2026 A-10 Conference Basketball Tournament Odds & Predictions

The A-10 Conference Tournament will be played in Pittsburgh for the first time since 2017, as the conference heads back to PPG Paints Arena for this year’s edition of the tourney. Saint Louis has already secured an at-large bid, so we’ll see if the A-10 can get two teams into the NCAA Tournament or not. The Billikens are the favorites and the highest-ranked team (41) in the conference, but KenPom has VCU just four spots back. 

All 14 teams qualify for the conference tournament and this is a pretty deep conference overall. KenPom has five teams in his top 100 and Bart Torvik has six, with Davidson the difference between the two rankings sites. The top four seeds get a bye to the quarterfinals on Friday, while the bottom four seeds play in the first round on Wednesday. Seeds 6 through 10, plus the Wednesday winners, play on Thursday.

How to Watch the A-10 Conference Tournament

When: March 11-15

Where: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA (last hosted in 2017)

Format: Top four seeds get byes to the quarterfinals, seeds 5 through 10 get a bye to the second round, bottom four seeds play in first round

Watch: USA Network, CNBC, CBS Sports Network, CBS; Championship Game on CBS on Mar. 15 at 1 p.m. ET

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A-10 Conference Tournament Bracket

Coming soon.

A-10 Conference Tournament Seeds, Teams and Odds

1. Saint Louis (+125)

2. VCU (+180)

3. Saint Joseph’s (+1200)

4. Dayton (+750)

5. George Mason (+5000)

6. Davidson (+2500)

7. Duquesne (+6000)

8. Fordham (+20000)

9. George Washington (+1600)

10. Rhode Island (+8000)

11. Richmond (+20000)

12. La Salle (+50000)

13. St. Bonaventure (+25000)

14. Loyola Chicago (+50000)

Current Odds

(odds from DraftKings Sportsbook accurate at time of publish)

Favorite To Win A-10 Conference Tournament

Unlike all of last week’s conference tournaments, where everybody had some measure of motivation and some teams had a lot more than others, it’s fair to wonder how invested Saint Louis will be this week. The Billikens are in, it’s just a matter basically of where they get seeded. The Bracket Matrix has them listed as a No. 8 seed. VCU is on the bubble, but they could punch a no-doubt ticket by winning in Pittsburgh.

The Billikens don’t need to win here. And they’re 3-3 over their last six games. They’ve done enough to be in, including two wins over VCU and a Quadrant 1 win over Santa Clara on a neutral. They also own a very good win over Grand Canyon. But, this team might be running out of gas a bit and head coach Josh Schertz, whose name is coming up for coaching vacancies, may not be hellbent on winning this. I’m not saying he’ll outwardly tank it, but the rest is likely more important to SLU than playing three games in three days.

This is one of the nation’s best offensive and defensive teams. The Billikens were No. 1 in adjusted offensive efficiency during conference play, tops in eFG% offense and defense, and tops in 2P% offense and defense and 3P% offense and defense. Nationally, this has been a top-five team in eFG% offense and defense most of the season.

A-10 Conference Tournament Darkhorse

VCU isn’t a darkhorse with their price, but they were second in adjusted offensive efficiency and seventh in adjusted defensive efficiency in A-10 play. Saint Joseph’s and Dayton were the two teams that graded higher on defense than Saint Louis. VCU was not far behind on offense, largely because of their lower TO% at 14.5%. Saint Louis was significantly better at making shots.

Anyway, as far as a darkhorse goes, Rhode Island, Dayton, and George Mason are the teams that beat Saint Louis during the regular season. Along with two losses to SLU, VCU’s other loss was to George Mason. Almost by default, that puts George Mason into consideration, though their statistical profile in conference play was not terribly impressive, ranking sixth in adjusted offensive efficiency and ninth in adjusted defensive efficiency. GMU also played Dayton, their quarterfinal opponent if they get there, at home on Feb. 18 and lost by 15, allowing a season-high 1.308 points per possession.

Since mid-February, George Mason is second in the conference in adjusted offensive efficiency. At a big price, they’re worthy of consideration. As usual, price out a moneyline rollover to see if that’s more effective.

Betting Pick to Win The A-10 Conference Tournament

It will be VCU here for me, as the Rams are clearly the second-best team in the conference and maybe the best in the conference right now with how Saint Louis has stumbled down the stretch. I did just applaud George Mason, but it should be noted that Dayton is 6-1 over the last seven games with the third-ranked adjusted offensive efficiency and top-ranked adjusted defensive efficiency. If Saint Louis is motivated, though, George Mason, Saint Louis, and then VCU is a tougher road than what VCU faces.

Pick: VCU (+180)

Makinen Power Ratings for A-10 Conference

Coming soon.

  • The first round of the A-10 tournament is the only one in which underdogs have fared well historically, going 13-12 SU and 18-6-1 ATS (75%) since 2015.
  • The Atlantic 10 is one of just a few conferences that hosts a “second round” in its tournament. Favorites have been nearly automatic in this round since 2014, going 38-5 SU. Those laying 5.5-points or less are on an incredible 20-2 SU and 18-4 ATS (81.8%) surge.
  • Atlantic 10 favorites are on a run of 23-5 SU and 20-8 ATS (71.4%) in the quarterfinal round.
  • Favorites have also thrived in the semifinals of the A-10 tourney, 14-6 SU and 12-8 ATS (60%) in the last 10 brackets. However, they were 0-2 ATS last year.
  • A-10 totals of 144 or higher have been predictably high scoring, going 22-10 Over the total (68.8%) since 2014, including 4-0 in 2025.

Check out the other previews in our 2026 College Basketball Conference Tournament Betting Guide.

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