Everything is bigger in Texas, including sniper Jason Robertson’s shot volume. The 23-year-old has scored most of his goals on home ice this season thanks to his elite ability to generate shots on goal. Read on to find out why Robertson is a good bet to go over his shot total (3.5) on Monday.
Jason Robertson Over 3.5 Shots (-120)
Dallas (-350) has lost three home games in a row, but Monday is a good spot to turn things around. The Ducks (+290) have won three in a row, but let’s look at the big picture here. The Stars rank fifth in the league, while the Ducks occupy the 30th spot, and this matchup presents a difficult challenge for the latter in terms of style.
The Ducks rank 32nd in shots (per 60 minutes) and they’ve been especially bad on the road. It’s not unusual for teams to generate upwards of 40 shots on goal against the Ducks, and that’s why the attention should be on Stars’ forward Jason Robertson, who is fresh off his first All-Star game appearance.
Robertson leads the Stars in shots and after a brief stint playing on a line with Tyler Seguin, the 23-year-old is back with Roope Hintz. Only six players generated more shots (per 60) than Robertson prior to Hintz’ injury on Jan. 8th and now they’re back together on the top line.
Home and road splits matter, too. It’s no wonder that Robertson has scored 22 of his 33 goals on home ice. He’s generated at least four shots on goal in 16 out of 24 home games so far this season compared to just 13 of 26 times on the road. Robertson is a good bet to register at least four shots on goal at -120.
Units Won: -1.2 units
ROI: -6.1 percent
All bets tracked via third-party app Betstamp.