Today we have a loaded slate of College Hoops on tap with nearly 60 games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
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8 p.m. ET: Florida Atlantic at Memphis (-1.5, 151.5)
Florida Atlantic (14-7) just saw their five-game win streak come to an end, losing to South Florida 89-75 and failing to cover as 5.5-point road dogs. Meanwhile, Memphis (9-10) has lost two in a row and just fell to Wichita State 74-59, failing to cover as 3.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with Memphis listed as a 1.5-point home favorite.
Sharps have sided with the home team, as Memphis is being juiced up -1.5 (-115) and a few other books have touched as high as Memphis -2 or even -2.5 briefly. In other words, all movement and liability has been in favor of the home chalk.
At DraftKings, Memphis is receiving 52% of spread bets but 80% of spread dollars, a massive “low bets, higher dollars” bet split indicating public indecision but also heavy sharp action on the Tigers.
Ken Pom has Memphis winning by three points (75-72).
As a result, bettors looking to gain some added cushion in the event of a close game could elect to target Memphis on the moneyline at -130.
At DraftKings, the Tigers are receiving 55% of moneyline bets and 70% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of respected smart money playing the Tigers to earn a straight up win.
The Tigers have fishy value as a buy-low favorite with a losing record against a sell-high dog with a winning record.
Memphis has the stingier defense, ranking 35th in defensive efficiency compared to 98th for Florida Atlantic.
The Tigers also hold their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage (55th vs 115th) and force more turnovers (58th vs 175th).
Memphis is 8-2 at home. Florida Atlantic is 3-5 on the road.
9 p.m. ET: Idaho at Northern Colorado (-2.5, 155.5)
Idaho (12-8) just saw their two-game win streak come to an end, falling to Portland State 69-66 and losing outright as 1.5-point home favorites. On the other hand, Northern Colorado (11-10) has dropped five straight and just came up short against Northern Arizona 81-77, losing outright as 6-point road favorites.
This line opened with Northern Colorado listed as a 2.5-point home favorite.
Sharps have quietly sided with the home team, as Northern Colorado is being juiced up -2.5 (-115) with a few other books inching up to -3.
At DraftKings, Northern Colorado is taking in 79% of spread bets and a whopping 95% of spread dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” sharp bet discrepancy in their favor.
This juiced up line move and bet split is especially important considering the fact that this is a very low bet, late night matchup. In other words, the public is largely overlooking this matchup but, based on the market movement, sharps have taken a keen interest in the home chalk.
Ken Pom has Northern Colorado winning by three points (78-75). He also has the Bears ranked slightly higher (187th vs 190th).
With this in mind, many pros may prefer to protect themselves by playing Northern Colorado on the moneyline at -160.
At DraftKings, Northern Colorado is taking in only 40% of moneyline bets but a hefty 89% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of heavy pro action playing the Bears to earn a straight up victory on their home court.
Northern Colorado has the better offensive efficiency (131st vs 167th), effective field goal percentage (44th vs 155th), three-point shooting (102nd vs 161st) and free-throw shooting (74th vs 145th).
Northern Colorado is 5-3 at home. Idaho is 4-5 on the road.
10 p.m. ET: UC Davis at Cal State Northridge (-2.5, 163.5)
UC Davis (12-8) has won three of their last four and just brushed aside UC Riverside 74-66 but failed to cover as 9.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Cal State Northridge (11-10) has lost three of their last four and just fell to Hawaii 89-68, failing to cover as 10.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with Cal State Northridge listed as a 1.5-point home favorite.
The public is leaning toward UC Davis, who has the better won-loss record and recent performance.
However, despite 54% of spread bets at DraftKings backing UC Davis we’ve seen this line tick up in favor of Cal State Northridge -1.5 to -2.5.
This signals sharp reverse line movement on the home chalk, as the line has moved toward the Matadors despite the public leaning toward the Aggies.
Sharps have specifically looked to mitigate some risk by targeting Cal State Northridge on the moneyline (-135).
At DraftKings, the Matadors are taking in 53% of moneyline bets and 85% of moneyline dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” split in favor of a straight up victory for the home team.
Cal State Northridge has the better offensive rebound percentage (128th vs 315th) and does a better job of limiting offensive rebounds to their opponents (18th vs 194th).
Cal State Northridge is 8-1 at home. UC Davis is 3-5 on the road.
