College Basketball Picks Today:
Expert college basketball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top college basketball picks today for Friday, March 7.
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5:00 PM Eastern
Western Carolina vs. Mercer
Western Carolina plays at a fast pace, ranking 26th in the nation in possessions per game, but this has not translated to points. The team ranks 358th in points per possession, with many of its possessions not even resulting in a scoring chance, as it ranks 306th in turnovers per possession. Mercer is 261st in points per possession and 252nd in three-point shooting percentage, while Western Carolina ranks 344th.
Pick: Western Carolina vs. Mercer Under 153.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 149.5)
6:00 PM Eastern
Charleston Southern vs. UNC Asheville
UNC Asheville ranks 68th in the country in points per possession on offense, while Charleston Southern is 313th in points per possession allowed. Charleston Southern also struggles to maintain clean offense, ranking 320th in turnovers per possession.
Pick: UNC Asheville -5.5 (Greg’s Handicap: UNC Asheville -8.5)
7:00 PM Eastern
Ohio vs. Toledo
Ohio ranks 362nd in opponent three-point shooting percentage away from home, with opponents shooting 40.5% from beyond the arc. Toledo takes full advantage of its offensive possessions, ranking 12th in the nation in fewest turnovers per possession and 87th in points per possession, while Ohio is 142nd in points per possession away from home.
Pick: Toledo +1.5 (Greg’s Handicap: Toledo -3.5)
Buffalo vs. Akron
Akron ranks 20th in the country in points per possession at home and holds a significant advantage on the glass, ranking 64th in rebound percentage. Meanwhile, Buffalo ranks 330th in rebound percentage and is also 330th in both points scored and allowed per possession.
Pick: Akron -18.5 (Greg’s Handicap: Akron -24)
South Dakota vs. North Dakota State
North Dakota State’s 41.6% three-point shooting on the road is the second-highest percentage in the country. They face a South Dakota team that ranks 277th in opponent three-point shooting percentage and 342nd in points per possession allowed. However, North Dakota State is 332nd in points per possession allowed and ranks 362nd in turnovers forced per possession, which will allow for plenty of clean possessions for a South Dakota team that ranks fourth in the nation in total possessions per game.
Pick: North Dakota State -2.5 and Over 165 (Greg’s Handicap: North Dakota State -8.5 and Total: 168.5)
8:00 PM Eastern
Purdue vs. Illinois
Illinois’ defense has been far better at home than on the road, ranking 19th in the nation in points per possession allowed in home games, surrendering 18.8 fewer points per 100 possessions at home. Meanwhile, Purdue ranks 26th in opponent three-point shooting percentage at 30.5% and is 300th in possessions per game.
Pick: Purdue vs. Illinois Under 160 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 156.5)
9:30 PM Eastern
North Dakota vs. South Dakota State
South Dakota State does not allow teams to get second-chance opportunities, ranking second in the nation in defensive rebound percentage, with opponents grabbing just 20.3% of their missed shots as offensive rebounds. Meanwhile, North Dakota has one of the weakest defenses in the nation, ranking 356th in opponent three-point shooting percentage and points per possession allowed.
Pick: South Dakota State -7.5 (Greg’s Handicap: South Dakota State -10.5)
10:00 PM Eastern
Colorado State vs. Boise State
There will be limited second-chance scoring opportunities in this game, as Boise State leads the country in defensive rebound percentage, allowing teams to grab only 19.9% of their missed shots. Colorado State also ranks highly in this category, ranking 14th. Boise State allows opponents to shoot just 29.6% from three-point range at home, while Colorado State’s 39.3% three-point shooting at home drops to 31.2% on the road. Additionally, both teams play at a slow pace, with Colorado State ranking 253rd and Boise State 297th in total possessions per game.
Pick: Colorado State vs. Boise State Under 142 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 139.5)