College Basketball Picks Today:
Expert college basketball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top college basketball picks today for Friday, March 28.
Check out Greg’s Daily College Basketball Lines and his Coast 2 Coast Hoops Podcast. Also, check out our College Basketball Betting Splits.
7:09 PM Eastern
Mississippi vs. Michigan State
Though Michigan State ranks just 323rd in three-point shooting percentage at 31%, their perimeter defense makes up for it by allowing opponents to shoot only 27.8% from beyond the arc—the lowest percentage in the country. Michigan State also has a significant edge on the glass, ranking second nationally in rebound percentage, while Mississippi sits at 318th in this category. In a pressure situation, Michigan State’s free-throw shooting could be key, as they convert 77.6% from the line, ranking 24th in the nation.
Pick: Michigan State -3.5 (Greg’s Handicap: Michigan State -5)
7:39 PM Eastern
Kentucky vs. Tennessee
Tennessee lost both regular-season matchups against Kentucky, but in those two games, Kentucky shot an unsustainable 24-of-48 from three-point range. Against all other teams, Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot just 27.1% from beyond the arc, suggesting some regression is likely in this third meeting. Additionally, Tennessee has the better rebounding rate and ranks 22nd in opponent two-point shooting percentage away from home, while Kentucky ranks 320th in this category.
Pick: Tennessee -4 (Greg’s Handicap: Tennessee -4.5)
9:39 PM Eastern
Michigan vs. Auburn
Michigan will have fewer scoring opportunities than Auburn due to the turnover disparity. Michigan ranks 320th in turnovers per possession on offense, while Auburn commits the fourth-fewest turnovers per possession in games played away from home. Adding to Auburn’s advantage, they shoot 37.5% from three-point range away from home, ranking 21st nationally, while Michigan is making just 31.3% of their threes in road or neutral-site games.
Pick: Auburn -9 (Greg’s Handicap: Auburn -9.5)
10:09 PM Eastern
Purdue vs. Houston
Although playing in Purdue’s home state of Indiana is a disadvantage for Houston, they lead the nation in fewest points allowed per possession and dictate a slow pace, ranking 357th in possessions per game. Houston also boasts the best three-point shooting percentage in the country at 39.8% and should be able to score inside against a Purdue defense that ranks 341st in opponent two-point shooting percentage.
Pick: Under 132 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 130.5)
