Men’s and Women’s College Basketball Best Bets:

Welcome back to the daily edition of men’s and women’s college basketball projections, courtesy of my proprietary ratings system, the T Shoe Index (TSI). As a reminder, TSI is an opponent-adjusted and tempo-adjusted ratings system that utilizes several key performance metrics to rate teams and project results for every matchup across the sport. If you’re new to women’s college basketball betting, oftentimes the lines are posted much closer to tip-off and therefore bets aren’t able to be made at the time of writing this morning article, so be sure to follow me on X @TShoeIndex to get my women’s plays. Here are today’s college basketball projections and bets:

Men’s

DateTeamTeamTSITSI Total
2/12/2026Abilene ChristianUT Arlington-2.4136.3
2/12/2026BelmontNorthern Iowa-1.1140.6
2/12/2026BinghamtonVermont-7.3142.5
2/12/2026Cal PolyUC Irvine-5.2159.1
2/12/2026Cal State BakersfieldHawaii-9.2147.0
2/12/2026Central ArkansasBellarmine6.4161.8
2/12/2026Charleston SouthernPresbyterian3.0156.0
2/12/2026Chicago StateStonehill1.7129.1
2/12/2026Cleveland StateRobert Morris-1.6161.7
2/12/2026College of CharlestonHofstra-2.0143.6
2/12/2026DenverSouth Dakota State1.8163.7
2/12/2026DrakeIllinois-Chicago0.8151.5
2/12/2026DrexelMonmouth3.0134.0
2/12/2026Eastern WashingtonIdaho State5.3152.2
2/12/2026FDUSaint Francis (PA)7.8148.7
2/12/2026FIUDelaware5.2151.3
2/12/2026Gardner-WebbWinthrop-14.3152.2
2/12/2026Green BayPurdue Fort Wayne6.7152.1
2/12/2026IdahoWeber State5.2155.5
2/12/2026Illinois StateValparaiso6.9135.7
2/12/2026Indiana StateMurray State-1.8161.6
2/12/2026IU IndyNorthern Kentucky-2.2167.4
2/12/2026James MadisonGeorgia State6.6138.9
2/12/2026Kennesaw StateMiddle Tennessee3.3151.9
2/12/2026Le MoyneMercyhurst1.6137.8
2/12/2026LindenwoodTennessee-Martin-1.3134.9
2/12/2026Long Beach StateCal State Fullerton0.7156.8
2/12/2026LongwoodUNC Asheville0.5141.6
2/12/2026LouisianaCoastal Carolina-0.4137.4
2/12/2026MaineUMBC-2.0132.7
2/12/2026MerrimackMarist2.6121.7
2/12/2026Missouri StateLouisiana Tech5.1137.1
2/12/2026Morehead StateTennessee Tech3.5148.8
2/12/2026New HampshireNJIT-1.2141.4
2/12/2026New HavenCentral Connecticut State-2.8130.1
2/12/2026North TexasMemphis-0.2138.4
2/12/2026NortheasternWilliam & Mary-2.1167.8
2/12/2026Northern ArizonaPortland State-6.0137.5
2/12/2026Northern ColoradoSacramento State7.7165.0
2/12/2026OaklandYoungstown State5.8158.1
2/12/2026OmahaSt. Thomas-4.3159.7
2/12/2026Oral RobertsKansas City5.5149.8
2/12/2026San FranciscoOregon State6.2144.8
2/12/2026South Carolina UpstateHigh Point-8.5153.8
2/12/2026Southern IllinoisEvansville10.6143.3
2/12/2026Southern Illinois-EdwardsvilleSoutheast Missouri State-0.4133.9
2/12/2026Southern IndianaTennessee State-6.9144.1
2/12/2026Southern MissSouth Alabama0.6135.4
2/12/2026Southern UtahCalifornia Baptist-5.4138.4
2/12/2026StetsonJacksonville1.1150.2
2/12/2026TowsonStony Brook5.4129.2
2/12/2026U Mass-LowellBryant5.8146.3
2/12/2026UC RiversideUC Santa Barbara-4.2157.0
2/12/2026UC San DiegoUC Davis2.3146.5
2/12/2026UNC WilmingtonElon6.5155.3
2/12/2026Utah TechUtah Valley-3.0144.6
2/12/2026WagnerLIU-5.8142.2
2/12/2026Western IllinoisLittle Rock-3.0138.5
2/12/2026Wright StateDetroit Mercy6.8152.0
Positive # = Left Team Projected Favorite
Negative # = Right Team Projected Favorite

Bets:
Maine +4
Binghamton +11.5
Gardner Webb +19.5
Green Bay -1.5

Women’s

DateTeamTeamTSITSI Total
2/12/2026Alabama A&MArkansas-Pine Bluff12.8117.3
2/12/2026Alabama StateMississippi Valley State17.6134.6
2/12/2026Alcorn StateFlorida A&M7.5118.9
2/12/2026Austin PeayQueens (NC)19.0120.6
2/12/2026BaylorTCU-4.6132.2
2/12/2026BellarmineLipscomb-15.3118.5
2/12/2026Cal State FullertonLong Beach State17.4133.2
2/12/2026CaliforniaVirginia-2.6140.1
2/12/2026California BaptistSouthern Utah8.1143.4
2/12/2026ClemsonGeorgia Tech9.4126.1
2/12/2026DelawareNew Mexico State8.0129.5
2/12/2026Delaware StateHoward-14.7120.1
2/12/2026Detroit MercyWright State3.5138.5
2/12/2026East Texas A&MSoutheastern Louisiana9.5133.3
2/12/2026Eastern KentuckyCentral Arkansas4.4131.9
2/12/2026Florida StateBoston College12.7155.6
2/12/2026Houston ChristianNicholls State-2.7123.3
2/12/2026Idaho StateEastern Washington7.9128.8
2/12/2026Incarnate WordNew Orleans13.1145.0
2/12/2026IonaCanisius8.1119.4
2/12/2026Jackson StateBethune-Cookman7.2117.2
2/12/2026JacksonvilleStetson5.4145.0
2/12/2026KentuckyTexas A&M17.5130.3
2/12/2026LibertyUTEP10.3133.8
2/12/2026LindenwoodTennessee-Martin10.7132.3
2/12/2026Louisiana TechFIU9.0143.9
2/12/2026LouisvilleWake Forest25.7140.0
2/12/2026Loyola MarymountPepperdine1.5139.7
2/12/2026ManhattanNiagara18.2129.0
2/12/2026MarshallGeorgia State12.2140.6
2/12/2026MarylandPenn State22.8168.7
2/12/2026Middle TennesseeJacksonville State5.8112.4
2/12/2026MilwaukeeNorthern Kentucky-8.0136.7
2/12/2026MinnesotaNebraska3.2139.5
2/12/2026Mississippi StateGeorgia0.2145.3
2/12/2026Morehead StateTennessee Tech1.0125.9
2/12/2026Mount St. Mary’sFairfield-18.6132.6
2/12/2026NJITNew Hampshire9.0125.9
2/12/2026North CarolinaSMU26.4134.5
2/12/2026North Carolina CentralMorgan State8.5130.1
2/12/2026North FloridaFGCU-8.5124.1
2/12/2026Northern IowaIndiana State17.4143.4
2/12/2026NorthwesternMichigan-27.4151.6
2/12/2026Northwestern StateMcNeese State-11.1108.9
2/12/2026OklahomaFlorida18.3154.3
2/12/2026Ole MissArkansas21.0147.4
2/12/2026Oregon StateSanta Clara-0.1140.9
2/12/2026PittsburghSyracuse-20.4136.5
2/12/2026Portland StateNorthern Arizona-3.8152.3
2/12/2026Prairie ViewGrambling-9.6129.1
2/12/2026QuinnipiacSiena16.3132.1
2/12/2026RiderSaint Peter’s4.1109.6
2/12/2026Sacramento StateNorthern Colorado-4.9117.1
2/12/2026Saint Mary’s (CA)Pacific4.0118.8
2/12/2026Sam HoustonMissouri State0.2120.6
2/12/2026San DiegoGonzaga-17.0124.9
2/12/2026South AlabamaTexas State5.7127.9
2/12/2026South Carolina StateCoppin State-8.5119.8
2/12/2026South DakotaKansas City11.8126.0
2/12/2026South Dakota StateNorth Dakota29.7137.5
2/12/2026Southern Illinois-EdwardsvilleSoutheast Missouri State2.0124.4
2/12/2026Southern IndianaTennessee State20.4133.6
2/12/2026Southern MissUL Monroe1.4150.2
2/12/2026StanfordVirginia Tech0.5130.7
2/12/2026TennesseeMissouri14.8155.1
2/12/2026Texas A&M-Corpus ChristiStephen F. Austin-19.4137.9
2/12/2026Texas-Rio Grande ValleyLamar-2.0124.9
2/12/2026TroyLouisiana27.6143.3
2/12/2026UC DavisUC San Diego-0.9130.4
2/12/2026UC IrvineCal Poly28.9129.5
2/12/2026UC Santa BarbaraUC Riverside9.7120.8
2/12/2026UMBCMaine-3.1119.5
2/12/2026UMESNorfolk State3.4119.8
2/12/2026UNC GreensboroWofford-1.4117.7
2/12/2026USCIndiana13.7133.0
2/12/2026UT ArlingtonAbilene Christian-7.4120.6
2/12/2026Utah ValleyUtah Tech7.4123.2
2/12/2026VanderbiltTexas-7.0155.8
2/12/2026VermontBinghamton7.0127.6
2/12/2026Washington StatePortland-5.2135.1
2/12/2026Weber StateIdaho-10.5145.5
2/12/2026Western CarolinaFurman-8.6126.1
2/12/2026Western IllinoisLittle Rock12.9125.3
2/12/2026Western KentuckyKennesaw State-4.9120.3
Positive # = Left Team Projected Favorite
Negative # = Right Team Projected Favorite

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