Week 13 NFL Betting Trends

December 2, 2021

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After last week’s interruption to our normal programming with three Thursday games, life gets back to normal in the NFL. Four teams are on a bye, as the Panthers, Browns, Packers and Titans rest up for the stretch run. Otherwise, we’ve got 14 games on the Week 13 slate and a whole lot of betting trends to get to this week.

Dallas Cowboys (-6, 46) at New Orleans Saints

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The Cowboys are still tied for the league’s second-best ATS record at 8-3, though they’ve had some bumps in the road of late. Dallas enters this second consecutive Thursday game with a record of 7-4 and the chance to put some pressure on the other playoff teams that don’t play until Sunday.

The Saints are 5-6 SU and ATS on the season. New Orleans needs a win here to have any hope of staying in the playoff chase. Both teams are 6-5 to the Over for this season.

Trends:

Cowboys are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games.
Cowboys are 7-3 SU in their previous 10 games.
Cowboys are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against New Orleans.
Cowboys are 3-10 SU in their previous 13 games against New Orleans.
Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last six against the NFC.
Cowboys are 5-1 ATS against a team with a losing record.
Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their previous five games following a SU loss.
Over is 4-0 in Cowboys’ last four Thursday games.
Under is 4-1 in Cowboys' previous five games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Cowboys’ last five games as a road favorite.

Saints are 2-4 ATS in their previous six games.
Saints are 1-4 SU in their last five games.
Saints are 2-4 ATS in their previous six games at home.
Saints are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games when playing at home against Dallas.
Saints are 6-1 ATS in their previous seven games following an ATS loss.
Under is 9-1-1 in Saints’ last 11 Thursday games.
Over is 4-1 in Saints' previous five games overall.

More Cowboys and Saints Trends

Minnesota Vikings (-7, 47) at Detroit Lions

NFC North rivals meet at Ford Field, as the Vikings lay a touchdown against the Lions. Detroit remains winless at 0-10-1, but the Lions have been very kind to spread bettors with an ATS record of 7-4. Eight of Detroit’s 11 games have gone under the total, so they’ve been predictable. There’s something to be said about losing a low-scoring game, but covering the spread.

Minnesota has been all over the map this season with a 5-6 SU record and a 6-5 ATS mark. The Vikings have led by at least seven points in every game, but have still lost more games than they have won. Their totals are 6-5 to the Over.

Trends:

Vikings are 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games.
Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games against the Lions.
Vikings are 8-0 SU in their last eight games against the Lions.
Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their previous five road games.
Vikings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.
Over is 5-0 in Vikings' previous five road games against a team with a losing home record.
Over is 7-1 in Vikings' last eight road games.
Over is 6-1 in Vikings' previous seven games as a road favorite.

Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
Lions are 0-14-1 SU in their previous 15 games.
Lions are 0-9 SU in their last nine games at home.
Lions are 1-5 SU in their previous six games when playing at home against Minnesota.
Under is 8-1 in Lions' last nine games overall.
Under is 8-1 in Lions' previous nine games as an underdog.

More Vikings and Lions Trends

Arizona Cardinals (-8, 44.5) at Chicago Bears

There seems to be some speculation that Kyler Murray could sit out again, especially with an ugly weather forecast in the Windy City this week. We’ll see how the Cardinals play it, but they are a big favorite here in hopes of moving to 10-2 on the season. Arizona is tied with Dallas at 8-3 ATS for the second-best record in that department.

The Bears are 4-7 SU and ATS as they look to keep this one close or pull an outright upset. Chicago’s 8-3 to the Under on the season, so we’ve got a low total here and the weather forecast may help push this line down as well. The Cardinals are 6-5 to the Under.

Trends:

Cardinals are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
Cardinals are 9-2 SU in their previous 11 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Bears.
Cardinals are 2-5 SU in their previous seven games against the Bears.
Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last six games on the road.
Cardinals are 8-2 SU in their previous 10 games this season.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS against a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.
Under is 7-0 in Cardinals' previous seven games as a road favorite.
Under is 5-1 in Cardinals' last six road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Bears are 1-5 ATS in their previous six games.
Bears are 1-5 SU in their last six games.
Bears are 1-5 ATS in their previous six games overall.
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a home underdog.
Under is 8-2 in Bears’ previous 10 games overall.
Under is 6-2 in Bears’ last eight games following an ATS loss.

More Cardinals and Bears Trends

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-11.5, 50.5) at Atlanta Falcons

The Bucs are laying a big favorite price on the road in this NFC South clash against the Falcons. Tampa Bay is 8-3 SU, but only 5-6 ATS, as the Buccaneers have failed to live up to some lofty expectations at times, especially in big favorite roles. The Over is 6-5 in their 11 games.

Atlanta is somehow 5-6 SU and ATS, though it doesn’t feel like it with the team’s statistical profile for this season. A win here would be a big one in terms of the playoff picture, but would take a major upset. The Falcons are 6-5 to the Under.

Trends:

Buccaneers are 4-2 ATS in their last six games against Atlanta.
Buccaneers are 4-1 SU in their previous five against Atlanta.
Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games on the road.
Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their previous six road games.
Buccaneers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite.
Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their previous four road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 4-1 in Buccaneers’ last five against a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1 in Buccaneers' previous five road games against a team with a losing home record.

Falcons are 1-6 SU in their last seven games at home.
Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their previous five home games.
Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a SU win.
Under is 4-1 in Falcons’ previous five games overall.

More Buccaneers and Falcons Trends

Indianapolis Colts (-10, 45.5) at Houston Texans

This line has been a slow burn and has finally reached double digits, as the books cannot find anybody willing to take a Texans ticket. They might even have to start giving them away. Houston is 5-6 ATS on the season, but just 2-9 SU and the offense looks pitiful right now. The Texans are 7-4 to the Under.

The Colts are 8-4 to the Over, as their offense has been really strong the last several weeks. Indianapolis needs a win to get back over .500 and has gone 7-5 ATS through 12 games.

Trends:

Colts are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.
Colts are 5-2 SU in their previous seven games.
Colts are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against Houston.
Colts are 6-1 SU in their previous seven games against Houston.
Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.
Colts are 4-0 ATS in their previous four road games.
Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite.
Colts are 1-5 ATS in their previous six against the AFC South.
Over is 5-0 in Colts' last five games following an ATS loss.
Over is 4-0 in Colts’ previous four road games.
Under is 6-1 in Colts’ last seven against the AFC South.
Over is 5-1 in Colts’ previous six games overall.

Texans are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games.
Texans are 1-9 SU in their previous 10 games.
Texans are 1-7 SU in their last eight games at home.
Under is 5-1 in Texans' last six games overall.

More Colts and Texans Trends

Philadelphia Eagles (-7, 45) at New York Jets

The Eagles suffered a huge setback in terms of their playoff chances last week against the Giants, but they have the opportunity to get that game back against the Jets. Philadelphia is 5-7 SU and 6-6 ATS with a really weak schedule left on the docket. This amounts to a must-win game for the team’s playoff hopes.

The Jets are 3-8 SU and 3-8 ATS after last week’s win over the Texans. The formula seems simple for the Jets. Cover the spread, win the game. New York is 6-5 to the Over, while Philadelphia has split totals down the middle at 6-6.

Trends:

Eagles are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games.
Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their previous five games against the Jets.
Eagles are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games against the Jets.
Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their previous 13 games on the road.
Eagles are 5-0 SU in their last five games when playing on the road against the Jets.
Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their previous 13 games as a favorite.
Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games.
Over is 7-3 in Eagles' previous 10 games as a road favorite.

Jets are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games at home.
Jets are 3-9 ATS in their previous 12 games.
Jets are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games at home.
Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win.
Jets are 1-6 ATS against a team with a losing record.
Over is 6-2 in Jets’ previous eight games as an underdog.

More Eagles and Jets Trends

Los Angeles Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals (-3, 50.5)

The Chargers and Bengals are right in the thick of the AFC playoff chase, so this is yet another big game for postseason hopefuls. The Chargers are 6-5 SU and 5-6 ATS after last week’s missed opportunity against the Broncos. The Chargers are 7-4 to the Under this season, which is a little surprising given the porous run defense and all of the offensive weapons.

The Bengals are 7-4 SU and 6-4-1 ATS and a win here would greatly enhance their playoff probability. Cincinnati is 6-5 to the Under. This game could have a little bit of weather with some rain and wind, so keep a close eye on the total, which did go up early in the week.

Trends:

Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games.
Chargers are 10-5 SU in their previous 15 games.
Chargers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games against Cincinnati.
Chargers are 5-2 SU in their previous seven games when playing on the road against the Bengals.
Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Chargers’ previous five games as an underdog.

Bengals are 4-2 ATS in their last six games.
Bengals are 6-3 SU in their previous nine games.
Bengals are 2-4 ATS in their last six games at home.
Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their previous seven home games against a team with a winning road record.
Bengals are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win.
Over is 6-1 in Bengals’ previous seven home games against a team with a winning road record.
Over is 4-1 in Bengals’ last five games overall.

More Chargers and Bengals Trends

New York Giants at Miami Dolphins (-4, 40.5)

With questions about the health of Daniel Jones, we’ve seen the Dolphins become a bigger favorite in this matchup in South Florida. The Giants are 4-7 SU and 6-5 ATS coming off of last week’s win over the Eagles, but the box score suggests that the Giants put the “it’s better to be lucky than good” expression to the test.

The Dolphins have rattled off four in a row to improve to 5-7. A win here would do wonders for their small, albeit present, playoff hopes. The Dolphins are 6-6 ATS through 12 games. Both teams have been kind to under bettors, with Miami 7-5 and New York 7-3-1 to the low side of the total.

Trends:

Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
Giants are 5-10 SU in their previous 15 games.
Giants are 7-1 SU in their last eight games against Miami.
Giants are 1-5 SU in their previous six games on the road.
Giants are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their previous five games overall.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.

Dolphins are 4-0-1 ATS in previous last five games overall.
Dolphins are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 4-1 in Dolphins' previous five games following a SU win.
Under is 6-2 in Dolphins’ last eight games as a home favorite.

More Giants and Dolphins Trends

Washington Football Team at Las Vegas Raiders (-2.5, 49.5)

The Raiders greatly increased their playoff hopes with last Thursday’s win against the Cowboys. They’ll take on another NFC East team here, but will have some extra rest and also the support of the home crowd. Las Vegas is 6-5 SU and 5-6 ATS on the year. The Raiders are also 6-5 to the Over, so they’ve been pegged pretty well by the books and the bettors.

Washington is 5-6 SU and 4-7 ATS on the season. The Football Team has played better of late, but the early-season hole may have been dug a bit too deep. A win this week could make things interesting, though. Washington is 6-5 to the Under through 11 games.

Trends:

Washington is 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Raiders.
Washington is 4-1 SU in their previous five games against the Raiders.
Washington is 2-4 ATS in their last six games on the road.
Washington is 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games following an ATS win.
Washington is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Washington is 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games as an underdog.
Over is 7-2 in Washington’s last nine games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.

Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their previous five home games.
Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite.
Raiders are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Raiders' previous five against a team with a losing record.
Over is 8-2 in Raiders' last 10 home games.

More Washington and Raiders Trends

Jacksonville Jaguars at Los Angeles Rams (-13.5, 48)

The Rams have done well to secure wins against bad teams and they’ll have another opportunity here. Los Angeles is almost a two-touchdown favorite for this tilt against the visiting Jaguars, who are just 2-9 SU on the season. Both of these teams are 4-7 ATS, which is pretty interesting given a five-game difference in actual win-loss record.

The Rams have had issues with good to average teams, but Jacksonville doesn’t exactly fit that mold. The Jags are 9-2 to the Under and the Rams are 6-4-1 to the Over. With three losses in a row, the Rams need a win here to go from seven to eight in the win column. It has been a long time coming.

Trends:

Jaguars are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against the Rams.
Jaguars are 1-4 SU in their previous five games against the Rams.
Jaguars are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games on the road.
Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their previous four road games against a team with a winning home record.
Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Jaguars’ previous four games following a SU loss.

Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
Rams are 0-4 ATS in their previous four games following an ATS loss.
Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Rams' previous four home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 14-3 in Rams’ last 17 games as a home favorite.

More Jaguars and Rams Trends

Baltimore Ravens (-4.5, 44) at Pittsburgh Steelers

We’ve got a rare EST game in the 4 p.m. window here between the Ravens and Steelers. These two AFC North rivals know each other very well and these are always physical games. Baltimore is 8-3 SU on the season and 5-6 ATS. The Ravens are 6-5 to the Under through 11 games.

Pittsburgh is 5-5-1, as the Steelers participated in the only tie of the season against the Lions. The Steelers are also just 4-7 ATS on the year. They have really not performed all that well, but remain a viable playoff contender despite it all. Like Baltimore, Pittsburgh is also 6-5 to the Under.

Trends:

Ravens are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games.
Ravens are 3-6 SU in their previous nine games against the Steelers.
Ravens are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games when playing on the road against the Steelers.
Ravens are 8-3 SU in their previous 11 games this season.
Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win.
Under is 4-0 in Ravens’ previous four road games.
Under is 5-1 in Ravens’ last six games as a road favorite.

Steelers are 3-8 ATS in their previous 11 games following a SU loss.
Steelers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
Under is 5-2 in Steelers' last seven games following an ATS loss.
Under is 7-3 in Steelers' previous 10 games as a home underdog.

More Ravens and Steelers Trends

San Francisco 49ers (-3, 46) at Seattle Seahawks

The 49ers are surging right now and are very much in the thick of things in the playoff chase with a 6-5 SU record. San Francisco is 5-6 ATS, a mark that has improved gradually over the last few weeks as well. The Niners are 6-5 to the Over. This is a great opportunity for San Francisco to put pressure on other playoff contenders against a struggling Seahawks bunch.

Seattle is just 3-8 SU and 5-6 ATS on the year. The poor offensive play from both Russell Wilson and Geno Smith has the Seahawks with nine Unders against just two Overs. This is a very uncharacteristic season from the Seahawks and one that could signal some big changes going forward.

Trends:

49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
49ers are 5-15 ATS in their previous 20 games against the Seahawks.
49ers are 5-1 SU in their last six games on the road.
49ers are 4-10 ATS in their previous 14 games as a favorite.
Over is 7-1 in 49ers’ last eight games following an ATS win.

Seahawks are 1-5 SU in their previous six games at home.
Seahawks are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against San Francisco.
Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their previous five against the NFC West.
Under is 6-0 in Seahawks’ last six games as an underdog.

More 49ers and Seahawks Trends

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5, 47)

The Broncos and Chiefs were flexed into Sunday Night Football here, so they’ll play in Sunday’s late game. Kansas City is 7-4 SU and 4-7 ATS, as the Chiefs seem to be rounding into form and have actually covered a few numbers lately. That was something they rarely did last season. The Chiefs are 6-5 to the Under.

Denver is 9-2 to the Under, so that’s the first thing you notice about their results to date. The Broncos improved to 6-5 with last week’s win and 6-4-1 ATS. They’re right in the middle of the playoff race and also the AFC West race. This is a huge game in that regard.

Trends:

Broncos are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against the Chiefs.
Broncos are 0-10 SU in their previous 10 games against the Chiefs.
Broncos are 0-5 SU in their last five games when playing on the road against the Chiefs.
Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their previous five road games against a team with a winning home record.
Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last five against the AFC.
Under is 5-0 in Broncos’ previous five games overall.
Under is 4-0 in Broncos’ last four games as an underdog.

Chiefs are 2-10 ATS in their previous 12 games at home.
Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their previous six games following a ATS win.
Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite.
Chiefs are 2-10 ATS in their previous 12 against the AFC.
Chiefs are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games.
Under is 5-1 in Chiefs’ previous six games overall.
Under is 5-1 in Chiefs’ last six games as a favorite.

More Broncos and Chiefs Trends

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (-2.5, 43)

The Patriots and Bills meet on Monday Night Football in a game with gargantuan implications in the AFC East. New England has not had the bye week yet and has one more win than Buffalo, but both teams have the same number of losses. The Patriots are 8-4 SU and 8-4 ATS, while the Bills are 7-4 SU and 7-4 ATS.

During the Tom Brady years, this was an extremely one-sided rivalry. Now, the two teams appear to be on pretty equal footing. This should be a great one on MNF. The total is likely to be a sharp number, as the Patriots are 6-6 on totals and the Bills are 6-5 to the Under.

Trends:

Patriots are 6-0 ATS in their last six games.
Patriots are 6-3 ATS in their previous nine games against the Bills.
Patriots are 5-0 SU in their last five games on the road.
Patriots are 8-1 SU in their previous nine games when playing on the road against the Bills.
Over is 4-0 in Patriots’ last four against a team with a winning record.

Bills are 13-6-1 ATS in their previous 20 games.
Bills are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games.
Bills are 10-2 SU in their previous 12 games at home.
Under is 5-1 in Patriots’ last six Monday games.
Bills are 4-0-1 ATS in their previous five against the AFC East.
Over is 4-1 in Bills’ last five games following an ATS win.

More Patriots and Bills Trends

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