it’s just another thing to consider and you still have to do your handicapping and deciding if it’s the right play.

 

As for my actual posted Best Bets on Monday, I split 1-1 as I won my top play on the Angels First 5 Inning -110 as they squeaked out a 1-0 lead over the Red Sox in the first 5 innings and went on to win 2-1 for those who went with the full-game money line with my play. Unfortunately, I lost on the White Sox F5 as they couldn’t even manage 1 run vs. Hunter Gaddis as they trailed 1-0 after 5 innings as their pitchers did the job.
Despite a disappointing couple of days, we’re still 30-20-7 (60%) so far in the month of May with our all-underdog or pick-’em plays for a net profit of $1,206.91 based on $100 flat bets, according to the VSiN Pro Picks page.
Let’s look for more Best Bets on Tuesday. I already hinted on my regular appearance on “The Greg Peterson Experience” on Sunday night (11:15 p.m. ET/8:15 p.m. PT, or 15 minutes into the archived version) and in the Monday version of this column that I’m going with the Celtics in Game 4 on Tuesday, even though it appears the whole world is jumping off the Boston bandwagon. I also have 1 play in MLB.

NBA Tuesday Best Bet

Celtics +1.5 at Heat: After the Celtics closed as 4.5-point favorites in Sunday’s Game 3 and were blown out 128-102, everyone (from Magic Johnson to Charles Barkley to seemingly the whole Twitterverse) was saying the Celtics were in disarray and had quit. Oddsmakers then made the Heat a small favorite for Tuesday’s Game 4 as the conventional wisdom was that the Celtics would throw in the towel and get swept. But as ESPN’s Lee Corso has been saying for years: “Not so fast, my friend.” As much as I felt the price was overadjusted too high on the Celtics around -9 in Games 1 and 2 when we capitalized on that, this is now too much of an adjustment in the other direction. Even though the Lakers failed to avoid elimination in the zig-zag role, we’ll go contrarian and take the Celtics to show up as a live short dog and at least send this series back to Boston.

MLB Tuesday Best Bet

Reds First 5 Innings +115 vs. Cardinals: We have a full 15-game MLB card on Tuesday but this is the only dog I like. The Reds are in a mini-anti-swagger spot after snapping a 4-game losing streak in their 6-5 win at the Cardinals in 10 innings. We hope they can carry that momentum into at least the first half of this game with Graham Ashcraft (2-2, 4.84 ERA) getting the start vs. St. Louis’ Adam Wainwright (1-0, 5.74 ERA).