Men’s and Women’s College Basketball Best Bets:

Welcome back to the daily edition of men’s and women’s college basketball projections, courtesy of my proprietary ratings system, the T Shoe Index (TSI). As a reminder, TSI is an opponent-adjusted and tempo-adjusted ratings system that utilizes several key performance metrics to rate teams and project results for every matchup across the sport. If you’re new to women’s college basketball betting, oftentimes the lines are posted much closer to tip-off and therefore bets aren’t able to be made at the time of writing this morning article, so be sure to follow me on X @TShoeIndex to get my women’s plays. Here are today’s college basketball projections and bets:

Men’s

DateTeamTeamTSITSI Total
3/5/2026Alabama A&MSouthern2.2153.8
3/5/2026Alabama StateGrambling3.1140.8
3/5/2026Alcorn StateArkansas-Pine Bluff2.9153.5
3/5/2026Arkansas StateGeorgia Southern9.0171.7
3/5/2026Boston UniversityAmerican4.8145.5
3/5/2026Cal State BakersfieldCal State Northridge-4.4163.7
3/5/2026Cal State FullertonUC San Diego-1.8160.2
3/5/2026California BaptistAbilene Christian10.7135.5
3/5/2026ColgateLoyola (MD)7.2159.0
3/5/2026DelawareSam Houston-7.3156.6
3/5/2026East CarolinaTulsa-9.0155.6
3/5/2026FairfieldManhattan5.5148.0
3/5/2026FIUMiddle Tennessee-2.4158.1
3/5/2026Florida A&MBethune-Cookman0.2145.3
3/5/2026HawaiiUC Riverside9.2149.1
3/5/2026IonaSacred Heart3.6150.0
3/5/2026IowaMichigan-5.6147.2
3/5/2026Jackson StateMississippi Valley State9.2148.2
3/5/2026LehighHoly Cross6.4145.7
3/5/2026LibertyLouisiana Tech8.1138.1
3/5/2026Long Beach StateUC Davis1.0162.9
3/5/2026Loyola MarymountSan Diego6.1151.5
3/5/2026MemphisSouth Florida-4.8158.0
3/5/2026Michigan StateRutgers17.8139.5
3/5/2026Missouri StateWestern Kentucky-5.4153.8
3/5/2026Morgan StateCoppin State8.7153.8
3/5/2026NavyBucknell14.6140.4
3/5/2026New Mexico StateJacksonville State2.8147.6
3/5/2026Norfolk StateHoward-2.8149.4
3/5/2026North Carolina CentralSouth Carolina State5.5142.3
3/5/2026North Dakota StateOral Roberts9.1152.5
3/5/2026Northern IowaEvansville12.7131.5
3/5/2026PortlandPepperdine0.3151.9
3/5/2026Southeast Missouri StateLindenwood5.2148.0
3/5/2026Southern IllinoisDrake5.5136.6
3/5/2026Southern MissJames Madison0.2145.6
3/5/2026Southern UtahUtah Valley-6.3150.1
3/5/2026St. ThomasSouth Dakota State5.6151.8
3/5/2026Tarleton StateUT Arlington-0.4132.8
3/5/2026TempleTulane4.7145.3
3/5/2026Tennessee-MartinEastern Illinois8.3119.5
3/5/2026Texas SouthernPrairie View4.5159.3
3/5/2026UC IrvineCal Poly6.1152.4
3/5/2026UMESDelaware State8.8121.6
3/5/2026UTEPKennesaw State-3.6145.1
3/5/2026ValparaisoIndiana State2.7142.5
Positive # = Left Team Projected Favorite
Negative # = Right Team Projected Favorite

Bets:
Middle Tennessee +2.5
Norfolk State +5.5
Florida A&M +2.5

Women’s

DateTeamTeamTSITSI Total
3/5/2026Abilene ChristianCalifornia Baptist1.1137.0
3/5/2026Alabama A&MSouthern1.6108.1
3/5/2026Alabama StateGrambling0.7124.2
3/5/2026Alcorn StateArkansas-Pine Bluff4.5118.2
3/5/2026BinghamtonBryant-0.8124.3
3/5/2026BradleyEvansville9.7138.5
3/5/2026Cal PolyUC Irvine-25.9129.5
3/5/2026Cal State NorthridgeCal State Bakersfield0.3130.3
3/5/2026CampbellHampton7.9114.6
3/5/2026Central ArkansasNorth Alabama9.7123.0
3/5/2026Central Connecticut StateNew Haven-9.1117.0
3/5/2026ChattanoogaWestern Carolina13.6117.9
3/5/2026College of CharlestonStony Brook10.3120.3
3/5/2026ColoradoKansas2.2135.1
3/5/2026DaytonGeorge Washington-1.6126.8
3/5/2026DrakeIllinois State-7.4149.3
3/5/2026East Tennessee StateUNC Greensboro2.3103.9
3/5/2026Eastern KentuckyAustin Peay3.8128.5
3/5/2026FDUSaint Francis (PA)25.5120.6
3/5/2026Florida A&MBethune-Cookman-0.2123.7
3/5/2026FurmanMercer-0.1128.3
3/5/2026Gardner-WebbWinthrop-2.2124.4
3/5/2026GeorgiaKentucky-5.0134.8
3/5/2026High PointSouth Carolina Upstate20.4126.8
3/5/2026HofstraDrexel-10.4110.1
3/5/2026Illinois-ChicagoMurray State-11.8151.3
3/5/2026Indiana StateNorthern Iowa-16.2149.9
3/5/2026Iowa StateArizona State7.1140.0
3/5/2026Jackson StateMississippi Valley State11.7131.8
3/5/2026JacksonvilleWest Georgia6.6146.6
3/5/2026La SalleSaint Louis3.7129.2
3/5/2026LongwoodUNC Asheville11.3133.6
3/5/2026Louisiana TechNew Mexico State18.3127.0
3/5/2026Loyola (IL)St. Bonaventure-0.1112.1
3/5/2026MaineNew Hampshire9.2115.4
3/5/2026ManhattanMarist-0.1121.0
3/5/2026MarylandOregon6.0149.3
3/5/2026MercyhurstLe Moyne-1.3154.1
3/5/2026Michigan StateIllinois5.7152.4
3/5/2026Middle TennesseeFIU-1.8125.9
3/5/2026MonmouthTowson3.7126.6
3/5/2026Morehead StateSoutheast Missouri State3.6131.1
3/5/2026Morgan StateCoppin State-8.3123.1
3/5/2026Norfolk StateHoward-2.9120.4
3/5/2026North Carolina A&TUNC Wilmington6.7129.9
3/5/2026North Carolina CentralSouth Carolina State10.6128.4
3/5/2026North Dakota StateOmaha34.6136.7
3/5/2026Notre DameMiami (FL)7.9144.9
3/5/2026Ohio StateIndiana13.5152.8
3/5/2026OklahomaFlorida13.9155.1
3/5/2026Ole MissAuburn14.8125.3
3/5/2026RadfordCharleston Southern10.1129.7
3/5/2026Sacred HeartSaint Peter’s5.6111.7
3/5/2026Saint Joseph’sDuquesne11.1124.3
3/5/2026Saint Mary’s (CA)San Diego7.4109.5
3/5/2026Sam HoustonUTEP8.0130.8
3/5/2026South Dakota StateKansas City21.2138.3
3/5/2026Southern IndianaSouthern Illinois-Edwardsville8.6119.2
3/5/2026Southern MissUL Monroe-3.9152.3
3/5/2026StetsonFGCU0.6126.3
3/5/2026StonehillChicago State2.3132.7
3/5/2026SyracuseCalifornia3.6136.7
3/5/2026TennesseeAlabama2.1141.8
3/5/2026Texas SouthernPrairie View17.1141.8
3/5/2026Texas StateSouth Alabama-4.3127.8
3/5/2026Texas TechKansas State7.7131.7
3/5/2026UC DavisLong Beach State15.5132.1
3/5/2026UC RiversideHawaii-7.2117.4
3/5/2026UC San DiegoCal State Fullerton4.8138.2
3/5/2026UMBCNJIT-0.8127.5
3/5/2026UMESDelaware State11.8120.5
3/5/2026UT ArlingtonTarleton State-0.8124.9
3/5/2026UT ArlingtonTarleton State-0.8124.9
3/5/2026UtahBYU0.1134.4
3/5/2026Utah ValleySouthern Utah-0.2131.6
3/5/2026Utah ValleySouthern Utah-0.2131.6
3/5/2026ValparaisoBelmont-30.3133.3
3/5/2026VermontAlbany (NY)6.8105.3
3/5/2026VirginiaClemson3.1132.8
3/5/2026Virginia TechGeorgia Tech8.3132.4
3/5/2026WagnerLIU-6.8118.7
3/5/2026WashingtonUSC-2.1127.4
3/5/2026Washington StateSeattle11.3139.3
3/5/2026Western KentuckyMissouri State-12.3120.3
3/5/2026William & MaryElon-2.1121.8
3/5/2026WoffordSamford6.3125.8
Positive # = Left Team Projected Favorite
Negative # = Right Team Projected Favorite

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