Today the weekend begins with a loaded 22-game Conference Tournament College Basketball slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

 

***Top College Basketball Betting Resources***

VSIN PRO IS ABSOLUTELY FREE THIS WEEK - Head to vsin.com/champweek to start your free trial through Selection Sunday.

1 p.m. ET: Wisconsin vs Michigan State (-2.5, 145.5)

This is the Big Ten tournament semifinals.

Wisconsin (25-8) is the 5-seed and just brushed aside UCLA 86-70 in the quarterfinals, easily covering as 1.5-point neutral site favorites. Meanwhile, Michigan State (27-5) is the 1-seed and just held off Oregon 74-64 in the quarterfinals, covering as 6.5-point neutral site favorites.

This line opened with Michigan State listed as a 1.5-point neutral site favorite. Pros have gotten down hard on the Spartans laying short chalk, steaming Michigan State up from -1.5 to -2.5. Some shops even briefly reached as high as Spartans -3.5.

At DraftKings, Michigan State is receiving 78% of spread bets and 80% of spread dollars. At Circa, Michigan State is taking in 63% of spread bets and 74% of spread dollars. Both books are showing heavy one-way Spartans support in the form of a “low bets, higher dollars” bet discrepancy.

Ken Pom has Michigan State winning by one point (74-73). With this in mind, many pros have looked to protect themselves by drinking some juice and playing the Spartans on the moneyline at -155. At DraftKings, Michigan State is receiving nearly 90% of moneyline bets and dollars, further evidence of the bigger, sharper wagers banking on a Michigan State straight up win.

Michigan State has the better defensive efficiency (5th vs 32nd) and offensive rebound percentage (36% vs 28%). The Spartans limit their opponents to an effective field goal percentage of 46% compared to 48% for the Badgers. Michigan State has the better scoring defense (67 PPG allowed by 71 PPG allowed) and grabs more rebounds per game (40 vs 36).

This is also a rest advantage play for Michigan State, as the Badgers are playing their third game in three days while the Spartans are playing their third game in seven days.

3:30 p.m. ET: Alabama vs Florida (-3.5, 175.5)

This is the SEC tournament semifinals.

Alabama (25-7) is the 3-seed and just crushed Kentucky 99-70 in the quarterfinals, easily covering as 8.5-point neutral site favorites. On the other hand, Florida (28-4) is the 2-seed and just dismissed Missouri 95-81 in the quarterfinals, covering as 9-point neutral site favorites.

This line opened with Florida listed as a 3.5-point neutral site favorite. The public thinks this line is a bit high and 58% of spread bets at DraftKings are taking the points with Alabama. However, despite a majority of tickets backing the Crimson Tide, this line hasn’t budged off Florida -3.5. This signals a sharp line freeze on the Gators, as the line hasn’t moved despite the public grabbing the points with Alabama.

At DraftKings, Florida is only receiving 42% of spread bets but 59% of spread dollars. At Circa, Florida is taking in 75% of spread bets but over 90% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” split in favor of the Gators.

Ken Pom has Florida winning by one point (88-85). As a result, many savvy bettors have elected to mitigate some risk and play the Gators on the moneyline (-155) instead of laying the points.

Florida has the better offensive efficiency (3rd vs 4th), defensive efficiency (9th vs 26th) and offensive rebound percentage (38% vs 35%). The Gators hold their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage (45% vs 48%) and force more turnovers (173rd vs 347th).

Florida is giving up 69 PPG compared to Alabama allowing 81 PPG.

6 p.m. ET: Boise State (-1, 138) vs Colorado State

This is the Mountain West tournament championship game.

Boise State (24-9) is the 5-seed and just upset New Mexico 72-69 in the semifinals, winning outright as 1-point neutral site dogs. On the flip side, Colorado State (24-9) is the 2-seed and just beat Utah State 83-72, covering as a 1-point neutral site favorite.

This line opened at roughly a pick’em, with some shops opening Colorado State a short 1-point neutral site favorite. The public is all over Colorado State, who has the better seeding. However, despite 64% of spread bets at DraftKings backing the Rams, we’ve actually seen this line move to Boise State -1. Some shops are even up to Boise State -1.5.

This signals sharp “dog to favorite” or “pick’em to favorite” reverse line movement in favor of the Broncos, as the line has moved toward Boise State despite being the unpopular play.

At DraftKings, Boise State is receiving 36% of spread bets and 48% of spread dollars. At Circa, Boise State is raking in 23% of spread bets but 51% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a sharp contrarian “low bets, higher dollars” split in favor of the Broncos.

Ken Pom has Boise State winning by one point (72-71). For those looking to add some cushion in the event of a close game, the Broncos might be more appealing on the moneyline (-115) instead of laying the points.

Boise State has the better offensive efficiency (41st vs 47th) and offensive rebound percentage (33% vs 27%). The Broncos also take better care of the ball (153rd in turnovers vs 203rd).

RELATED ARTICLESMORE FROM AUTHOR