Today we have a loaded College Basketball slate on tap with roughly 25 games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
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7 p.m. ET: McNeese State (-2.5, 142.5) at Rhode Island
McNeese State (7-2) just crushed Northwestern State 92-54, easily covering as 19.5-point home favorites. On the other hand, Rhode Island (7-3) just saw their three-game winning streak come to an end, falling to Providence 90-71 and failing to cover as 7.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with McNeese State listed as a 1.5-point road favorite.
Sharps have pounced on the Cowboys laying short chalk, steaming McNeese State up from -1.5 to -2.5.
This line move is especially notable because this is a low bet “added/extra” game, which means it’s hard to find on a betting app and the public is largely overlooking the matchup. As a result, we can infer that the line move was driven specifically by sharps who have targeted the game and found an edge.
At DraftKings, McNeese State is taking in 56% of spread bets and 74% of spread dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” sharp bet discrepancy in their favor.
Ken Pom has McNeese State winning by one point (72-71). He has also has the Cowboys ranked higher (78th vs 105th).
With this in mind, many pros may look to protect themselves in the event of a close game by playing the Cowboys on the moneyline (-145).
McNeese State has the better offensive efficiency (95th vs 120th), defensive efficiency (65th vs 93rd), free-throw shooting (77% vs 73%) and takes better care of the ball (turnover percentage 52nd vs 320th).
7 p.m. ET: Bucknell (-2.5, 136.5) at Rider
Bucknell (2-9) has dropped nine games in a row and just came up short against UMBC 73-66, losing outright as 2-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Rider (1-7) has lost five straight and just fell to Quinnipiac 72-58 but managed to cover as 14.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with Bucknell listed as a 1.5-point road favorite.
Once again, we are looking at an “added/extra” low bet game devoid of public interest, especially considering the fact these are two bad teams with poor records. However, pros have seemed to side with Bucknell as the Bison have been steamed up from -1.5 to -2.5.
At DraftKings, Bucknell is taking in 71% of spread bets and a whopping 91% of spread dollars, a massive “low bets, higher dollar” bet split in a tiny obscure matchup.
Ken Pom has Bucknell winning by one point (70-69). He also has the Bison ranked higher (317th vs 339th).
With this in mind, those looking to gain some added cushion may prefer a Bucknell moneyline bet at -145.
At DraftKings, Bucknell is receiving 70% of moneyline bets and a 88% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of heavy Pro money banking on a Bison straight up victory.
Bucknell has the better offensive efficiency (296th vs 348th), effective field goal percentage (279th vs 364th) and three-point shooting (33% vs 27%).
7 p.m. ET: Howard vs North Carolina A&T (-2.5, 147.5)
This neutral site matchup will be played at Cameron Indoor Stadium, home of the Duke Blue Devils.
Howard (5-5) just took down Bowie State 85-69. Similarly, North Carolina A&T (4-3) just held off North Carolina Central 69-54.
This line opened with North Carolina A&T listed as a 3.5-point neutral site favorite.
Sharps have jumped on Howard plus the points, dropping the Bison from +3.5 to +2.5. Some shops even touched down as a low as +1.5. Yet again, this is an “added/extra” game, which means the line move was almost exclusively driven by pros who have taken a position, not the betting public.
At DraftKings, Howard is only receiving 37% of spread bets but 52% of spread dollars, a sharp contrarian “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in favor of the neutral site dog.
At Circa, Howard is taking in 67% of spread bets and a massive 95% of spread dollars, further evidence of wiseguys out in Vegas taking the points with the Bison.
Howard has the better offensive efficiency (304th vs 330th), three-point shooting (33% vs 31%) and free-throw shooting (72% vs 70%).
Howard also does a better job of protecting the ball (250th in turnover percentage vs 328th) and forcing turnovers on defense (19th vs 221st).
