College Basketball Picks Today:
Expert college basketball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top college basketball picks today for Saturday, February 28.
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12:00 PM Eastern
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils
Virginia is one of the few teams that can match Duke inside, with Duke ranking fourth in two-point shooting percentage on offense and 17th in opponent two-point shooting percentage on defense. Virginia ranks fifth in opponent two-point shooting percentage and second in shot block percentage while rebounding 38.1% of their missed shots as offensive rebounds, which ranks sixth nationally. Duke ranks second in the nation in points per possession allowed, while Virginia ranks 25th.
Pick: Virginia +10.5 (Greg’s Handicap Virginia +7.5)
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Connecticut Huskies
Seton Hall ranks 300th in two-point shooting percentage and 337th in three-point shooting percentage at 30.3% but ranks 41st in offensive rebound percentage at 33.7%. Defensively, Seton Hall ranks seventh in points per possession allowed away from home while ranking 324th in opponent free throw attempts per field goal attempt. Connecticut ranks 256th in free throw shooting percentage at 70.4%.
Pick: Seton Hall +14.5 (Greg’s Handicap Seton Hall +11.5)
St. Joseph’s Hawks vs. Rhode Island Rams
Rhode Island ranks 12th in turnovers per possession generated defensively but ranks 312th in opponent three-point shooting percentage at 36.2%, which improves to 33.7% at home. St. Joseph’s ranks 331st in three-point shooting percentage at 30.6%. Both teams have significant home and road splits at the free throw line.
Pick: Rhode Island -3.5 (Greg’s Handicap Rhode Island -6)
1:00 PM Eastern
St. Francis PA Red Flashes vs. Central Connecticut Blue Devils
Central Connecticut ranks 331st in possessions per game and 241st in points per possession allowed but has allowed 70 points or fewer in six of their past 10 games. St. Francis PA ranks 326th in points per possession and 58th in turnovers per possession generated away from home.
Pick: St. Francis PA vs. Central Connecticut Under 155.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 145.5)
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Middle Tennessee ranks 218th in points per possession allowed and 196th in points per possession on offense. New Mexico State ranks 245th in possessions per game and improves defensively from 195th overall in points per possession allowed to 115th away from home. Middle Tennessee ranks 295th in free throw shooting percentage at 69%.
Picks: New Mexico State +5.5 and Under 146.5 (Greg’s Handicap New Mexico State +1.5 and Total 139.5)
2:00 PM Eastern
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Stetson Hatters
Florida Gulf Coast ranks 276th in points per possession allowed, while Stetson ranks 356th. Stetson ranks 12th nationally in home three-point shooting percentage at 40.6%, compared to 31.6% away from home. Florida Gulf Coast ranks 130th in turnovers per possession, while Stetson ranks 284th.
Picks: Florida Gulf Coast -2 and Over 152 (Greg’s Handicap Florida Gulf Coast -5.5 and Total 155.5)
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
Cincinnati ranks 16th in points per possession allowed but 258th in points per possession on offense. Oklahoma State ranks seventh in possessions per game and 88th in fewest turnovers per possession away from home while ranking 107th in points per possession. Cincinnati ranks 329th in free throw shooting percentage at 67.7%.
Pick: Oklahoma State +9.5 (Greg’s Handicap Oklahoma State +5.5)
San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico ranks 40th in turnovers per possession generated, while San Diego State ranks 11th. New Mexico ranks 12th in opponent three-point shooting percentage at 29.6%, while San Diego State ranks 31st in points per possession allowed.
Pick: San Diego State vs. New Mexico Under 149.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 143.5)
4:00 PM Eastern
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona Wildcats
Arizona ranks 41st in possessions per game and 18th in points per possession on offense. Kansas ranks 104th in points per possession. Both teams should have clean possessions, with Arizona ranking 153rd in turnovers forced and Kansas ranking 347th.
Pick: Kansas vs. Arizona Over 144.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 152.5)
6:30 PM Eastern
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions
Mississippi Valley State ranks 358th in rebound percentage, 364th in points per possession on offense, and 359th in points per possession allowed. Arkansas Pine Bluff ranks 81st in points per possession at home and shoots 40.7% from three-point range at home, ranking 10th nationally.
Pick: Arkansas Pine Bluff -14 (Greg’s Handicap Arkansas Pine Bluff -19)
8:00 PM Eastern
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. Kansas City Kangaroos
Kansas City ranks 360th in points per possession on offense and 343rd in points per possession allowed on defense. Oral Roberts ranks 329th in points per possession allowed and 310th in turnovers per possession generated.
Picks: Kansas City +4.5 and Under 146.5 (Greg’s Handicap Kansas City -1.5 and Total 140.5)
8:30 PM Eastern
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina ranks 45th in defensive rebound percentage, while Virginia Tech ranks 271st, allowing 30.3% of missed shots to become offensive rebounds. North Carolina ranks 13th in fewest turnovers per possession, while Virginia Tech ranks 266th in opponent two-point shooting percentage. Virginia Tech allows 34.1% from three-point range away from home compared to 27.7% at home.
Picks: North Carolina -6.5 and Over 148.5 (Greg’s Handicap North Carolina -10.5 and Total 152.5)
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators
Florida leads the nation in home rebound percentage, while Arkansas ranks 123rd overall. Arkansas ranks third in points per possession and 27th in three-point shooting percentage at 37.5% while committing the fewest turnovers per possession in the nation. Florida ranks 351st in home three-point shooting percentage at 28.5% and 158th in turnovers per possession.
Pick: Arkansas +10.5 (Greg’s Handicap Arkansas +7)
10:00 PM Eastern
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Utah State Aggies
Grand Canyon ranks 34th in points per possession allowed and 14th away from home while ranking 20th in opponent two-point shooting percentage away from home. Utah State ranks ninth in two-point shooting percentage on offense and 20th in turnovers per possession generated while ranking 51st in points per possession allowed. Grand Canyon ranks 210th and Utah State 193rd in possessions per game.
Pick: Grand Canyon vs. Utah State Under 149.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 142.5)
