College Basketball Picks Today:
Expert college basketball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top college basketball picks today for Monday, March 3.
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7:00 PM Eastern
Wake Forest vs. Duke
Duke leads the country in points per possession on offense, is third in the nation in fewest points per possession allowed on defense, and ranks 296th in total possessions per game at home. Meanwhile, Wake Forest ranks just 226th in points per possession, and their 28.6% 3-point shooting ranks 357th in the country. However, Wake Forest is also 53rd in points per possession allowed on defense.
Pick: Under 144 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 138.5)
Eastern Kentucky vs. Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 31st in the nation in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.4% and should get plenty of open looks against an Eastern Kentucky defense that ranks 286th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage at 35.6%. Both teams should also get plenty of second-chance scoring opportunities, with Eastern Kentucky ranking 92nd in the country in percentage of missed shots that result in an offensive rebound and Jacksonville ranking 51st.
Pick: Over 142.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 150)
Southern vs. Florida A&M
Florida A&M is 35th in the nation in 3-point shooting percentage at home at 39% and faces a Southern team that ranks 309th in points per possession on offense. Additionally, Southern’s 63% free throw shooting percentage away from home ranks 358th in the country.
Pick: Florida A&M +3.5 (Greg’s Handicap: Florida A&M -2)
McNeese vs. Stephen F. Austin
Stephen F. Austin ranks just 358th in the country in points per possession at home, placing in the bottom 12 in 3-point shooting percentage, free throw shooting percentage, and turnovers per possession on offense. However, they are also 30th in turnovers forced per possession on defense. McNeese is even better at forcing turnovers, ranking 11th in the country, and slows games down with the 318th-ranked pace in possessions per game and the 25th-ranked defense in points per possession allowed.
Pick: Under 135.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 132.5)
7:30 PM Eastern
Houston Christian vs. East Texas A&M
East Texas A&M is struggling offensively, ranking 355th in points per possession and 362nd in turnovers committed per possession. They are also allowing teams to shoot 40% from 3-point range at home, which ranks 355th in the country.
Pick: Houston Christian -1.5 (Greg’s Handicap: Houston Christian -5)
Delaware State vs. Morgan State
Delaware State has a clear defensive advantage, with Morgan State ranking 348th in the country in points per possession allowed. Delaware State is 54th in turnovers forced per possession and ranks 111th in 3-point shooting percentage at 35.1%. Meanwhile, Morgan State struggles defensively, ranking 341st in opponent 3-point shooting percentage and just 202nd in points per possession on offense.
Pick: Delaware State +1 (Greg’s Handicap: Delaware State -5.5)
8:00 PM Eastern
New Orleans vs. Texas A&M CC
New Orleans continues to deal with an ongoing NCAA investigation, with four of their top five scorers missing the entire month of February. They rank 343rd in points per possession on offense, 349th in points per possession allowed on defense, and 295th in rebound percentage, allowing at least 73 points in 13 straight games. Texas A&M CC, meanwhile, shoots 36.9% from 3-point range at home and ranks 119th in percentage of missed shots that result in an offensive rebound.
Pick: Texas A&M CC -15 and Over 146 (Greg’s Handicap: Texas A&M CC -19, Total 153)
Kansas vs. Houston
Houston leads the country in fewest points per possession allowed on defense while playing at one of the slowest tempos in the nation, ranking 358th in total possessions per game. Kansas is also strong defensively, ranking 10th in fewest points per possession allowed, but struggles on offense away from home, ranking just 293rd in points per possession.
Pick: Under 132.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 129.5)
9:00 PM Eastern
Idaho vs. Montana State
Montana State has the advantage on the boards, ranking 149th in defensive rebound percentage, while Idaho allows opponents to grab 33% of their missed shots for offensive rebounds, ranking 326th in the country. Idaho also struggles defensively, ranking 343rd in points per possession allowed, while Montana State is strong at defending the perimeter, allowing opponents to make only 30.4% of their 3-point shots, which ranks 24th.
Pick: Montana State -5 (Greg’s Handicap: Montana State -9.5)