Today we have a loaded slate of College Basketball action on tap with roughly 130-games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

 

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12 p.m. ET: Tennessee at Texas A&M (-2.5, 130.5)

Tennessee (21-5, ranked 6th) has won four of their last five and just edged Vanderbilt 81-76 but failed to cover as 12.5-point home favorites. On the other hand, Texas A&M (20-6, ranked 7th) just saw their five-game winning streak come to an end, falling to Mississippi State 70-54 and failing to cover as 2.5-point road dogs.

This line opened with Tennessee listed as a 1.5-point road favorite. The public is split down the middle and doesn’t know who to take. However, despite this even bet split we’ve seen the line flip in favor of Texas A&M, driving the Aggies from a 1.5-point home dog to a 2.5-point home favorite.

In a vacuum, a line shouldn’t move based on a 50/50 bet split because, theoretically, the oddsmakers have balanced action and no incentive to adjust the price. So, based on the “dog to favorite” line move we can infer that pro money has sided with Texas A&M at home.

In an attempt to mitigate some risk in the event of a close game, wiseguys have specifically targeted Texas A&M on the moneyline (-135). At DraftKings, the Aggies are taking in 37% of moneyline bets and 55% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of the bigger, sharper wagers backing the home chalk to earn a straight up win.

Texas A&M has the better offensive rebound percentage (42% vs 37%) and is better at forcing turnovers on defense (27th vs 81st).

The Aggies are 12-1 at home. The Volunteers are 4-4 on the road.

When two ranked teams face off, the home favorite is 167-60 (74%) straight up since 2021.

4:30 p.m. ET: Lamar (-1.5, 135.5) at Houston Christian

Lamar (17-10) has won eight of their last nine and just dismissed Northwestern State 75-65, winning outright as 1.5-point road dogs. Conversely, Houston Christian (11-16) has lost five of their last six and just fell to Texas A&M Corpus Christi 68-62 but managed to cover as 10.5-point road dogs.

This line opened with Lamar listed as a 1-point road favorite. Wiseguys have jumped on Lamar laying short chalk, driving the Cardinals up from -1 to -1.5, with some books even creeping up to -2. This movement is especially notable considering the fact this is an added/extra game. In other words, it’s one of the least bet and most overlooked games on the board. As a result, we can infer that pro money has specifically targeted this matchup.

Ken Pom has Lamar winning by three points (69-66). He also has Lamar ranked much higher (175th vs 278th).

Sharps have preferred to back Lamar on the moneyline (-130). At DraftKings, Lamar is receiving 68% of moneyline bets and 74% of moneyline dollars, indicating one-way support in a tiny matchup.

Lamar has the better offensive efficiency (236th vs 252nd), defensive efficiency (121st vs 280th), offensive rebound percentage (35% vs 27%) and three-point shooting (37% vs 33%). Lamar is limiting their opponents to a 48% effective field goal percentage compared to 53% for Houston Christian.

6 p.m. ET: Akron (-2.5, 165.5) at Ohio

Akron (21-5) has won 14-straight and just brushed aside Northern Illinois 73-63 but failed to cover as 19.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Ohio (14-12) has rotated wins and losses over their last six games and just held off Central Michigan 84-82 but failed to cover as 4.5-point home favorites.

This line opened with Akron listed as a 1.5-point road favorite. Sharps have pounced on Akron laying short chalk, steaming the Zips up from -1.5 to -2.5. At DraftKings, Akron is receiving 58% of spread bets and 65% of spread dollars, indicating ever-so-slight public support but also respected sharp action in the form of a “low bets, higher dollars” bet split.

Ken Pom has Akron winning by four points (84-80). Savvy bettors looking for some added protection might prefer an Akron moneyline play at -145. At DraftKings, the Zips are taking in 76% of moneyline bets and 79% of moneyline dollars, indicating heavy one-way support in favor of the Zips winning outright.

Akron has the better offensive efficiency (84th vs 165th), defensive efficiency (128th vs 221st), offensive rebound percentage (32% vs 24%) and three-point shooting (37% vs 35%). The Zips are averaging 40 rebounds per game compared to 34 rebounds per game for Ohio.

When two MAC teams face off, the favorite is 58-22 (73%) straight up this season.

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