Today the weekend wraps up with a 29-game College Basketball slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

 

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2 p.m. ET: Colgate at American (-2.5, 135.5)

This is the Patriot League semifinals.

Colgate (14-18) is the 3-seed and just crushed Army 84-55 in the quarterfinals, easily covering as 7.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, American (20-12) is the 2-seed and just held off Lafayette 71-69 in the quarterfinals but failed to cover as 4.5-point home favorites.

This line opened with American listed as a 1.5-point home favorite. Sharps have gotten down on the home chalk, pushing American up from -1.5 to -2.5.

At DraftKings, American is receiving 67% of spread bets and 73% of spread dollars. At Circa, American is taking in 80% of spread bets and 89% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet discrepancy on favor of the Eagles.

The line move and bet splits are especially meaningful because this is a tiny overlooked added/extra game, which means the majority of action is likely to be coming from wiseguys who have targeted the game, not the betting public.

Ken Pom has American winning by three points (71-68). Many sharps have looked to mitigate some risk and play the Eagles on the moneyline at -135.

American has the better defensive efficiency (223rd vs 292nd), free-throw shooting (76% vs 73%) and does a better job of forcing turnovers (157th vs 241st).

Over their last ten games, American is giving up 64 PPG compared to Colgate allowing 75 PPG.

This is a true home game for American, who is 12-2 on their home court. Colgate is 4-12 on the road.

2:30 p.m. ET: Delaware vs William & Mary (-3.5, 161.5)

This is the Coastal Athletic Association quarterfinals.

Delaware (14-19) is the 12-seed and just upset Campbell 79-62 in yesterday’s second round matchup, winning outright as 1.5-point neutral site dogs. On the other hand, William & Mary (17-14) is the 4-seed and will be playing their first game of the tournament.

This line opened with William & Mary listed as 3.5-point neutral site favorite. Sharps have quietly sided with the Tribe, as William & Mary are being juiced up -3.5 (-115) and even moving to -4 at some shops.

At DraftKings, William & Mary is receiving 67% of spread bets and a whopping 95% of spread dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” bet split.

Ken Pom has William & Mary winning by two points (86-84). With this in mind, value-minded sharps have specifically targeted the Tribe on the moneyline at -170. At DraftKings, William & Mary are taking in roughly 75% of moneyline bets and dollars, indicating heavy one-way support in favor of a Tribe straight up victory.

William & Mary has the better defensive efficiency (282nd vs 341st), offensive rebound percentage (26% vs 23%) and does a better job at forcing turnovers (156th vs 276th).

William & Mary has a notable “rest vs tired” advantage, as the Tribe have been off since March 1st while Delaware will be playing their third game in three days.

The Tribe are 11-7 in conference play. The Blue Hens are 5-13.

8:30 p.m. ET: Incarnate Word vs Southeastern Louisiana (-3.5, 138.5)

This is the first round of the Southland Tournament.

Incarnate Word (16-15) is the 7-seed and just saw their four-game win streak come to an end, falling to Northwestern State 73-57 and failing to cover as 3.5-point road dogs in their final regular season game. Meanwhile, Southeastern Louisiana (18-13) is 6-seed and has dropped three of their last four, falling to UT Rio Grande Valley 77-76 and losing outright as 1.5-point road favorites in their regular season finale.

This line opened with Southeastern Louisiana listed as a 3-point neutral site favorite. Sharps have laid the chalk with the Lions, driving Southeastern Louisiana up from -3 to -3.5. At DraftKings, Southeastern Louisiana is receiving 67% of spread bets and 73% of spread dollars, a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split.

This line move and bet discrepancy is especially meaningful considering the fact this a late added/extra game, which means it’s very unpopular with the betting public but not with sharps, who have taken a keen interest and position.

Ken Pom has Southeastern Louisiana winning by three points (73-70). In an attempt to gain some added protection, many pros have gotten down on the Lions moneyline (-165).

Southeastern Louisiana has the better defensive efficiency (187th vs 307th) and free-throw shooting (75% vs 68%). The Lions also do a better job of taking care of the ball (200th in turnovers vs 259th) and forcing turnovers (83rd vs 169th).

Southeastern Louisiana has buy-low value as a short favorite on a three-game losing skid against a sell-high dog who has won four of their last five.

Over their last ten games, the Lions are averaging 75 PPG compared to the Cardinals averaging 67 PPG.

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