T Shoe Index CBB projections for December 19
We split our men’s best bets 1-1 yesterday, and even my women’s bets went just 2-3 after losing a late night total by the hook to prevent a winning day. It happens. Back on the horse today with a full slate of projections and what is sure to be some bets coming from my T Shoe Index. If you’re new to my work and don’t know what the heck a T Shoe Index is, you can read the full introduction here, but the TLDR version is that it’s my proprietary rating system that adjusts for tempo and opponent to make projections on everything from men’s college basketball to college football, and pretty much everything in between.
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As always, follow me on X @TShoeIndex to get my women’s best bets as soon as I make them, but due to lines getting posted later in the day, I’m unable to include them in my daily write-ups. Here are the projections for today’s men’s and women’s games:
College Basketball Odds | College Basketball Betting Splits | College Basketball Picks
These “Projections and Best Bets” pieces will be occurring 2-3x per week on VSiN.com once we get through bowl season, so buckle up and get ready to take advantage of having the T Shoe Index at your disposal from now on.
As a refresher, the T Shoe Index (TSI) is my proprietary rating system that I use for college football, NFL, men’s and women’s college basketball, and WNBA. It is a tempo and opponent-adjusted rating that allows us to answer the question, “How many points would team A be expected to score and allow vs Team B”, based on a myriad of statistical factors.
Here are the TSI projections for today, December 19th:
How to read this sheet: the “TSI Projected Spread” is the projected point margin based on TSI ratings. If the number is positive, that indicates Team 1 is projected to win by that margin, if the number is negative, that indicates Team 2 is projected to win by that margin. i.e. today, Samford is projected to beat Alabama A&M by 23.8 points, with a projected total of 154.
Men’s
| Team | Team | TSI Line | TSI O/U |
| Alabama State | Southern California | -13.0 | 152.5 |
| Albany (NY) | Sacred Heart | 8.7 | 150.3 |
| Alcorn State | Drake | -23.8 | 158.0 |
| Binghamton | Niagara | 1.7 | 155.3 |
| Bowling Green State | Hampton | 1.4 | 153.8 |
| Butler | Georgetown | 16.2 | 162.5 |
| Cal State Bakersfield | South Dakota | -1.3 | 154.1 |
| Cal State Northridge | UCLA | -14.9 | 134.5 |
| California Baptist | Western Kentucky | 2.8 | 142.0 |
| Central Connecticut State | Northeastern | -1.2 | 140.5 |
| Charleston Southern | Loyola (IL) | -23.4 | 137.6 |
| Chattanooga | Gardner-Webb | 5.1 | 143.1 |
| Cincinnati | Merrimack | 20.2 | 144.6 |
| Coppin State | James Madison | -38.4 | 155.9 |
| Cornell | Siena | 17.2 | 148.9 |
| Florida | Michigan | 3.4 | 167.5 |
| Florida Gulf Coast | Georgia Southern | 10.1 | 145.8 |
| Florida International | Stetson | -6.5 | 154.6 |
| Florida State | North Florida | 13.9 | 151.8 |
| Furman | Presbyterian | 18.5 | 166.2 |
| High Point | UNC Greensboro | 5.0 | 159.6 |
| Houston Christian | Southern Methodist | -22.1 | 142.3 |
| Indiana | Morehead State | 9.7 | 143.6 |
| Indiana State | Tennessee State | 9.0 | 165.0 |
| Lindenwood | Missouri State | -20.4 | 140.7 |
| Loyola (IL) | Charleston Southern | 23.4 | 137.6 |
| Marquette | Providence | 0.3 | 144.0 |
| Maryland | Nicholls State | 14.3 | 142.8 |
| Memphis | Virginia | -2.0 | 132.9 |
| Mercer | Queens (NC) | -0.1 | 145.8 |
| Miami (OH) | Wright State | -8.5 | 155.1 |
| Middle Tennessee | Saint Mary’s (CA) | -11.4 | 118.5 |
| Mississippi | Troy | 11.9 | 150.6 |
| Mississippi Valley State | Tulsa | -30.4 | 130.8 |
| Montana | UC Davis | 3.8 | 139.5 |
| Montana State | Southern Utah | 1.1 | 141.3 |
| New Mexico State | Stephen F. Austin | -4.6 | 142.3 |
| North Dakota State | Southern Illinois | -17.7 | 144.0 |
| Notre Dame | The Citadel | 3.7 | 126.5 |
| Samford | Valparaiso | 7.2 | 154.2 |
| South Carolina | Winthrop | 9.3 | 142.4 |
| Vanderbilt | Western Carolina | -1.8 | 139.1 |
Bets:
Florida Gulf Coast -3.5
The Citadel +9
Women’s
| Team | Team | TSI | TSI O/U |
| Air Force | Clemson | -11.6 | 144.0 |
| Alabama A&M | Florida International | -2.6 | 123.7 |
| Ball State | Pittsburgh | -2.7 | 144.0 |
| Bethune-Cookman | Valparaiso | 6.9 | 134.9 |
| Bowling Green State | South Carolina | -40.7 | 144.7 |
| Central Florida | Morgan State | 26.5 | 114.9 |
| Chicago State | Texas State | -28.9 | 130.5 |
| College of Charleston | South Carolina State | 12.3 | 131.3 |
| Eastern Kentucky | Southeast Missouri State | 15.6 | 143.5 |
| Georgia Southern | Hampton | 19.8 | 131.8 |
| Illinois State | Saint Louis | 15.4 | 154.8 |
| Jacksonville State | UT Arlington | 1.3 | 151.3 |
| Long Beach State | San Francisco | 11.6 | 150.4 |
| North Alabama | Samford | -6.4 | 130.8 |
| North Carolina | Oklahoma | 4.8 | 148.3 |
| North Carolina A&T | Stetson | -0.9 | 111.5 |
| Oregon | Utah Tech | 10.5 | 136.6 |
| Santa Clara | UC Riverside | 10.9 | 117.0 |
| Seattle | UTSA | -16.0 | 130.4 |
| Tennessee | Wofford | 18.9 | 145.9 |
| Texas Tech | Tulsa | 16.7 | 139.3 |
