College Basketball Best Bets Today:

Plenty of college hoops action comes your way on Wednesday, as we have 43 games to think about on today’s card. The first games don’t start until 6 p.m. ET, so you can get everything done that you need to do and then settle in to watch some hoops. Like yesterday, it’s a “something for everyone” card with some major-conference clashes and some one-bid leagues of varying quality.

Tracking sheet is here. 2023-24 for reference is here.

 

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This article will run Monday-Saturday (not next week, see exception above). Lines will be from DraftKings, as they are widely available to readers. Shop around for the best prices.

Shout-outs to Bart Torvik, Erik Haslam, and Ken Pomeroy, as those are my three primary resources for information when handicapping.

Check the latest college basketball odds for legal U.S. sportsbooks across the country and our Vegas odds if you share a state with us here at VSiN. Also, give the college basketball betting splits a look for these or any other college basketball games today have your interest.

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publish.

Virginia Tech Hokies at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-5.5, 142)

7 p.m. ET

Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech battle it out in Atlanta tonight in a game that should speed the Hokies up a bit. We have a bit of a pace war here, as Virginia Tech ranks 308th in the nation in adjusted tempo per Torvik and Georgia Tech ranks 65th.

It took a bit of time for head coach Mike Young to figure out his rotations and go-to scorers. After opening the season with 1.170 and 1.288 points per possession, the Hokies went the next seven games without scoring better than .957 PPP. This will be their eighth ACC game and they’ve scored at least 1.014 PPP in five of them. They didn’t against Pitt, Stanford (road game), and Wake Forest. But, they’ve also allowed at least 1.079 PPP in six of those seven games.

Georgia Tech has played a pretty tough ACC schedule thus far, so I think their offensive numbers have the chance to improve. They’ve struggled badly on offense against North Carolina, Duke, Syracuse, SMU, and Clemson, but they’ve held their own against teams that I’d put in Virginia Tech’s class on defense, aside from that major outlier effort against the Orange.

They were missing Lance Terry against Clemson and Javian McCollum was injured earlier in the season as well. We should get pretty close to the full lineup here.

Virginia Tech is really good with 3s (81st at 35.8%) and offensive rebounding (83rd in ORB%), but terrible with 2P% defense. Georgia Tech is above the national average from 3 and should get a lot of looks against the Yellow Jackets defense.

Pick: Over 142

Milwaukee Panthers at Wright State Raiders (-1.5, 154)

7 p.m. ET

Horizon League action brings Milwaukee and Wright State together, as the Panthers and Raiders play a game with a high-scoring expectation. Milwaukee is the stronger defensive squad, holding opponents to just 31.7% from 3, a skill that will be tested by a Wright State bunch firing away at 38.1%. 

Bart Lundy’s Panthers are aggressive on both ends of the floor. They will turn the ball over in search of getting it down low, but they do have a 48% shot share on Close Twos and quite a bit of positive regression in the profile with just a 55.3% FG% on those shots. Wright State is a little below the national average defending at the rim. We’ll see if they can neutralize Milwaukee’s rebounding edge, but they haven’t faced many teams that attack the glass like this, so I’m not sure.

Milwaukee is 54th in FT Rate on offense and Wright State is 341st, so this is the type of game where Milwaukee’s aggression to the rim could put Wright State in foul trouble and the Raiders are thin on big bodies that can defend down low. Wright State has had a couple major outlier performances from 3 in conference play, but they’ve been a big inconsistent overall.

With that, I’ll trust Milwaukee’s ability to get to the rim and their perimeter defense to force tough shots.

Pick: Milwaukee +1.5

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