Miami open preview and tennis best bets for Saturday, March 23
The second half of the “Sunshine Double” is the Miami Open, which takes place at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida over the next two weeks. This tournament, much like the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, is one of the biggest non-majors of the year. So, even though Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal aren’t in the Miami Open field, this is still a loaded event for both the men and the women. With that in mind, we’ll have you covered with tennis best bets throughout. That continues with picks for Saturday, March 23rd. Keep reading for some of my favorite plays of the day, but make sure you check the Pro Picks page for more. I like to see how the odds move throughout the day and I tend to add a few picks each day.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts are betting!
2023 Results: 275-249 (+47.53 units)
2024 Results: 158-183 (+2.97 units)
Jack Draper vs. Nicolas Jarry
Draper is probably a better all-around player than Jarry, but these odds seem a bit off. Jarry hasn’t had a great season thus far, but he has a booming serve and the ability to really dictate play from the baseline. If he’s playing at anything close to his best level, this is a match that should be extremely competitive. On top of that, Draper is a player with serious conditioning concerns. As an overweight individual, I won’t sit here and tell you he’s out of shape. Draper is actually extremely chiseled and looks like he can star in a Marvel movie. But he has had problems battling humidity throughout his career. So, if this ends up being a physical match, Jarry should outlast him. That’s why I’m playing Jarry to win a set and also sprinkling the moneyline. I don’t think it’s a guarantee that Draper even finishes this match.
Bet: Jarry +1.5 Sets (-128 – 1.5 units) & Jarry ML (+240 – 0.5 units)
Alex Michelsen vs. Tallon Griekspoor
This is a match between two players with a ton of power, but Griekspoor just has more experience and polish to his game. That should help him overcome the crowd support Michelsen will have. Griekspoor has had some tough losses this year, but those were against far better players than Michelsen. Honestly, these odds feel a little disrespectful considering what Griekspoor has accomplished on tour in the last two years. That will matter when we get to big points and Michelsen doesn’t know how to handle himself. He hasn’t quite been there before.
Bet: Griekspoor ML (-122 – 1.5 units)
Dan Evans vs. Christopher Eubanks
Evans has a much better all-around game than Eubanks. Sure, the American has an absolute missile of a serve, but Evans should be able to put pressure on him by blocking the ball back. The Brit is a much better baseline player, so most long rallies should go his way. Evans also snapped out of his funk with a win over Lorenzo Sonego. He had never beaten Sonego before and went into that match in poor form. But he came bursting out of it by dominating the second and third sets. Look for Evans to build on that now.
Bet: Evans ML (-155)
Added Plays
Katie Boulter ML (+105 – 1.5 units) vs. Beatriz Haddad Maia
Victoria Azarenka ML (+134) vs. Qinwen Zheng
Sebastian Korda -1.5 Sets (+120) vs. Roberto Bautista Agut
Friday’s Plays
Andy Murray ML (-150 – 1.5 units) vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry
