College Basketball Picks Today:
Expert college basketball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top college basketball picks today for Tuesday, December 10.
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Note: Lines are current at time of posting; consider Greg’s line on the game and his explanation before making any bet.
Miami vs. Tennessee
6:30 PM Eastern
Tennessee is usually known for their defense but has ranked third in the country in points scored per possession this season. They face a Miami defense that has been leaky, ranking 282nd in points allowed per possession. However, Miami’s offense is also 19th in points per possession, setting up a high-scoring affair.
Pick: Miami vs. Tennessee Over 144.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 154.5)
Duke vs. Incarnate Word
7:00 PM Eastern
Incarnate Word ranks 26th in the country in points per possession in road games, making 45.5% of their 3-point shots away from home. However, they are 276th in points allowed per possession. Meanwhile, Duke is 16th in points per possession at home and has scored at least 84 points in four of their five home games this season.
Pick: Duke vs. Incarnate Word Over 144 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 151)
Morgan State vs. Xavier
7:00 PM Eastern
Morgan State is 40th in the nation in road rebound percentage. They face a Xavier team whose offense has struggled recently, scoring 72 points or fewer in three straight games while turning the ball over on 23.2% of possessions in that span.
Pick: Morgan State +29 (Greg’s Handicap: Morgan State +22.5)
Wyoming vs. South Dakota
8:00 PM Eastern
South Dakota ranks 342nd in points allowed per possession. While Wyoming’s 13.5 turnovers per game are a concern, the team ranks 39th in the nation in both opponent 3-point shooting percentage and rebound percentage. South Dakota has struggled on the glass, ranking 267th in rebound percentage.
Pick: Wyoming Moneyline -105 (Greg’s Handicap: Wyoming -4.5)
Providence vs. DePaul
8:30 PM Eastern
The return of Bryce Hopkins should help a Providence offense that ranks 134th in the country in points per possession. However, DePaul enters the game ranked 20th in points per possession and should exploit a Providence defense allowing opponents to shoot 38.2% from 3-point range in games away from home.
Pick: DePaul -1 (Greg’s Handicap: DePaul -4)
Michigan vs. Arkansas
9:00 PM Eastern
Michigan’s ball security is a concern, ranking 330th in turnovers per possession. They face an Arkansas defense that is 12th in the country in points allowed per possession. Additionally, Michigan’s 3-point shooting drops from 38.1% at home to 32.5% away from home, while Arkansas is maintaining 35% 3-point shooting on the road.
Pick: Arkansas +5 (Greg’s Handicap: Arkansas -2)
Wisconsin vs. Illinois
9:00 PM Eastern
Illinois has been impressive on defense, ranking second in the country in points allowed per possession. Meanwhile, Wisconsin appears to be reverting back to their slow, controlled style, ranking 271st or slower in total possessions per game in every season since 2006-07.
Pick: Wisconsin vs. Illinois Under 154.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 147.5)
UMKC vs. Portland
10:00 PM Eastern
Both teams have struggled to gain offensive rhythm this season, with UMKC ranking 334th and Portland 331st in points scored per possession. UMKC plays a slow, controlled style, ranking 291st in possessions per game.
Pick: UMKC vs. Portland Under 145 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 139)
Eastern Washington vs. Washington
11:00 PM Eastern
Washington ranks just 259th in points scored per possession. Eastern Washington, meanwhile, got back 12.2 PPG scorer Mason Williams in their previous game after he missed five straight due to injury.
Pick: Eastern Washington +13.5 (Greg’s Handicap: Eastern Washington +9.5)