Today we have a massive College Basketball slate on tap with more than 60-games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
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7 p.m. ET: Campbell (-2.5, 137.5) at Stony Brook
Campbell (8-11) just snapped a two-game losing skid with an 81-58 win over Monmouth, easily covering as 3-point home favorites. On the other hand, Stony Brook (4-15) has lost seven straight games and just came up short against Towson 53-49 but managed to cover as 13-point road dogs.
This line opened with Campbell listed as a 2.5-point road favorite. Wiseguys have quietly sided with Campbell, as the Fighting Camels have been juiced up -2.5 (-115) and some shops have even risen to -3. At DraftKings, Campbell is receiving 63% of spread bets and 81% of spread dollars, a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split. This split is especially meaningful because this is one of the lowest bet and least popular games of the night, which means sharps have specifically targeted the Fighting Camels.
Ken Pom has Campbell winning by three points (69-66). He also has Campbell ranked much higher (245th vs 330th). Those looking to mitigate some risk might consider playing Campbell on the moneyline (-150) instead of the spread. At DraftKings, Campbell is taking in 73% of moneyline bets and 80% of moneyline dollars, indicating one-way support for the Fighting Camels to earn a victory.
Campbell has the better offensive efficiency (290th vs 303rd) and defensive efficiency (190th vs 337th). The Fighting Camels take far better care of the ball, ranking 72nd in turnovers committed compared to 293rd for Stony Brook. Campbell also has the superior field goal percentage (43% vs 40%). Campbell is 3-3 in conference play. Stony Brook is 0-6.
8:05 p.m. ET: St. Thomas (-3, 153.5) at Omaha
St. Thomas (15-5) has won five straight games and just brushed aside Denver 74-62 but failed to cover as 15-point home favorites. Similarly, Omaha (11-9) has won seven straight and just crushed Denver 80-62, easily covering as 4.5-point road favorites.
This line opened with St. Thomas listed as a 2-point road favorite. Sharps seem to think this opener was a bit short and have steamed St. Thomas up from -2 to -3. Some shops have even touched as high as -3.5. Essentially, all movement and liability has come down on the road favorite without any notable buyback on the home dog.
At DraftKings, St. Thomas is receiving 76% of spread bets and 94% of spread dollars. At Circa, St. Thomas is taking in 86% of spread bets and 96% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in favor of St. Thomas. Ken Pom has St. Thomas winning by three points (80-77). He also has them ranked much higher than Omaha (114th vs 223rd).
Those looking to follow the sharp move but also protect themselves from a close game that may not cover the number could instead play St. Thomas on the moneyline at -165. At DraftKings, St. Thomas is taking in 78% of moneyline bets and 88% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of the bigger, sharper wagers playing the road favorite to win straight up.
St. Thomas has the far better offensive efficiency (56th vs 183rd), effective field goal percentage (59% vs 51%), three-point shooting (40% vs 36%) and free-throw shooting (78% vs 72%). St. Thomas also takes better care of the ball, ranking 24th in turnovers committed compared to 137th for Omaha.
11 p.m. ET: Utah Valley at California Baptist (-3, 141.5)
Utah Valley (13-6) has won eight in a row and just dismissed Utah Tech 96-80, covering as 13.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, California Baptist (9-9) just snapped a two-game losing streak with a 60-54 win over Abilene Christian, taking care of business as 1.5-point road favorites.
This line opened with Cal Baptist listed as a 2-point home favorite. Right off the bat, that opening line speaks volumes. Even when factoring in home court advantage, why is Cal Baptist favored if they are a .500 team going against a red-hot team with a far better record? Sharps have embraced the fishy home favorite, driving Cal Baptist up from -2 to -3. Some shops are even approaching -3.5.
At DraftKings, Cal Baptist is only taking in 55% of spread bets but a whopping 93% of spread dollars. At Circa, Cal Baptist is receiving 78% of spread bets and 88% of spread dollars. Both books are displaying a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in the direction of the home favorite.
Ken Pom has Cal Baptist wining by two points (71-69). As a result, bettors looking to mitigate some risk may prefer Cal Baptist on the moneyline (-155) instead of the spread. At DraftKings, Cal Baptist is receiving only 27% of moneyline bets but a hefty 74% of moneyline dollars, further indication of pros playing the home team to win straight up.
Cal Baptist has the far better offensive efficiency (146th vs 227th) and free-throw shooting (77% vs 70%). Cal Baptist is 6-3 at home. Utah Valley is 4-5 on the road.