T Shoe Index CBB projections for December 18
After a blistering 77-44 record in men’s hoops betting a year ago, I’m off to a little slower start this season at just 23-21. Still solid but hoping to get the train steaming in the right direction again. Women’s hoops have been my bread and butter; so much so that the entire women’s market has been noticeably moving multiple points after I’ve given out my plays for the day, so make sure to follow me on X @TShoeIndex and turn on notifications so you can get the bets in as soon as I put them out. I’ve got full projections for today’s slate of men’s and women’s basketball for you to have at your disposal as you peruse the odds board today.
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These “Projections and Best Bets” pieces will be occurring 2-3x per week on VSiN.com once we get through bowl season, so buckle up and get ready to take advantage of having the T Shoe Index at your disposal from now on.
As a refresher, the T Shoe Index (TSI) is my proprietary rating system that I use for college football, NFL, men’s and women’s college basketball, and WNBA. It is a tempo and opponent-adjusted rating that allows us to answer the question, “How many points would team A be expected to score and allow vs Team B”, based on a myriad of statistical factors.
Here are the TSI projections for today, December 18th:
How to read this sheet: the “TSI Projected Spread” is the projected point margin based on TSI ratings. If the number is positive, that indicates Team 1 is projected to win by that margin, if the number is negative, that indicates Team 2 is projected to win by that margin. i.e. today, Samford is projected to beat Alabama A&M by 23.8 points, with a projected total of 154.
Men’s
| Team | Team | TSI Line | TSI O/U |
| Bradley | Duquesne | -4.3 | 145.3 |
| Cal Poly | Eastern Washington | -2.2 | 155.6 |
| Campbell | Morgan State | 0.3 | 132.2 |
| Central Florida | Maine | 17.6 | 132.7 |
| Chicago State | Texas-Rio Grande Valley | 4.5 | 143.5 |
| Coastal Carolina | College of Charleston | -14.3 | 163.3 |
| Delaware State | Wake Forest | -18.4 | 148.2 |
| Detroit Mercy | Loyola Marymount | -18.7 | 136.9 |
| Evansville | Tennessee-Martin | 11.7 | 171.1 |
| Fresno State | Portland State | -0.9 | 139.1 |
| Holy Cross | Quinnipiac | -11.3 | 151.1 |
| Jacksonville | Louisiana-Monroe | 4.5 | 144.2 |
| Jacksonville State | Tarleton State | -11.2 | 119.7 |
| Lamar | Southern Mississippi | 8.3 | 155.6 |
| Little Rock | Murray State | 2.7 | 159.8 |
| Marist | Maryland-Eastern Shore | 15.3 | 131.6 |
| Michigan State | Oakland | 11.2 | 136.3 |
| Sacramento State | UC San Diego | -4.8 | 138.6 |
| South Carolina State | UNC Asheville | -9.5 | 157.4 |
Bets:
Cal Poly/Eastern Washington Over 145.5
Lamar +4.5
Women’s
| Team | Team | TSI | TSI O/U |
| Abilene Christian | Western Kentucky | -3.9 | 144.1 |
| Alabama A&M | Chicago State | 21.1 | 128.0 |
| Bellarmine | Detroit Mercy | -12.4 | 130.7 |
| Butler | Connecticut | -28.7 | 129.2 |
| Cal State Fullerton | Southern California | -31.7 | 131.3 |
| Cal State Northridge | San Jose State | -8.1 | 124.5 |
| California Baptist | Louisiana Tech | 9.9 | 135.3 |
| Canisius | Marist | 4.6 | 122.5 |
| Central Connecticut State | Colgate | -11.8 | 119.0 |
| Central Florida | Florida Atlantic | 25.4 | 114.0 |
| Charleston Southern | Charlotte | -19.6 | 122.8 |
| Cornell | Syracuse | -28.4 | 131.4 |
| Davidson | UNC Wilmington | 42.4 | 119.1 |
| Detroit Mercy | Bellarmine | 12.4 | 130.7 |
| East Carolina | George Mason | 2.0 | 129.6 |
| Eastern Illinois | Northern Illinois | -4.7 | 138.0 |
| Evansville | Indiana | -43.1 | 155.0 |
| Fairfield | Manhattan | 9.7 | 119.6 |
| Florida International | Texas State | -1.0 | 126.8 |
| High Point | Norfolk State | -6.6 | 116.2 |
| Kansas State | Oral Roberts | 17.0 | 153.5 |
| Loyola (IL) | Southern Illinois-Edwardsville | 12.3 | 140.7 |
| Mississippi | South Alabama | 13.5 | 124.4 |
| Mississippi Valley State | Texas A&M | -41.9 | 125.6 |
| Mount St. Mary’s | Siena | -7.4 | 120.7 |
| Murray State | Western Carolina | 21.3 | 173.8 |
| New Orleans | Tarleton State | -6.8 | 122.2 |
| Niagara | Saint Peter’s | 11.8 | 130.8 |
| North Carolina Central | UNC Asheville | -19.3 | 123.6 |
| Northern Arizona | Pepperdine | 3.5 | 137.0 |
| Northern Kentucky | Tennessee Tech | 2.5 | 135.2 |
| Ohio State | UCLA | 5.7 | 162.2 |
| Omaha | Texas Southern | 5.8 | 155.8 |
| Sam Houston | Southern Methodist | -22.2 | 147.2 |
| South Carolina Upstate | UNC Greensboro | -11.6 | 118.0 |
| West Virginia | Wright State | 36.1 | 139.3 |
To learn more about who I am or what my T Shoe Index is, be sure to read my introduction on VSiN.com and follow me on X, @TShoeIndex for all of my personal bets on men’s and women’s college basketball, college football, NFL, and WNBA.
