Tennis best bets for Wimbledon – Monday, July 3rd
Wimbledon is the third major of the tennis season and it’s arguably the most prestigious of the four. The All England Club in London, England is one of the most beautiful venues that the sport has to offer, and the exclusive nature of grass-court tennis gives it a different feel than the rest. I’m very much looking forward to the event getting started, as I’m coming off a French Open in which I went up about 16 units with all written plays and picks posted on the Pro Picks page. I’m hoping to continue dishing out winners over the next two weeks, so make sure you keep reading for my tennis best bets.
Storm Hunter vs. Xinyu Wang (Scheduled for 8:00 a.m. ET)
My only early play on the women’s side has me looking to Hunter to beat Wang in the opening round. Despite being 0-2 against Wang in her career, Hunter still comes into this match at even odds. That’s a little suspicious considering she’s also about 100 spots below Wang in the rankings. This feels like a spot in which the oddsmakers desperately want people to back Wang, so I’m going the other way with it.
Hunter also happens to have some skills that should make her a tough out in London. The Australian is a double specialist, so she knows the importance of serving and finishing points at the net. On quick, grass-court surfaces, that’s even more important. Hunter also looked very impressive in going through Wimbledon qualifying, as she won all three of her matches and didn’t drop a single set. It’s also hard to ignore that Wang is just 4-7 in her last 11 matches.
Bet: Hunter ML (-110)
Mackenzie McDonald vs. Alexander Bublik (Scheduled for 9:30 a.m. ET)
I was surprised to see that Bublik isn’t a much bigger favorite over McDonald. I’m a big fan of the American’s all-around game, and he’s a player that can be really tough to out on most surfaces. But I’m not sure he has the power required to take down a superior player on a surface that really rewards strength. Bublik has a booming first serve and a ton of power from the baseline, while also having insane touch to mix in and catch opponents off guard.
Bublik also happens to be scorching hot coming into this event, as he won a title a title in Halle last week. In that tournament, he ousted Borna Coric, Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev and Andrey Rublev. Bublik is a much better player than people think and he’ll have a chance to show that with a deep run in London. McDonald also happens to be coming into this match after having choked in the semifinals against Francisco Cerundolo in Eastbourne. So, he might be second-guessing himself here.
Bet: Bublik -1.5 Sets (-145)
Quentin Halys vs. Daniel Evans (Scheduled for 11:00 a.m. ET)
This is one of the plays I’ve been targeting since seeing the draw. Evans is a British player, so I think people will naturally assume he’s great on grass. But the results say otherwise and this is also a player that has been flat-out miserable since the start of the 2023 season. Evans is just 8-17 in 2023 and that’s the worst winning percentage he’s had at the ATP level.
Halys also has the game to really frustrate Evans in this spot. He’s a very big server and likes to come to the net to win points quickly. That will make him a tough guy for Evans to beat, as the Brit can occasionally let service games slip away. Halys isn’t going to be doing much of that, which is why I believe the Frenchman will win this one somewhat easily. Maybe the crowd helps Evans win a set, but I’d be surprised if Halys doesn’t win in four or less.
Bet: Halys ML (+100)