College Basketball Picks Today:
Expert college basketball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top college basketball picks today for Sunday, February 16.
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12:00 PM Eastern
Florida Atlantic vs. Temple
Florida Atlantic ranks 357th in the country in opponent 3-point shooting at 38.4%, while Temple is making 38.5% of their 3-point shots at home, ranking 49th in the nation. Temple is also one of the best teams in the country at getting to the free-throw line, ranking sixth in made free throws on a per-possession basis.
Pick: Temple +2.5 (Greg’s Handicap: Temple -3)
1:00 PM Eastern
Michigan vs. Ohio State
Michigan’s biggest issue is turnovers, ranking 315th in turnovers per possession committed. Ohio State, however, is only 219th in turnovers per possession generated, which should allow clean possessions for Michigan to use their fifth-ranked 2-point shooting percentage. Michigan is 39th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage at 31%.
Pick: Michigan +2.5 (Greg’s Handicap: Michigan -1.5)
2:00 PM Eastern
Rider vs. St. Peter’s
St. Peter’s ranks 83rd in points per possession allowed on defense, while Rider is 273rd in this category. Rider is also just 291st in points per possession and 341st in 3-point shooting percentage on offense. St. Peter’s is rebounding 35.8% of their missed shots, which ranks 14th in the nation.
Pick: St. Peter’s -4.5 (Greg’s Handicap: St. Peter’s -8)
South Dakota vs. South Dakota State
South Dakota plays at a rate that ranks fourth in the country in possessions per game, while South Dakota State is third in the country in defensive rebound percentage, allowing teams to rebound only 21.1% of their missed shots. South Dakota is 295th in 3-point shooting percentage at 31.3%.
Pick: South Dakota vs. South Dakota State Under 171.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 166)
3:00 PM Eastern
Detroit vs. Oakland
Oakland ranks 343rd in 3-point shooting percentage overall, and that drops to 29% at home. Detroit should get plenty of second-chance scoring opportunities against an Oakland team that ranks 335th in defensive rebound percentage, allowing teams to rebound 32.3% of their missed shots.
Pick: Detroit +14.5 (Greg’s Handicap: Detroit +10.5)
Nebraska vs. Northwestern
Northwestern should win the turnover and possession battle, ranking 11th in fewest turnovers per possession at home and 56th in turnovers generated per possession on defense. Nebraska is 349th in the nation in opponent 3-point shooting percentage away from home at 39.2%.
Pick: Northwestern +2 (Greg’s Handicap: Northwestern -3)
4:00 PM Eastern
Utah State vs. New Mexico
Although New Mexico ranks sixth in the nation in total possessions per game, they are playing lower-scoring games behind a defense that ranks ninth in points per possession allowed. Utah State is 31st in points per possession allowed, with opponents shooting 29.7% from 3-point range against them, which ranks 23rd.
Pick: Utah State vs. New Mexico Under 160 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 156.5)
7:00 PM Eastern
Rutgers vs. Oregon
Neither team’s offense is particularly strong, with Oregon ranking 97th in points per possession and Rutgers 132nd. Oregon ranks 68th in home 3-point shooting defense, allowing teams to make just 30.1% of their 3-point shots, while Rutgers is 193rd in 2-point shooting percentage.
Pick: Rutgers vs. Oregon Under 154 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 149)
8:00 PM Eastern
Louisville vs. Notre Dame
Notre Dame ranks 13th in home defensive rebound percentage, allowing teams to grab only 20.5% of their missed shots, and is 58th in the country in home 3-point shooting defense, allowing teams to make just 29.8% of their 3-point shots. Louisville has allowed opponents to make 35.8% of their 3-point shots in away games.
Pick: Notre Dame +6.5 (Greg’s Handicap: Notre Dame +2.5)
Valparaiso vs. Evansville
Evansville ranks 333rd in points per possession on offense but is 33rd in defensive rebound percentage at home, with teams grabbing only 22% of their missed shots as offensive rebounds. Evansville also ranks 271st in the country in total possessions per game.
Pick: Valparaiso vs. Evansville Under 145.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 136)
