SNF Ravens vs. Chargers Week 12 odds and predictions
Every week, VSiN will be doing an in-depth dive on the week’s Sunday Night Football game. In Week 12, that game features the Los Angeles Chargers hosting the Baltimore Ravens at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. The Ravens have won five of their last six games coming into this one, so they’re really playing some good football right now. Meanwhile, the Chargers have lost two in a row and can badly use a win. With that out of the way, keep reading for our Ravens vs. Chargers preview, picks and player props.
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How To Watch Ravens vs. Chargers
Date: Sunday, November 16
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Channel: NBC
Ravens vs. Chargers Spread
The Ravens are dealing with a ton of injuries right now, especially when it comes to pass catchers. Not only is Mark Andrews likely out for the season, but Baltimore has a ton of wide receivers listed as questionable on the VSiN Injury Report. That’s going to make Lamar Jackson’s job a lot harder, but this is still a game in which Baltimore will like its chances.
The reality here is that the Chargers are the team you want to be playing if you’re a little banged up on offense. Los Angeles is currently 29th in the league in Defensive DVOA, making this one of the worst defenses in football. And the Chargers are awful against the run and the pass. So, I’d expect a big game on the ground from Baltimore here, with Gus Edwards and Keaton Mitchell both being threats to put up big numbers. Jackson should also make a ton of plays with his legs. And I trust offensive coordinator Todd Monken to scheme receivers open for Jackson, regardless of who ends up being out there.
Defensively, the Ravens have what it takes to slow down this potent Chargers offense. Baltimore is second in the league in Defensive DVOA, and the Ravens are second against the pass. I think they’ll keep Justin Herbert in check here. The Chargers should get some big plays out of Keenan Allen, as Baltimore is just 16th in the league in DVOA when it comes to defending opposing WR1s. But the Ravens won’t allow themselves to get beat by anybody else.
Baltimore has also been historically good against the spread when facing bad defenses under John Harbaugh at this time of the year. The Ravens are 21-8 ATS in the second half of the season versus teams that allow 6.0 or more yards per play, and they have won those games by an average of 11.3 points per game.
Ravens vs. Chargers Total
While I have faith in the Ravens getting off the field enough to win this game, I do think it’s unfair to ask them to completely shut the Chargers down. Los Angeles just has so many weapons, with Allen being a nightmare to cover and Austin Ekeler being a dynamic talent at the running back position. So, I still see the Chargers putting up some points in this game, which should help Over bettors quite a bit. The Ravens are just too good offensively to not put up a decent amount of points against this Chargers team. So, this should be something of a high-scoring game.
The Over has actually hit in four of the last five games that Baltimore has played, and the Ravens scored at least 31 points in all of those contests. Meanwhile, the Chargers have scored at least 27 in three of their last four games. That makes it easier to envision this turning into a shootout than a slugfest.
Ravens vs. Chargers Player Props
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Lamar Jackson Over 43.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Jackson has rushed for at least 44 yards in two of his last three games, and he has also done so six times this season. Well, against a defense that can occasionally be disjointed, I like his chances of having a big day with his legs. Jackson will be a little more likely to lean on his legs with all the question marks surrounding the team’s pass catchers. So, this feels like a very low number.
Ravens vs. Chargers Prediction
The Chargers haven’t yet proven that they can consistently win games, even though they do have a ton of talent on their roster. Meanwhile, they’re now facing a team that knows how to cross the finish line. Baltimore also happens to be a nightmare of a matchup for Los Angeles, as the team is loaded on both sides of the ball and has one of the best coaching staffs in football.
Lean: Ravens -3
Head to our Pro Picks page to see how VSiN analysts are betting Ravens vs. Chargers!
