Today we have a loaded slate of College Basketball on tap with 52 games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
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8:30 p.m. ET: Alabama A&M (-1.5, 139.5) at Florida A&M
Alabama A&M (15-11) has won three straight and just dismissed Pine Bluff 82-70, covering as 3.5-point home favorites. Similarly, Florida A&M has won two of their last three and just took down Alcorn State 86-78, covering as 2-point road favorites.
This line opened with Florida A&M listed as a 1.5-point home favorite.
Sharps have gotten down hard on Alabama A&M, flipping the Bulldogs from a 1.5-point road dog to a 1.5-point road favorite. In other words, we are seeing wiseguy “dog to favorite” line movement on Alabama A&M.
At DraftKings, Alabama A&M is receiving 45% of spread bets and 61% of spread dollars, a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet discrepancy in favor of the road chalk.
This line movement and bet split is especially important considering this is a tiny “added/extra” game with a 6-digit rotation number (306611-306612). This means the game is extremely low bet and almost completely overlooked by the public. However, based on the market reaction we can infer that pros have taken a keen interest in this matchup and sided with the road team.
Many sharps have looked to mitigate some risk in the event of a close game by targeting the Bulldogs on the moneyline at -120.
At DraftKings, Alabama A&M is receiving 53% of moneyline bets and a whopping 75% of moneyline dollars, another sharp split in favor of a straight up Bulldogs victory.
Alabama A&M has the better offensive efficiency (300th vs 344th), free-throw shooting (106th vs 316th), hold their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage (190th vs 242nd) and do a better job of not turning it over on offense (188th vs 360th).
9 p.m. ET: Montana State at Weber State (-1.5, 148.5)
Montana State (15-11) has won two of their last three and just took down Montana 82-71, winning outright as 2.5-point road dogs. Meanwhile, Weber State (13-14) just saw their two-game win streak come to an end, falling to Eastern Washington 84-66 and failing to cover as 3.5-point road dogs.
This line opened at a pick’em.
Sharps have sided with Weber State at home, pushing the Wildcats up from a pick’em to a 1.5-point home favorite.
Pros have specifically targeted Weber State on the moneyline (-115) in attempt to avoid a one-point win that fails to cover the hook.
At DraftKings, Weber State is receiving 51% of moneyline bets and 76% of moneyline dollars. At Circa, Weber State is receiving 33% of moneyline bets and 70% of moneyline dollars. Both books are showing a “low bets, higher dollars” wiseguy split in favor of a straight up Bulldogs victory on their home court.
Weber State has the better offensive efficiency (144th vs 153rd), offensive rebound percentage (139th vs 277th), force more turnovers on defense (182nd vs 228th) and limit their opponents to fewer offensive rebounds (63rd vs 102nd).
Weber State is 9-5 at home. Montana State is 5-9 on the road.
This is also a revenge play for Weber State, who lost to Montana State 91-88 on the road back in late January.
10 p.m. ET: UC Davis at Cal State Fullerton (-1.5, 156.5)
UC Davis (16-10) has won four of their last five and just beat Long Beach State 71-54, cruising as 4.5-point home favorites. On the other hand, Cal State Fullerton (13-14) just saw their three-game win streak come to an end, falling to Cal Irvine 86-65 and failing to cover as 8-point road dogs.
This line opened with Cal State Fullerton listed as a short 1-point home favorite.
Sharps have quietly sided with Cal State Fullerton at home, as the Titans have moved up from -1 to -1.5 across the market.
Ken Pom has Cal State Fullerton winning by one point (79-78).
With this in mind, many pros have looked to gain some added cushion by targeting Cal State Fullerton on the moneyline at -120.
At DraftKings, Cal State Fullerton is taking in only 45% of moneyline bets but a whopping 83% of moneyline dollars, a massive “low bets, higher dollars” sharp contrarian split in favor of a straight up Titans win on their home court.
Cal State Fullerton does a better job of taking care of the ball, ranking 82nd in turnovers compared to 283rd for UC Davis.
Cal State Fullerton is 8-3 at home. UC Davis is 4-7 on the road.
This is also a revenge spot for Cal State Fullerton, who lost to UC Davis 74-69 on the road back in mid January.
