College Basketball Picks Today:
Expert college basketball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top college basketball picks today for Tuesday, March 3.
Check out Greg’s Daily College Basketball Lines and his Coast 2 Coast Hoops Podcast. Also, check out our College Basketball Betting Splits and become a VSiN Pro Subscriber.
6:00 PM Eastern
Georgia State Panthers vs. Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns
Both teams have struggled offensively, with Louisiana ranking 341st in points per possession and Georgia State 336th. Georgia State is doing the little things better, ranking 116th in fewest turnovers per possession compared to Louisiana at 204th. Georgia State is also 10th nationally in free throw shooting at 78.6%, while Louisiana ranks 263rd at 70.1%. Defensively, Georgia State holds a slight edge, ranking 181st in points per possession allowed compared to Louisiana at 199th.
Pick: Georgia State +1.5 (Greg’s Handicap Georgia State -3.5)
UMass Lowell River Hawks vs. Maine Black Bears
Maine ranks 365th out of 365 Division I teams in points per possession in home games and is at a major disadvantage on the glass, with UMass Lowell ranking 122nd in rebound percentage while Maine is 364th. Both teams struggle at the free throw line, with UMass Lowell 358th (65.1%) and Maine 360th (64.9%). This projects as a low-tempo game, with Maine ranking 345th in possessions per game.
Picks: UMass Lowell -1.5 and Under 142.5 (Greg’s Handicap UMass Lowell -3.5 and Total 133.5)
6:30 PM Eastern
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia allows opponents to grab 32.9% of missed shots as offensive rebounds at home, ranking 348th nationally. Alabama ranks eighth in fewest turnovers per possession, while Georgia’s defensive strength is generating turnovers (45th). Georgia ranks 160th in opponent three-point shooting percentage at home (32.9%), but Alabama attempts 54.1% of its field goals from three-point range, the highest rate in the country.
Pick: Alabama +1.5 (Greg’s Handicap Alabama -3.5)
7:00 PM Eastern
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Texas A&M Aggies
Kentucky ranks 230th in road two-point shooting percentage and faces a Texas A&M defense that ranks 67th in opponent three-point shooting (32%) and 37th in turnovers forced at home. Kentucky allows 35.5% shooting from three away from home, and Texas A&M shoots 36.5% from three (46th nationally).
Pick: Texas A&M +1.5 (Greg’s Handicap Texas A&M -5.5)
Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison
Bucknell ranks 328th in points per possession and plays at a slow tempo (249th in possessions per game). Army ranks 276th in points per possession and takes 53% of its shots from three-point range (fifth nationally) but shoots just 32.9% (239th). Bucknell ranks 319th in offensive rebound percentage and 317th in turnovers per possession.
Pick: Army vs. Bucknell Under 146.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 142.5)
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopards
Holy Cross (340th) and Lafayette (289th) both play at slow tempos. Holy Cross shoots 31.6% from three away from home and ranks 134th in opponent three-point shooting percentage (33.3%). Both offenses rank near the bottom in points per possession (282nd and 284th), and neither team generates second chances, ranking 359th and 323rd in offensive rebound percentage.
Pick: Holy Cross vs. Lafayette Under 142.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 138.5)
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Xavier Musketeers
Seton Hall ranks 316th in three-point shooting (31.1%) and 304th in two-point shooting while playing at a slow pace (292nd). Defensively, they rank sixth in turnovers forced and 10th nationally in points per possession allowed away from home. Xavier ranks 53rd in defensive rebound percentage but 260th in two-point shooting.
Pick: Seton Hall vs. Xavier Under 144.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 137.5)
Dayton Flyers vs. Richmond Spiders
Dayton ranks fifth in turnovers generated per possession but is vulnerable from three-point range, allowing 35.9% overall and 38.6% away from home. Richmond shoots 37.3% from three (31st) and ranks 37th in turnovers per possession. Richmond ranks 260th in opponent two-point shooting percentage, though Dayton ranks 253rd in road two-point shooting.
Pick: Richmond +4.5 (Greg’s Handicap Richmond -1.5)
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Texas Tech has averaged 17.4 more points per 100 possessions over its last three games but has played at a slower pace. TCU ranks 31st in turnovers forced and allows 33.3% shooting from three away from home, ranking 44th in points per possession allowed overall. Texas Tech’s recent 45.1% three-point shooting should regress toward its season mark of 39.5%.
Picks: TCU +10.5 and Under 147.5 (Greg’s Handicap TCU +7.5 and Total 143.5)
George Mason Patriots vs. VCU Rams
George Mason ranks 52nd in fewest turnovers per possession away from home and plays at a very slow pace (344th). They rank 86th in defensive rebound percentage and 94th in points per possession allowed. VCU shoots 36.4% from three (48th), while George Mason ranks 115th in opponent three-point shooting percentage away from home (33.1%).
Picks: George Mason +11.5 and Under 146.5 (Greg’s Handicap George Mason +5.5 and Total 143.5)
8:00 PM Eastern
Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Jackson State Tigers
Jackson State ranks 346th in points per possession overall but improves to 140th at home. Both teams play fast (57th and 41st in possessions per game). Arkansas Pine Bluff ranks 327th in rebound percentage compared to Jackson State at 351st. Pine Bluff ranks 353rd in two-point shooting percentage, while Jackson State ranks 348th in points per possession allowed.
Picks: Arkansas Pine Bluff +1.5 and Over 152.5 (Greg’s Handicap Arkansas Pine Bluff -2.5 and Total 156.5)
9:00 PM Eastern
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Utah Utes
Utah ranks 315th in points per possession allowed at home, while Colorado ranks 94th offensively compared to Utah at 190th. Colorado allows 39.1% shooting from three away from home (349th), but Utah shoots 33.8% from three at home. Utah ranks 204th in two-point shooting percentage and 275th in opponent two-point shooting percentage.
Picks: Colorado +1.5 and Over 149.5 (Greg’s Handicap Colorado -3 and Total 155)
Boston College Eagles vs. Virginia Tech Hokies
Boston College ranks 326th in points per possession, 346th in three-point shooting, 286th in two-point shooting, and 359th in free throw shooting, but ranks 96th in points per possession allowed and 46th in opponent three-point shooting percentage (31.4%). Virginia Tech ranks 82nd in three-point shooting and 179th in two-point shooting.
Pick: Boston College vs. Virginia Tech Under 142.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 136.5)
BYU Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
BYU ranks 32nd in points per possession but is without Richie Saunders. Cincinnati ranks 17th in points per possession allowed overall and fifth at home but 238th offensively. BYU ranks 62nd in limiting offensive rebounds allowed, while Cincinnati ranks 272nd in field goal percentage and 325th in free throw shooting (67.9%). BYU shoots 74.6% from the line (106th).
Picks: BYU +1.5 and Under 152.5 (Greg’s Handicap BYU -3.5 and Total 147.5)
11:00 PM Eastern
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLA Bruins
Nebraska ranks 18th in points per possession away from home and forces opponents to attempt 49% of their shots from three-point range, ranking ninth in opponent three-point shooting percentage (29.4%). Opponents rebound just 23.7% of missed shots against Nebraska away from home (15th nationally). UCLA ranks 332nd in defensive rebound percentage at home and 245th in opponent two-point shooting percentage.
Picks: Nebraska +1 and Under 144.5 (Greg’s Handicap Nebraska -4.5 and Total 140.5)
