Paul vs. Joshua
Those who have been waiting for Jake Paul to face real stiff competition in the ring are going to get their wish. Judgment Day on Friday, Dec. 19 in Miami features Paul vs. Joshua, as two-time heavyweight champion Anthony Joshua will tie on the gloves and fight the YouTube star turned “professional” fighter.
The 36-year-old Joshua is a legitimate opponent for Paul. He stands five inches taller and will likely fight at 245 pounds, while Paul is aiming to be around 230, but may wind up around 220-225. The fight will take place at the Kaseya Center, which was formerly known as American Airlines Arena and FTX Arena, or better known as the home of the Miami Heat.
A full undercard is also on hand here, including title fights for the WBC female lightweight and strawweight titles, as well as the undisputed bantamweight title and the unified super-featherweight title. We’ll also get former UFC competitors with Anderson Silva vs. Tyron Woodley.
Paul vs. Joshua Odds for Judgment Day
Jake Paul +700 / Anthony Joshua -1200
Total Rounds: Over/Under 2.5 Rounds (-140/105)
Fight to Go The Distance: Yes +350; No -550
All odds as of Wednesday, Dec. 17 at 11 a.m. PT
Paul vs. Joshua Date for Judgment Day
Friday, December 19, 2025
Paul vs. Joshua expected to be around 10:30 p.m. ET
How to Watch Paul vs. Joshua Judgment Day
Netflix
Paul vs. Joshua Rules for Judgment Day
- Eight rounds of three minutes
- 10 oz. gloves
- Sanctioned as heavyweight bout (max weight: 245 lbs.)
Paul vs. Joshua Prediction for Judgment Day
Paul beat Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. by unanimous decision back in June, a step up from his previous fight against Mike Tyson. This is the first time that Paul has really fought a boxer of note. He lost to Tommy Fury back in 2023 and Tommy is a fraction of the fighter that his half-brother Tyson is. But, at least Tommy had something of a professional career.
Joshua hasn’t stepped into the ring since losing to Daniel Dubois back in September 2024 when he was knocked out for just the second time in his career and lost the IBF heavyweight title. His four career losses are to Dubois, Oleksandr Usyk twice, and Andy Ruiz Jr., a fighter he got revenge against six months later to win back his WBA, IBP, WBO, and IBO heavyweight titles.
The 38-year-old Usyk was the Olympic gold medalist at heavyweight in the 2012 Olympics. Dubois has also lost to Usyk twice, including his most recent fight in July. Oh, and the 36-year-old Joshua was the super-heavyweight gold medalist in the 2012 London Games.
In other words, unless there’s some sort of backroom deal or agreement, Paul is facing a boxer whose only career losses have been against titleholders in the heavyweight division. Paul is deservedly a huge underdog in this fight and if everything is on the up-and-up. Previous fights have been against the occasional journeyman boxer, MMA guys transitioning to boxing, and whatever we want to call Tyson at this stage.
Again, assuming everything is above board with this fight, Joshua at -1200 isn’t even high enough. He’s -400 to win by KO/TKO/DQ and +120 to Win in Rounds 1-2. Certainly there’s some equity for these two guys in making sure that the fight has a little bit of length to it. Joshua to Win in Rounds 3-4 at +260 makes some sense, as it gives Paul’s ability to hang in the fight some measure of legitimacy and also has the fight going long enough to get some run and some more sponsorship dollars.
Pick: Joshua to Win in Rounds 3-4 (+260)
