Today a new week begins with a loaded 27-game College Basketball slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

 

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7:30 p.m. ET: Incarnate Word at Northwestern State (-2.5, 130.5)

Incarnate Word (16-14) has won four straight and just held off East Texas A&M 75-68, covering as 4.5-point road favorites. Similarly, Northwestern State (14-15) has won three in a row and just outlasted Houston Christian 61-56, covering as 4.5-point home favorites.

This line opened with Northwestern State listed as a 1.5-point home favorite. Sharps have gotten down hard on Northwestern State, driving the home chalk up from -1.5 to -2.5. This movement is especially notable considering the fact this is a tiny, unpopular added/extra game. In other words, the public has no interest in participating in this overlooked matchup. However, based on the line move we can infer that pros have taken a keen interest on the home team.

Ken Pom has Northwestern State winning by two points (69-67). As a result, sharps have looked to mitigate some risk and play the Demons on the moneyline at -145.

At DraftKings, Northwestern State is taking in 72% of moneyline bets and 79% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of heavy one-way support in favor of the Demons earning a straight up victory on their home court.

Northwestern State has the better defensive efficiency (202nd vs 306th) and limits their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage (112th vs 262nd).

Northwestern State is 8-5 at home this season. Incarnate Word is 4-9 on the road.

7:30 p.m. ET: Houston Christian (-2.5, 133.5) at East Texas A&M

Houston Christian (12-18) has dropped five of their last six and just fell to Northwestern State 61-56, failing to cover as 4.5-point road dogs. Meanwhile, East Texas A&M (4-26) has lost seven of their last eight and just came up short against Incarnate Word 75-68, failing to cover as 4.5-point home dogs.

This line opened with Houston Christian listed as low as a 1.5-point road favorite. Sharps have pounced on Houston Christian laying short road chalk, driving the Huskies up from -1.5 to -2.5. This is another added/extra game, which makes the line move especially meaningful due to the fact the public has no interest in this unpopular matchup but sharps have taken a clear position.

At DraftKings, Houston Christian is receiving 68% of spread bets and 80% of spread dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in their favor.

Ken Pom has Houston Christian winning by two points (69-67). For this reason, many pros have elected to play the Huskies on the moneyline at -140. At DraftKings, Houston Christian is taking in 75% of moneyline bets and 87% of moneyline dollars, more validation that pros are banking on a straight up victory for the road team.

Houston Christian has the better offensive efficiency (255th vs 338th), defensive efficiency (254th vs 281st), free-throw percentage (70% vs 65%) and takes better care of the ball (turnover percentage 239th vs 362nd).

East Texas A&M is 3-10 at home and 2-17 in conference play.

8 p.m. ET: Nicholls State at Lamar (-1.5, 140.5)

Nicholls State (19-11) has won four straight and just crushed Stephen Austin 94-70, easily winning outright as 1.5-point road dogs. Meanwhile, Lamar (18-12) has dropped two in a row and just came up short against McNeese State 68-66 but covered as 9.5-point home dogs.

This line opened with Lamar listed as a 1.5-point home favorite. All movement and liability has quietly come down in favor of Lamar, as several books are juicing up the Cardinals -1.5 (-115) and some shops have even touched as high as -2.5 before some buyback brought the line back down.

At DraftKings, Lamar is receiving 69% of spread bets and 80% of spread dollars, a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in their favor. This is also an added/extra game, which means the movement and bet splits are likely to be driven from wisweguys with an edge who have specifically targeted the tiny matchup.

Ken Pom has Lamar winning by two points (71-69). With this in mind, many pros have looked to protect themselves by playing Lamar on the moneyline at -125.

Lamar has the better defensive efficiency (121st vs 196th), offensive rebound percentage (35% vs 31%), three-point shooting (37% vs 36%) and free-throw shooting (70% vs 69%).

Lamar has buy-low value as a short home favorite on a losing skid against a sell-high road dog on a winning streak. The Cardinals are 9-4 at home this season. Tonight is also Senior Night for Lamar, who will be honoring three senior starters.

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