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In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for today’s College Basketball slate.

8 p.m. ET: BYU at Oklahoma (-1.5, 150.5)

BYU (16-5, ranked 21st) is riding a two-game winning streak and just took down West Virginia 86-73. On the flip side, Oklahoma (16-6) has dropped three of their last four games and just fell to Central Florida 74-63. This line opened with BYU listed as a short 1.5-point road favorite. Pros have pounced on Oklahoma at home, flipping the Sooners from +1.5 to -1.5. In other words, we are seeing sharp “dog to favorite” line movement on Oklahoma in a buy-low, sell-high spot, as the Sooners have struggled as of late while BYU boasts a winning streak and top-25 ranking. This “fishy” move is also notable because the line is moving away from the ranked team and toward the unranked team. Oklahoma is receiving 66% of spread bets and 73% of spread dollars, further evidence of the bigger, sharper wagers in their favor. Pros have particularly targeted Oklahoma on the moneyline (-125) in what could be tight game. The Sooners are receiving 71% of moneyline bets and 94% of moneyline dollars. Unranked home favorites vs ranked opponents are 16-10 (62%) straight up this season and 59-23 (72%) straight up since 2022. Oklahoma is 11-2 at home. BYU is 2-3 on the road.

8 p.m. ET: Iowa State at Texas (-2, 139)

Iowa State (16-5, ranked 14th) just saw their three-game winning streak come to an end, falling to Baylor 70-68. Meanwhile, Texas (15-7) just snapped their two-game losing skid with a 77-66 win over TCU. This line opened with Texas listed as a 1.5-point home favorite. Right off the bat, this opening line speaks volumes. Why is unranked Texas favored over ranked Iowa State? Shouldn’t it be the other way around. If it doesn’t make sense, there is usually a reason for it. Pros have embraced the fishy home favorite, moving Texas up from -1.5 to -2. Texas is only receiving 51% of spread bets but 66% of spread money, signaling an undecided public but also respected smart money in their favor. Texas had the edge offensively, ranking 22nd in offensive efficiency compared to 49th for Iowa State. Texas also has the better three point percentage (38% vs 36%) and free throw percentage (74% vs 69%). Pros have also taken Texas on the moneyline (-130), as Ken Pom predicts Texas to win by one point (73-72). Texas is receiving 50% of moneyline bets but 75% of moneyline dollars, a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split. Texas is 10-3 at home. Iowa State is 2-3 on the road. Texas also matches the mighty “unranked home favorite vs ranked opponent” system match (59-23, 72% straight up since 2022).

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