Today we wrap up the month of February with a 23-game College Basketball slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

 

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7:30 p.m. ET: Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina (-1.5, 138.5)

Old Dominion (11-19) has lost six straight and just got rolled by Marshall 83-66, failing to cover as 9.5-point road dogs. Meanwhile, Coastal Carolina (10-20) has won two of their last three and just took down Georgia State 80-74, winning outright as 3.5-point home dogs.

This line opened at a pick’em. Sharps have sided with the home team, driving Coastal Carolina up from a pick to a 1.5-point home favorite.

Ken Pom has Coastal Carolina winning by two points (70-68). With this is mind, wiseguys have specifically targeted Coastal Carolina on the moneyline (-120). At DraftKings, the Chanticleers are receiving 62% of moneyline bets but a hefty 90% of moneyline dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in favor of a straight up win for the home team.

Coastal Carolina has the better offensive efficiency (267th vs 279th), effective field goal percentage (50% vs 45%) and three-point shooting (35% vs 28%). Coastal Carolina also does a better job of limiting offensive rebounds to their opponents (115th vs 288th).

This is also a revenge play for Coastal Carolina, who lost to Old Dominion 74-52 on the road back in late January.

9 p.m. ET: Appalachian State at Marshall (-3.5, 135.5)

Appalachian State (17-12) has dropped three of their last four and just came up short against Georgia Southern 61-59, losing outright as 1.5-point road favorites. On the other hand, Marshall (18-12) has won three in a row and just dismissed Old Dominion 83-66, covering as 9.5-point home favorites.

This line opened with Marshall listed as a 3-point home favorite. Sharps have laid the points with the home chalk, driving Marshall up from -3 to -3.5. Some books are even up to Marshall -4. At Circa, the Thundering Herd are taking in 67% of spread bets and a whopping 97% of spread dollars, a massive “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in their favor.

Ken Pom has Marshall winning by one point (67-66). As a result, many pros have looked to mitigate some risk by playing the Thundering Herd on the moneyline at -175. At Circa, Marshall is receiving 33% of moneyline bets but 96% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of heavy pro money playing the Thundering Herd to earn a straight up win on their home court.

Marshall has the better offensive efficiency (202nd vs 264th), offensive rebound percentage (32% vs 27%) and free-throw shooting (69% vs 66%). Marshall is averaging 76 PPG compared to 69 PPG for Appalachian State.

Marshall is 13-3 at home this season. Appalachian State is 5-7 on the road.

11 p.m. ET: Nevada (-2.5, 133.5) at UNLV

Nevada (16-12) just snapped a two-game losing skid with an 84-61 win over Wyoming, easily covering as 12.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, UNLV (15-13) has won four of their last five and just outlasted San Jose State 77-71, covering as 2.5-point road favorites.

This line opened with Nevada listed as a 1.5-point road favorite. The public thinks the wrong team is favored and 59% of spread bets at DraftKings are taking UNLV plus the points. However, despite the majority of bets backing UNLV we’ve actually seen this line move further toward Nevada -1.5 to -2.5. This signals sharp “fade the trendy dog” reverse line movement in favor of Nevada, as the line is moving in their direction despite being the unpopular play.

At Circa, the Wolf Pack are taking in 58% of spread bets but a massive 92% of spread dollars, further evidence of the bigger, sharper wagers out in Vegas backing Nevada.

Those looking to follow the sharp move but also wary of a close game that may not cover the spread could instead elect to play the Wolf Pack on the moneyline at -130.

Nevada has the better offensive efficiency (66th vs 159th), effective field goal percentage (55% vs 50%), three-point shooting (37% vs 34%) and offensive rebound percentage (29% vs 27%). The Wolf Pack also do a better job of forcing turnovers (60th vs 90th) and limiting their opponents on the offensive boards (40th vs 240th).

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