Today we have a loaded slate of College Basketball on tap with roughly 50 games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
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7 p.m. ET: Southern Miss at Georgia State (-1.5, 144.5)
Southern Miss (11-9) has dropped two straight and just came up short against Texas State 74-67, failing to cover as 2-point road dogs. On the other hand, Georgia State (7-12) has won two in a row and just brushed aside UL Monroe 77-57, easily covering as 6.5-point road favorites.
This line opened at roughly a pick’em.
Despite Southern Miss having the better won-loss record, sharps have pounced on Georgia State, steaming the Panthers up from a pick’em to a 1.5-point home favorite. Some shops have even touched as high as Georgia State -2.5.
Wiseguys have specifically looked to mitigate some risk in the event of a close game by targeting Georgia State on the moneyline at -135.
At DraftKings, Georgia State is receiving 56% of moneyline bets and a whopping 83% of moneyline dollars, a massive “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split signaling heavy smart money backing a straight up Panthers victory at home.
Georgia State has the better free-throw shooting (8th vs 107th), three-point shooting (329th vs 360th) and defensive efficiency (168th vs 190th).
The Panthers also hold their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage (102nd vs 218th).
Georgia State is 4-2 at home. Southern Miss is 3-7 on the road.
7 p.m. ET: Towson at Elon (-2.5, 146.5)
Towson (11-9) has won three in a row and just edged Drexel 59-58 but failed to cover as 7.5-point home favorites. Similarly, Elon (12-7) has won three of their last four and just upset Hofstra 89-85, winning outright as 5.5-point road dogs.
Elon opened as a 2.5-point home favorite.
Overnight, we saw a few shops dip down from Elon -2.5 to -1.5. However, since that time we’ve seen nothing but sharp buyback on Elon, raising the Phoenix back up from -1.5 to -2.5. Several shops are juicing up Elon -2.5 (-115) and a few other have briefly touched Elon -3.
At DraftKings, Elon is taking in 63% of spread bets and a hefty 83% of spread dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” bet split indicating slight public support but also respected sharp action on the home chalk.
Ken Pom has Elon winning by four points (74-70). He also has Elon ranked higher (154th vs 170th).
Many value-minded pros have looked to gain some added cushion by targeting Elon on the moneyline at -140.
At DraftKings, Elon is taking in 75% of moneyline bets and 81% of moneyline dollars, a heavy one-way Pro and Joe split in favor of a straight up victory for the Phoenix at home.
Elon has the far better offensive efficiency (74th vs 273rd), effective field goal percentage (33rd vs 350th) and three-point shooting (41st vs 363rd). Elon averages 85.2 PPG compared to 69.3 PPG for Towson.
Elon also enjoys a 2-day rest advantage, having last played on January 17th while Towson last played on January 19th.
Elon is 7-3 at home. Towson is 1-6 on the road.
9 p.m. ET: Portland State (-2.5, 148.5) at Eastern Washington
Portland State (11-5) has won five straight and just held off Northern Arizona 63-52 but failed to cover as 11.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Eastern Washington (4-14) has won two of their last three and just crushed Idaho State 84-66, winning outright as 5.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with Portland State listed as a 1.5-point road favorite.
Sharps have pounced on Portland State laying short chalk, steaming the Vikings up from -1.5 to -2.5. Some shops even briefly touched -3. Essentially, all movement and liability has been on the side of the road favorite.
At DraftKings, Portland State is taking in 77% of spread bets and 78% of spread dollars, a one-way split in favor of the Vikings.
This is also a low-bet, late night matchup, which makes the line movement and bet splits that much more important because they are likely to be coming from wiseguys who have specifically targeted the game, not the betting public who is largely overlooking this tiny matchup.
Ken Pom has Portland State winning by two points (77-75). He also has Portland State ranked higher (158th vs 235th).
With this in mind, bettors may prefer a Vikings moneyline play at -155.
At DraftKings, Portland State is taking in 85% of moneyline bets and a whopping 95% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of heavy pro money banking on a straight up Vikings victory.
Portland State has the better effective field goal percentage (129th vs 178th) and offensive rebound percentage (136th vs 172nd).
The Vikings also have the far superior defensive efficiency (93rd vs 295th) and limit their opponents to a much better effective field goal percentage (61st vs 355th).
