Anytime I have a chance to listen to professional bettor Rufus Peabody on VSiN — or in person, for that matter — I take it.
Rufus joined Gill Alexander, along with regulars Will Hill and Todd Wishnev, on the Super Bowl edition of the Beating the Book podcast.
Peabody first became widely known in the sports betting world for his Super Bowl prop wagers, an area where he consistently found inefficiencies before the broader market caught up.
These days, his approach looks a little different.
He’s no longer waiting in line at the Westgate for opening numbers. Instead, Rufus is more patient — letting the market develop, then stepping in later in the week to target mispriced props, alt lines, and scenarios where the probability of different game scripts isn’t being priced correctly.
If you have the time, his full appearance is well worth a listen. But here are a few of the Super Bowl prop angles Rufus has already circled:
➡️ Kenneth Walker unders
Rufus cited uncertainty around Walker’s usage, combined with the Patriots’ strong run defense.
➡️ Trayveon Henderson props
He raised the possibility that Henderson’s snap count rebounds relative to Rhamondre Stevenson, noting a wider range of outcomes than the market may be accounting for.
➡️ Three unanswered scores — Yes
Rufus recommends playing the “Yes” up to -170, pointing out that it occurs far more often than public intuition suggests.
👉 More from Rufus and Gill’s crew: Watch / Listen
Reminder: Now’s the time to get the 25-page VSiN Super Bowl Betting Guide with analysis, predictions and Best Bets from our hosts and writers.
👉 Go here
Best Bets columns are starting to roll in on the Patriots-Seahawks matchup. You will find them — along with everything else we’re producing — at our Super Bowl Hub.
Deadline day for NBA
The NBA trading deadline hits today at 3 p.m. ET today.
Zach Cohen is tracking all the deals and weighing their impact for bettors.
On the Warriors’ acquisition of Kristaps Porzingis: Acquiring Porzingis isn’t acquiring Giannis, but the Warriors added a good two-way contributor. If they can keep him healthy, he should make Golden State a much better team.
Zach’s Best Bets and Steve Makinen‘s Analytics Report will hit around mid-morning on our NBA page. And don’t miss Zach’s takes on the Hardwood Handicappers podcast.
Quick Hits
PGA: The Phoenix Open tees off at 9:20 a.m. ET. Wes Reynolds has Best Bets for the boisterous Phoenix Open and joins Matt Brown and Kelley Bydlon on the Long Shots podcast.
College Basketball:Greg “Hoops” Peterson has picks for today’s menu. Adam Burke offers his Best Bets Monday–Saturday, available mid-morning on our college basketball page. You’ll also find Tyler Shoemaker’s picks, based on his men’s and women’s power ratings, Monday–Thursday.
Get real-time steam alerts from the DonBest Screen. Sign up now for a 7-day free trial at go.donbest.com. Use the promo code VSIN10 for 10% off your initial subscription.
NHL: VSiN hockey analyst Jonathan Davis will post his Best Bets around mid-day.
Horse Racing: We have Aqueduct picks from the Daily Racing Form’s Mike Welsch.
