College Basketball Picks Today:
Expert college basketball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top college basketball picks today for Wednesday, March 25.
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7:00 PM Eastern
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers
Illinois State ranks 44th overall in points per possession allowed on defense, while Dayton is right behind at 42nd. However, Illinois State allows 23.5 more points per 100 possessions in games played away from home compared to at home. Dayton’s defense relies heavily on generating turnovers, ranking 11th in turnovers per possession forced, but that comes at a cost, as they rank 268th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage at 35.4%. Illinois State holds an edge down low, ranking 11th in defensive rebound percentage by allowing opponents to grab just 23.1% of their missed shots as offensive rebounds, while Dayton ranks 106th. Offensively, Dayton ranks 151st in 2-point shooting percentage, while Illinois State ranks 77th.
Pick: Illinois State +7.5 and Over 139
Greg’s Handicap: Illinois State +6.5 and Total 142.5
9:00 PM Eastern
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers
While Auburn’s offense has been efficient, ranking 32nd in points per possession, its defense has struggled, ranking 297th in points per possession allowed. Both offenses rely heavily on getting to the free-throw line, with Nevada leading the nation in free-throw attempts per offensive play and Auburn ranking 3rd. Nevada should also be able to generate quality looks from beyond the arc, as Auburn ranks 329th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage at home (37.4%), while Nevada ranks 69th in 3-point shooting percentage at 35.8%.
Pick: Nevada +9.5
Greg’s Handicap: Nevada +8
