Today a new week begins with a 21-game College Basketball slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

 

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7:30 p.m. ET: UT Rio Grande Valley at Northwestern State (-1.5, 141)

UT Rio Grande Valley (13-9) just snapped a two-game losing streak with an 83-73 win over Texas A&M Corpus Christi, winning outright as 2-point home dogs. Meanwhile, Northwestern State (9-12) has dropped two in a row and just got rolled by East Texas A&M 72-50, losing outright as 3.5-point home favorites.

This line opened at a pick’em. Sharps have sided with the home team, driving Northwestern State up from a pick’em to -1.5. This move is especially notable considering the fact this is an added/extra game. This means the game is hard to locate on betting apps and the public has no interest in this tiny, low bet matchup. However, based on the line move we can infer that pro money has taken an interest and sided with Northwestern State.

At Circa, Northwestern State is only receiving 50% of spread bets but a whopping 80% of spread dollars, further evidence of respected wiseguy action backing the home team out in Vegas. Those looking for added protection in the event of a one-point game could instead play Northwestern State on the moneyline at -120. Ken Pom has Northwestern State winning by one-point (71-70).

Northwestern State has fishy buy-low value as a short home favorite with a losing record against a sell-high road dog with a winning record. Northwestern State has the better defensive efficiency (236th vs 274th), offensive rebound percentage (34% vs 32%) and three-point shooting (32% vs 30%). Northwestern State is 6-3 at home this season. UT Rio Grande Valley is 2-6 on the road.

8 p.m. ET: Charleston (-3.5, 166.5) at William & Mary

Charleston (17-5) has won two in a row and just held off Stony Brook 81-74 but failed to cover as 16.5-point home favorites. On the other hand, William & Mary (13-9) just saw their two-game win streak come to an end, getting crushed by Campbell 96-55 and losing outright as 2.5-point road favorites.

This line opened with Charleston listed as a 2-point road favorite. The public is largely split down the middle and doesn’t know whether to take the points or lay them. However, despite this split ticket count we’ve seen Charleston get steamed up from -2 to -3.5. In a vacuum, a line shouldn’t move at all if the bets are even because, theoretically, the oddsmakers have balanced action and no need to adjust the price. So, based on the “50/50” line move we can infer that pro money has sided with road favorite Charleston.

At Circa, Charleston is only receiving 54% of spread bets but a whopping 90% of spread dollars, a massive “low bets, higher dollars” sharp discrepancy and further evidence of wiseguys out in Vegas playing the road favorite. Ken Pom has Charleston winning by two points (84-82). He also has Charleston ranked higher (130th vs 214th).

For those looking to mitigate some risk and protect themselves in a close game, Charleston could be worth a look on the moneyline at -165. At DraftKings, Charleston is taking in 68% of moneyline bets and 75% of moneyline dollars, a sharp split signaling respected action on Charleston to win straight up.

Charleston has the far better defensive efficiency (148th vs 304th) and takes much better care of the ball (114th in turnover percentage compared to 241st for William & Mary).

9 p.m. ET: North Texas at UAB (-2.5, 137)

North Texas (16-5) just saw their six-game win streak come to an end, falling to UTSA 54-50 and losing outright as 14.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, UAB (14-8) has won seven of their last eight games and just crushed Charlotte 96-78, covering as 12.5-point home favorites.

This line opened with UAB listed as a 1-point home favorite. Wiseguys have pounced on UAB laying short chalk at home, driving the Blazers up from -1 to -2.5. Some shops are even approaching -3. The movement has been one-sided in favor of the home team without any notable buyback on North Texas.

At DraftKings, UAB is receiving 66% of spread bets and 73% of spread dollars. At Circa, UAB is taking in 78% of spread bets and over 90% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in favor UAB. Those looking to follow the sharp UAB move but also wary of a close win that may not cover the number could instead elect to play the Blazers on the moneyline at -150.

UAB has the superior offensive efficiency (41st vs 116th) and offensive rebound percentage (39% vs 34%). UAB takes better care of the ball, ranking 21st in turnover percentage compared to 213th for North Texas. UAB is averaging 85 PPG compared to North Texas averaging 69 PPG. UAB is 10-3 at home this season.

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