Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Friday’s betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.

You can always track the latest odds and betting percentages for every game using our VSiN Betting Splits.

 

***Top College Basketball Betting Resources***

*Join thousands of other sports bettors and unlock access to picks, public betting splits data, & the VSiN live video broadcast by upgrading to VSiN Pro. Grab your first month for less than $10.*

In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Friday’s College Basketball slate.

7 p.m. ET: Princeton at Yale (-3, 140.5)

Princeton (15-2) just saw their six-game winning streak come to an end, falling to Cornell 83-68. Meanwhile, Yale (13-6) has won six straight game and just brushed aside Harvard 78-65. This line opened with Yale listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. Right off the bat, this opening line speaks volumes. Why is Yale favored if Princeton has the far better won-loss record? Of course, we have to apply home court advantage to the line. However, shouldn’t the “better” team be favored? If it doesn’t make sense, there is often a reason for it. The public is grabbing the points with trendy dog Princeton. However, despite only receiving 45% of bets we’ve seen Yale move from -2.5 to -3. Some shops have even touched -3.5. This signals smart money embracing the fishy contrarian home favorite. Yale has the edge in defensive efficiency (101st vs 139th) and offensive rebound percentage (30% vs 26%). Ken Pom has Yale winning by one point (70-69). Yale is -155 on the moneyline. Ivy League home favorites are 6-2 (75%) straight up in conference play this season.

9 p.m. ET: Butler at Creighton (-10.5, 147.5)

Butler (14-7) has won three straight and just outlasted Villanova 88-81 in double overtime. Similarly, Creighton (16-5, ranked 13th) has won three straight and just crushed Depaul 85-62. This line opened with Creighton listed as a 9.5-point home favorite. The public isn’t scared off by the big spread and currently 60% of bets laying the points with Creighton at home, expecting a double-digit victory. This lopsided support has driven Creighton up from -9.5 to -10.5. Butler has excellent buy-low inflated line value with a notable Ken Pom edge. Butler is contrarian in the most heavily bet game of the night, receiving only 40% of bets. Butler is also a buy-low unranked team against a sell-high ranked team (roughly 54% ATS over the past two seasons) as well as a conference dog in a rivalry matchup. Ken Pom has Creighton winning by eight points (76-68), which provides actionable value to Butler +10.5. Butler also has value as a “dog who can score” averaging 81 PPG, which means they have the firepower to keep pace and open up the possibility for a back-door cover. Butler has the better offensive rebounding percentage (29 vs 27) and free throw percentage (78 vs 76) as well.

RELATED ARTICLESMORE FROM AUTHOR