Today we wrap up the weekend with a loaded 32 game College Basketball slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
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2 p.m. ET: Memphis (-1.5, 152.5) at Tulane
Memphis (12-18) has dropped seven straight and just came up short against South Florida 96-89, failing to cover as 7.5-point home dogs. Meanwhile, Tulane (17-13) has lost three in a row and just got rolled by Temple 89-60, failing to cover as 4.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with Memphis listed as a 1-point road favorite.
Right off the bat, this opening line speaks volumes. Why is Memphis favored if they have the far worst record and Tulane enjoys home court advantage?
The public thinks the wrong team is favored and 61% of spread bets at DraftKings are backing Tulane plus the points at home.
However, despite the public backing Tulane we’ve seen this line creep up further toward Memphis -1 to -1.5.
This signals sharp “fade the trendy dog” reverse line movement on the Tigers, as the line has moved in their direction despite the majority of tickets taking the Green Wave.
Ken Pom has Memphis winning by three points (74-71). He also has the Tigers ranked far higher (128th vs 210th).
Many sharps have looked to protect themselves by playing Memphis on the moneyline at -120.
At DraftKings, the Tigers are receiving 49% of moneyline bets and 57% of moneyline dollars, a “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split in favor of a straight up Memphis victory.
Memphis has the better defensive efficiency (71st vs 208th), offensive rebound percentage (53rd vs 355th) and limit their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage (51st vs 149th).
2:30 p.m. ET: Drexel vs Monmouth (-4.5, 137.5)
This is the Colonial Athletic Conference Tournament quarterfinal.
Drexel (17-15) is the 5-seed and just brushed aside Northeastern 84-77 in yesterday’s second round matchup, covering as 4.5-point neutral site favorites. On the other hand, Monmouth (17-14) is the 4-seed and coming off a bye. The Hawks have won three straight and just outlasted Northeastern 89-83 in their regular season finale, covering as 4.5-pont road favorites.
This line opened with Monmouth listed as a 3-point neutral site favorite.
Sharps have pounced on the rested Hawks, steaming Monmouth up from -3 to -4.5.
At DraftKings, Monmouth is receiving 68% of spread bets and a whopping 82% of spread dollars. At Circa, Monmouth is taking in 50% of spread bets and a hefty 95% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a notable “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split in favor of the neutral site chalk.
Many pros have looked to gain some added cushion by targeting Monmouth on the line moneyline at -190.
At DraftKings, Monmouth is taking in 71% of moneyline bets and 75% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of heavy one-way support in favor of a straight up Hawks victory.
Monmouth has the better offensive efficiency (226th vs 290th), free-throw shooting (102nd vs 346th), commit fewer turnovers on offense (181st vs 319th) and force more turnovers on defense (36th vs 215th).
The Hawks also enjoy a “rest vs tired” advantage, having last played on March 3rd while Drexel is playing the second leg of a back-to-back.
6 p.m. ET: Towson vs Charleston (-2.5, 133.5)
This is the Colonial Athletic Conference Tournament quarterfinal.
Towson (18-14) is the 7-seed and just beat Hampton 74-68 in yesterday’s second round but failed to cover as 7.5-point neutral site favorites. Meanwhile, Charleston (21-10) is the 2-seed and coming off a bye. The Cougars have won five straight and just outlasted UNC Wilmington 79-76 in their regular season finale, winning outright as 5.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with Charleston listed as low as a 1.5-point neutral site favorite.
Sharps have jumped on the well-rested Cougars laying short chalk, driving Charleston up from -1.5 to -2.5.
At DraftKings, Charleston is receiving roughly 65% of spread bets and dollars, indicating one-way Pro and Joe support in their favor.
Ken Pom has Charleston winning by two points (68-66). He also has the Cougars ranked higher (151st vs 174th).
With this in mind, many pros have specifically targeted Charleston on the moneyline at -140.
Charleston has the better offensive efficiency (182nd vs 259th), effective field goal percentage (205th vs 349th) and free-throw shooting (128th vs 318th).
The Cougars also enjoy a “rest vs tired” advantage, as Charleston last played on March 1st while Towson is playing the second leg of a back-to-back.
