Nitto ATP Finals tennis best bets: Daniil Medvedev vs. Carlos Alcaraz – Friday, November 17


Nitto ATP Finals tennis best bets: Medvedev vs. Alcaraz – Friday, November 17

There isn’t much time left in the 2023 tennis season, but the Nitto ATP Finals should help us go out with a bang. The ATP Tour’s top players are in Turin, Italy for this year-end event and we’re getting close to the knockout portion of the tournament. This is a tournament in which a lot of pride — and even more money — is on the line. So, these players all badly want to win. With that in mind, I’ll be providing you with daily tennis bets for the rest of the week, and that continues with my plays on Friday, November 17.


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Daniil Medvedev vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This price seems very off to me. In fact, it’s so odd that it’s actually scaring me a bit. But I’m going with my instincts and putting a big play on Alcaraz. Medvedev is already through to the semifinals because of his straight-set wins over Andrey Rublev and Alexander Zverev in group play. However, Alcaraz needs to win in order to have a chance of getting to the semifinals. With that in mind, this match means a lot more to Alcaraz, who is already the better player between these two. And Medvedev is going to need his legs in order to have a shot at winning this tournament, as he relies mostly on defense to win matches. So, why exactly would he try and expend a lot of energy to win a meaningless match? I think Medvedev is going to come out and play more aggressive than ever, trying to win points in a hurry and get off the court as soon as he can. That’s not what Medvedev does best, which gives Alcaraz a big edge here. Alcaraz also played a flawless match in his win over Rublev, so I think he has momentum here. I also think Alcaraz will want revenge after having lost to Medvedev at the US Open. 

Bet: Alcaraz ML (-145 – 2.5 units)

2023 Overall Record: 316-288 (+55.41 units) 

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Zach has been writing about betting since he was a student at the University of Wisconsin, which is when he started working with StatFox — and contributing to the weekly Platinum Sheet. His work has since been featured for brands like Covers, Sports Illustrated and Tennis Channel. Zach is extremely passionate about the NBA, but he does a bit of everything and has found a niche as a tennis handicapper. Outside of work, Zach likes nothing more than shooting around in an empty gym or watching bad comedies.