Tuley: Super Bowl LVII recap, Monday NHL Best Bet, plus early Super Bowl LVIII futures


Super Bowl LVII recap, Monday NHL Best Bet

Sunday was a super day in and out of the Tuley’s Takes home office with the Chiefs’ 38-35 come-from-behind victory over the Eagles in Super Bowl LVII.
I also did a separate recap of the game on the VSiN.com home page as I attempted to tell the story through 10 interesting props bets. I capped the day with my usual weekly appearance on “The Greg Peterson Experience” at 12:30 a.m. ET/9:30 p.m. PT Sunday night (right at top of the archived version) as we helped break down the Big Game while also giving a couple of value plays for next year’s Super Bowl to be held here in Las Vegas.
As for my personal bets on the game posted the last two weeks in these daily columns, I won my Best Bet on the 2-team, 6-points teaser using the Chiefs +7.5/Over 43.5 (and Over 44 and Over 44.5) as the Over was an easy winner while the Chiefs’ leg of the teaser only looked in doubt when Patrick Mahomes limped off the field late in the second quarter and they fell behind by 10 points at halftime.

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We also easily won our top prop play on “Game to be tied after 0-0” as the two teams traded first-quarter TD drives to be tied at 7-7 (one of three times it was tied as the game certainly played out as we expected to be a close, back-and-forth shootout). Jalen Hurts’ 1-yard TD run also cashed our play on “Shortest TD Under 1.5 yards” for the 9th time in 10 years. We also won our play on “Largest Lead Under 14.5 points.” Our only losing prop was a long-shot play on a halftime tie.
Let’s recap the rest of Sunday’s action, including the other major team sports that wrapped up before the Super Bowl, and then offer a Best Bet for Monday in the NHL as well as my Super Bowl LVIII futures.

Sunday Recaps

NFL: Chiefs rallied in the second half to beat the Eagles 38-35 in Super Bowl LVII. The ViewFromVegas is they did it after closing as 1.5-point underdogs (game flew Over the closing betting total of 51.5 points). The Eagles led Chiefs 24-14 at halftime, covering as 0.5-point first-half favorites as it flew Over the first-half total of 24.5 points. Chiefs won the second half 24-11, covering as 3-point second-half faves and going Over second-half total of 24.5.

CBB: Northwestern upset No. 1 Purdue 64-58 as the Boilermakers were the lone Top 25 team in action on Sunday. The Wildcats did it after closing as 5-point home underdogs and +180 on the money line (stayed Under low betting total of 128.5 points).

NBA: Favorites went 2-0 SU on Sunday but split 1-1 ATS as the Pistons covered as 11.5-point road underdogs in a 119-118 loss at Raptors. The Celtics covered as 3.5-point home faves in their 119-109 win vs. the Grizzlies. Home teams also went 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS. Overs swept 2-0. 

More NBA: On the season, favorites lead 549-295 SU with 11 games closing pick-’em, but underdogs still lead 423-400-21 ATS (51.4%). Home teams lead 508-347 SU and 440-396-19 ATS (52.6%). In totals wagering, Overs improved slim lead to 430-411-14 (51.1%).

NHL: Favorites/underdogs split 2-2 on Sunday with upsets by the Canadiens (+234 in 6-2 win vs. Oilers) and Sharks (+155 in 4-1 win at Capitals). The Kraken (-155 in 4-3 win at Flyers) and Golden Knights (-360 in 7-2 win vs. Ducks) won as chal. Home/road teams split 2-2. Overs led 3-1.

Monday NHL Best Bet

Flames-Senators 1P Over 1.5 -150/Red Wings-Canucks 1P Over 1.5 -175 (parlay payoff +162): The Flames are Senators are both in the Top 5 1P Over teams and combined to hit 67-36 (65%) with the Senators on a 10-3 run despite falling short on Saturday. The Canucks are the No. 1 1P Over team at 40-13 (75.5%) – plus they’re on a 6-game 1P Over run and 13-2 in their last 5 games – while the Canucks and Red Wings are a combined 67-37 (64.4%) after going Over on Saturday against each other.

Super Bowl LVIII futures

Bengals 10-1: I usually look for bigger odds in my early Super Bowl futures, but the Bengals were right there with the Chiefs after making the Big Game last year, so we don’t expect them to be offered at much higher odds.

Vikings 40-1: This was the price at the Westgate and Circa last night (45-1 at DraftKings in states where they’re legal). Their offense matches with anyone and we have to assume they’ll try to improve on the defensive side.