Today a new week begins with a 25-game College Basketball slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

 

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7 p.m. ET: Bethune Cookman at Alabama State (-2.5, 146.5)

Bethune Cookman (12-15) just snapped a two-game losing skid with a 68-64 win over Alabama A&M, covering as 1.5-point road favorites. Meanwhile, Alabama State (13-14) has won four straight and just held off Florida A&M 60-59 but failed to cover as 7.5-point home favorites.

This line opened with Alabama State listed as a 1.5-point home favorite. Sharps have pounced on Alabama State laying short chalk at home, steaming the Hornets up from -1.5 to -2.5. At DraftKings, Alabama State is receiving 71% of spread bets and a whopping 92% of spread dollars, a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split.

This line movement and bet split in favor of Alabama State is also noteworthy because this is a tiny added/extra game, which means the public isn’t interested in the low-bet matchup but wiseguys have taken a position and caused the numbers to move.

Ken Pom has Alabama State winning by one point (72-71). With this in mind, pros may prefer to pay up for some protection and take the Hornets on the moneyline at -145.

Alabama State has the better offensive efficiency (263rd vs 330th), three-point shooting (33% vs 31%) and takes better care of the ball (6th in turnover percentage compared to 323rd for Bethune Cookman).

Alabama State is 7-2 at home this season. Bethune Cookman is 6-12 on the road.

7:30 p.m. ET: Texas A&M Corpus Christi at Nicholls State (-3.5, 146.5)

Texas A&M Corpus Christi (17-12) just saw their two-game win streak come to an end, falling to McNeese 73-57 and failing to cover as 14.5-point road dogs. On the other hand, Nicholls State (17-11) has won two in a row and just took down UT Rio Grande Valley 93-83, covering as 5.5-point home favorites.

This line opened with Nicholls State listed as low as a 1.5-point home favorite. Wiseguys thought this line was way too short and got down hard on Nicholls State, driving the Colonels up from -1.5 to -3.5. At DraftKings, Nicholls State is taking in 70% of spread bets and 76% of spread dollars, indicating heavy one-way support in their favor.

Once again, this is an obscure added/extra game, which means the public is largely overlooking the matchup while pros have specifically targeted it.

Ken Pom has Nicholls State winning by three points (76-73). As a result, many sharps have looked to mitigate some risk by playing the Colonels on the moneyline at -160. At DraftKings, Nicholls State is receiving 79% of moneyline bets and a hefty 95% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of smart money playing the Colonels to earn a straight up victory on their home court.

Nicholls State has the better offensive efficiency (186th vs 197th), free-throw shooting (69% vs 62%) and takes better care of the ball (31st in turnover percentage compared to 211st for Texas A&M Corpus Christi). Nicholls also limits their opponents to better effective field goal (48% vs 51%).

Nicholls State is 10-4 at home this season. Texas A&M Corpus Christi is 4-9 on the road.

9 p.m. ET: Houston (-1.5, 131.5) at Texas Tech

Houston (23-4, ranked 5th) has won six straight and just dismissed Iowa State 68-59 but failed to cover as 11.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Texas Tech (21-6, ranked 9th) has won three of their last four and just crushed West Virginia 73-51, easily covering as 9.5-point home favorites.

This line opened with Houston listed as a 1.5-point road favorite. The public thinks this line is way too short and they’re rushing to the window to lay the chalk with Houston, who has a better record and ranking. However, despite 75% of spread bets at DraftKings laying the points with Houston, this line has remained stagnant at Cougars -1.5.

Normally, if a team is getting such overwhelming support we would expect to see the line move in their favor (in this case -1.5 up to -2 or -2.5). The fact that this line hasn’t budged an inch signals a sharp line freeze on Texas Tech, with the books reluctant to hand out a better number to contrarian Texas Tech bettors despite the lopsided betting in favor of Houston.

Texas Tech is the top “bet against the public play” of the night, as the Red Raiders are only taking in 25% of spread bets in the most heavily bet game of the evening on ESPN.

Ken Pom has Houston winning by one point (68-67), which means the Red Raiders plus the hook is offering value.

Texas Tech has the better offensive efficiency (56% vs 53%) and free-throw shooting (77% vs 73%). The Red Raiders also have the superior scoring offensive (81 PPG vs 75 PPG) and field goal percentage (48% vs 46%).

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