Tuesday NHL Line Moves You Should Know About


Bettors are in for a treat today as we have a loaded betting menu filled with 25-plus college basketball games, 5 NBA games and 9 NHL games. For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at noon ET. I'll be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:45 p.m. ET to offer a market update. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3-5 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, with NHL taking center stage tonight, let's discuss several line moves and betting system matches across the ice…


6 p.m. ET: Buffalo Sabres (4-4-2) at New York Islanders (3-4-2)
Both of these East Division foes have struggled out of the gate and find themselves at the bottom of the standings. The Sabres have dropped two of their last three while the Islanders have lost four in a row. New York opened as a -135 home favorite and the Islanders match several profitable systems this season. The Isles are a home favorite (57-19, 75%) and a favorite off a loss (34-10, 77%). New York has been awful on the road this season (1-4-2) but is 2-0 at home. We might also be looking at a lower scoring game. The total is 5.5 with the under juiced to -135. Buffalo is 6-4 to the over this season but the Isles are 7-2 to the under.

8:30 p.m. ET: Minnesota Wild (6-4) at Colorado Avalanche (6-3-1)
These West Division opponents will be playing their third consecutive game against each other. The two split the first two games in Minnesota and now will play two more in Colorado. This line opened with the Avs listed as -150 home favorite and the line has quickly ballooned to -165. The Avs have value as a home favorite (57-19, 75%) and a favorite off a loss (34-10, 77%). Colorado is also a favorite off a loss vs an opponent off a win (27-7, 79%). The Avs are %plussign% 13 in goal differential. The Wild are only %plussign% 1.

10 p.m. ET: Ottawa Senators (1-7-1) at Edmonton Oilers (5-6)
These teams played two nights ago and the Oilers cruised to a dominant 8-5 win. The Senators own the worst record in the NHL, are -22 in goal differential and are 0-5 on the road. This line opened with Edmonton listed as a hefty -215 home favorite and we've seen some shops jump closer to -230. Home favorites like the Oilers are 57-19 (75%) this season. Big favorites of -200 or more are 11-2 (85%). This total is a high 6.5. But respected money seems to expect another shootout as the over is juiced up to -130. Both of these teams have been profitable to the over this season, with the Senators 5-4 and the Oilers 7-3-1.

10 p.m. ET: Anaheim Ducks (3-5-2) at Los Angeles Kings (3-3-2)
Both of these West Division rivals are looking to bounce back from losses. The Ducks have dropped three straight while the Kings just saw their two-game win streak snapped. The line opened with Los Angeles listed as a short -115 home favorite and the line has climbed to -120, signaling some respected money laying the chalk price. The Kings have value as a home favorite (57-19. 75% this season) and a favorite off a loss (34-10, 77%). Los Angeles also enjoys a big rest advantage, having last played on Thursday while Anaheim played on Sunday. Rested favorites with at least three days between games are 13-7 (65%) this season. When they play a tired team (only one or two days between games) the rested favorite improves to 8-1 (89%). Books also seem to have liability on the lower scoring game. The total is 5.5 with the under juiced up to -135. The over is 6- 2 in Kings games this season but the under is 7-2-1 in Ducks games.

Previous articleDiving into trends for Super Bowl LV
Next articleWithers, Sam Davis aim to shake history
Josh Appelbaum is a Sports Betting Analyst at VSiN and has been working in the betting industry since 2011. He has been with VSiN since 2019, contributing data-driven articles to VSiN.com, hosting the Morning Bets and Market Insights Podcasts and appearing on VSiN and DraftKings programs such as Follow the Money, The Lombardi Line, Sharp Money and The Sweat. He is a contrarian bettor and also the author of The Everything Guide to Sports Betting.