Men’s College Basketball Best Bets:
The NCAA tournament field has been cut to just 16 teams, all hoping to achieve March (April?) immortality, and it’s been pretty chalky to say the least, with favorites of 6 or more points going 26-2 straight up and 19-9 ATS so far this tournament. Whatever the reason: NIL, transfer portal, or just sheer variance, the teams that were “supposed” to be in the Sweet 16 made it, for the most part. My T Shoe Index has projections for all of the games of course, as we look to keep the profits rolling to close out the season.
Reminder on how to read the projections: If the spread is a positive number, that indicates the team on the left (Home, unless neutral site) is favored by TSI. If the spread is a negative, that indicates the team on the right (Away, unless neutral side) is favored by TSI. TSI total is the projected number of combined points in the game.
Here are my Sweet 16 projections for Thursday and Friday:
| Team | Team | TSI Spread | TSI Total |
| Alabama | Brigham Young | 3.0 | 176.4 |
| Auburn | Michigan | 2.6 | 155.9 |
| Duke | Arizona | 6.9 | 151.9 |
| Florida | Maryland | 3.7 | 152.7 |
| Houston | Purdue | 10.9 | 132.8 |
| Michigan State | Mississippi | 5.3 | 145.4 |
| Tennessee | Kentucky | 3.5 | 148.8 |
| Texas Tech | Arkansas | 4.1 | 150.6 |
Sweet 16 Bets:
Thursday Bets:
BYU +5.5 (Play to +4.5)
Maryland +6.5 (Play to +5.5)
Texas Tech/Arkansas Over 148 (Play to 149)
Friday Bets:
Michigan +9.5 (Play to +7.5)
Houston -8 (Play to -9)
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